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not ess pea参与话题 30消息总数 1103

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not ess pea 2026-06-24 11:48:34 Kalshi

Yeah he won’t

Yeah he won’t

not ess pea 2026-06-24 11:45:37 Kalshi

Even in 2022

Even in 2022

not ess pea 2026-06-24 11:45:28 Kalshi

The establishment has always had it out for Barnes

The establishment has always had it out for Barnes

not ess pea 2026-06-24 11:45:15 Kalshi

The blue parts of Wisconsin are very progressive

The blue parts of Wisconsin are very progressive

not ess pea 2026-06-24 11:45:08 Kalshi

It’s apart of why I’m bullish on Hong

It’s apart of why I’m bullish on Hong

not ess pea 2026-06-24 11:43:23 Kalshi

I mean most of Wisconsin is red outside of Dane and Milwaukee

I mean most of Wisconsin is red outside of Dane and Milwaukee

not ess pea 2026-06-24 11:41:14 Kalshi

I think from here on out hong will be in the drivers seat

I think from here on out hong will be in the drivers seat

not ess pea 2026-06-24 11:41:06 Kalshi

I don’t think it’ll work after tonight

I don’t think it’ll work after tonight

not ess pea 2026-06-24 11:40:59 Kalshi

Well they are trying to push Barnes out I’ve heard

Well they are trying to push Barnes out I’ve heard

not ess pea 2026-06-24 11:36:21 Kalshi

.

.

not ess pea 2026-06-24 11:35:54 Kalshi

She would still probably win regardless assuming the establishment vote is split

She would still probably win regardless assuming the establishment vote is split

not ess pea 2026-06-24 11:35:39 Kalshi

Mamdani is gonna test his luck soon IMO and it’s gonna be on her

Mamdani is gonna test his luck soon IMO and it’s gonna be on her

not ess pea 2026-06-24 11:35:22 Kalshi

Once Mamdani and more progressive groups endorse hong she got this. The establishment is very split between Barnes and Rodriguez

Once Mamdani and more progressive groups endorse hong she got this. The establishment is very split between Barnes and Rodriguez

not ess pea 2026-06-24 11:34:51 Kalshi

Copped these while they are on sale

Copped these while they are on sale

not ess pea 2026-06-24 09:14:55 Kalshi

I think it’s lean DAC ATM

I think it’s lean DAC ATM

not ess pea 2026-06-24 09:14:46 Kalshi

That’s even better for her

That’s even better for her

not ess pea 2026-06-24 09:12:31 Kalshi

If the margins hold in the Bronx and manhattan ofc

If the margins hold in the Bronx and manhattan ofc

not ess pea 2026-06-24 09:12:24 Kalshi

I think DAC has this

I think DAC has this

not ess pea 2026-06-24 05:51:49 Kalshi

https://x.com/j_fishback/status/2069536344917848424?s=46 Fishback Lieutenant Governor? <@1066645794108735510>

https://x.com/j_fishback/status/2069536344917848424?s=46 Fishback Lieutenant Governor? <@1066645794108735510>

not ess pea 2026-06-24 05:09:30 Kalshi

https://x.com/groypernewstv/status/2069201642717618663?s=46 this might swing the election

https://x.com/groypernewstv/status/2069201642717618663?s=46 this might swing the election

not ess pea 2026-06-24 05:03:50 Kalshi

What if Emerson College finds the same results

What if Emerson College finds the same results

not ess pea 2026-06-24 05:00:42 Kalshi

He thought it was real

He thought it was real

not ess pea 2026-06-24 05:00:24 Kalshi

<@940487785029185589> one time my friend and I made a fake poll and the fishback team fell for it

<@940487785029185589> one time my friend and I made a fake poll and the fishback team fell for it

not ess pea 2026-06-24 04:51:53 Kalshi

They lost motivation after putsch

They lost motivation after putsch

not ess pea 2026-06-24 04:51:18 Kalshi

They aren’t up to date with TPSI polling

They aren’t up to date with TPSI polling

not ess pea 2026-06-24 04:37:32 Kalshi

Chat will be full of groypers losing money

Chat will be full of groypers losing money

not ess pea 2026-06-24 04:37:20 Kalshi

I think FL Gov might be the only one to top it when it comes

I think FL Gov might be the only one to top it when it comes

not ess pea 2026-06-24 04:36:38 Kalshi

Live chat on KY-04 was so peak

Live chat on KY-04 was so peak

not ess pea 2026-06-24 04:36:27 Kalshi

Live chat is up

Live chat is up

not ess pea 2026-06-24 04:33:52 Kalshi

We haven’t had a poll for weeks and the last one had the incumbent at 35%

We haven’t had a poll for weeks and the last one had the incumbent at 35%

not ess pea 2026-06-24 04:31:11 Kalshi

I mean it was just one trader who tanked her that low

I mean it was just one trader who tanked her that low

not ess pea 2026-06-24 04:28:26 Kalshi

I think both races are gonna come down to Mamdani and these are districts he carried easily, that’s my personal take.

I think both races are gonna come down to Mamdani and these are districts he carried easily, that’s my personal take.

not ess pea 2026-06-24 04:26:50 Kalshi

I think she will win pretty convincingly

I think she will win pretty convincingly

not ess pea 2026-06-24 04:25:49 Kalshi

Valdez I think will do better than a lot of people think

Valdez I think will do better than a lot of people think

not ess pea 2026-06-24 04:24:58 Kalshi

I feel like it’s gonna be a narrow Espaillat win or DAC+10

I feel like it’s gonna be a narrow Espaillat win or DAC+10

not ess pea 2026-06-24 04:24:43 Kalshi

I’m not sure

I’m not sure

not ess pea 2026-06-24 04:21:16 Kalshi

High turnout for the 10 year incumbent that polled at 35% in his internal yeah okay I guess

High turnout for the 10 year incumbent that polled at 35% in his internal yeah okay I guess

not ess pea 2026-06-24 04:20:25 Kalshi

fine needs to keep shitting on vance cause DJT jr said he is watching them

fine needs to keep shitting on vance cause DJT jr said he is watching them

not ess pea 2026-06-24 04:19:38 Kalshi

If my FL-06 bet hits it might be the biggest payout of the cycle

If my FL-06 bet hits it might be the biggest payout of the cycle

not ess pea 2026-06-24 04:19:04 Kalshi

https://x.com/infolibnews/status/2069498886553559517?s=46

https://x.com/infolibnews/status/2069498886553559517?s=46

not ess pea 2026-06-24 04:04:30 Kalshi

It’s not like Tim Burchett where he is gonna be appointed and welcomed on the red carpet when Blackburn wins

It’s not like Tim Burchett where he is gonna be appointed and welcomed on the red carpet when Blackburn wins

not ess pea 2026-06-24 04:03:13 Kalshi

Letlow is also overall a mediocre house member

Letlow is also overall a mediocre house member

not ess pea 2026-06-24 04:00:54 Kalshi

She was big on dei

She was big on dei

not ess pea 2026-06-24 03:59:28 Kalshi

My friend who voted Fleming in round 1 is staying with him in round 2

My friend who voted Fleming in round 1 is staying with him in round 2

not ess pea 2026-06-24 03:54:34 Kalshi

— trump probably

— trump probably

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