秋田预测市场 · Discord 审计

LA-05 选战 Fleming 被严重低估引发市场定价争议

2026-06-24 · Kalshi · 18 条相关讨论

tooeasy27 2026-06-24 03:44:42

by far the most mispriced PM election market i have ever seen since ive started doing elections. absolutely incredible. gonna be my first 6 figure win. <a:Doggodance:1197913774133350431>

by far the most mispriced PM election market i have ever seen since ive started doing elections. absolutely incredible. gonna be my first 6 figure win. <a:Doggodance:1197913774133350431>

i2dt 2026-06-24 03:46:08

I did get a buy in when this poll dropped (apparently shoulda bought some more)

I did get a buy in when this poll dropped (apparently shoulda bought some more)

tooeasy27 2026-06-24 03:47:08

if you looked at polls prior to first round they foresaw letlow smashing in the first round, however, they had runoff hypotheticals and they were super tight. almost all of cassidy voters are going to fleming. it was going to be very close a month ago and it seems the pollling has moved even more in flemings favor since then. this market should be 50/50 and has been trading at 95/5 for a month. its bonkers.

if you looked at polls prior to first round they foresaw letlow smashing in the first round, however, they had runoff hypotheticals and they were super tight. almost all of cassidy voters are going to fleming. it was going to be very close a month ago and it seems the pollling has moved even more in flemings favor since then. this market should be 50/50 and has been trading at 95/5 for a month. its bonkers.

ProTrader 2026-06-24 03:50:42

does louisiana not like trump? or does letlow just suck

does louisiana not like trump? or does letlow just suck

@bernardbulletin 2026-06-24 03:51:20

props to anyone who bought Fleming Y at 2c last week

props to anyone who bought Fleming Y at 2c last week

i2dt 2026-06-24 03:51:38

not sure theres a better feeling than getting back to your entry price on bags you've held for months

not sure theres a better feeling than getting back to your entry price on bags you've held for months

not ess pea 2026-06-24 03:54:27

John Fleming and Julia Letlow are both MAGA!!!!

John Fleming and Julia Letlow are both MAGA!!!!

tooeasy27 2026-06-24 03:55:14

dude, ive been praying for this.

dude, ive been praying for this.

tooeasy27 2026-06-24 03:55:25

fleming was in trumps administration for first term. it could easily happen

fleming was in trumps administration for first term. it could easily happen

tooeasy27 2026-06-24 03:55:58

somebody just needs to slap these recent polls infront of trumps face and he will dual endorse cause he hates his endorsements losing.

somebody just needs to slap these recent polls infront of trumps face and he will dual endorse cause he hates his endorsements losing.

i2dt 2026-06-24 03:57:51

you could say my new fleming bags are as comfortable as my pillow

you could say my new fleming bags are as comfortable as my pillow

ProTrader 2026-06-24 04:00:39

why is letlow not doing that hot

why is letlow not doing that hot

ProTrader 2026-06-24 04:00:46

is it cuz she supported dei in the past?

is it cuz she supported dei in the past?

not ess pea 2026-06-24 04:01:10

Fleming is viewed as the more maga candidate

Fleming is viewed as the more maga candidate

Greek 2026-06-24 04:15:20

i bought these the night cassidy lost

i bought these the night cassidy lost

Greek 2026-06-24 04:15:35

been ignoring them since

been ignoring them since

Greek 2026-06-24 04:17:38

no thesis, just thought calling her julia letdown was funny

no thesis, just thought calling her julia letdown was funny

Greek 2026-06-24 04:21:18

if she does ill throw it all into fleming for the bit

if she does ill throw it all into fleming for the bit