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Filing deadline is passed
Filing deadline is passed
That’s what matters the most if Trump gets sick enough of fine that makes Gambaro the only viable option.
That’s what matters the most if Trump gets sick enough of fine that makes Gambaro the only viable option.
Some random who has raised a bit and got some endorsements
Some random who has raised a bit and got some endorsements
The bet is dependent on how much fine continues to crashout
The bet is dependent on how much fine continues to crashout
Randy Fine tweeted last night never JD Vance and is openly opposed the Iran deal. The filing deadline has passed in Florida so if fine keeps crashing out trump could endorse Gambaro. He already has some impressive endorsements and is the only go who isn’t running that is not a groyper.
Randy Fine tweeted last night never JD Vance and is openly opposed the Iran deal. The filing deadline has passed in Florida so if fine keeps crashing out trump could endorse Gambaro. He already has some impressive endorsements and is the only go who isn’t running that is not a groyper.
Wanna know my logic on yes Gambaro
Wanna know my logic on yes Gambaro
Yes Gambaro if it hits is an insane play
Yes Gambaro if it hits is an insane play
They’re all tossups or long shots though tbh
They’re all tossups or long shots though tbh
My positions
My positions
If Trump and Israel keep fighting I think fine has another crashout
If Trump and Israel keep fighting I think fine has another crashout
I’m praying for another Randy Fine crashout this week
I’m praying for another Randy Fine crashout this week
Guess im settled with this
Guess im settled with this
Fishback should make an endorsement
Fishback should make an endorsement
We need a TPSI poll to see who the groypers are voting for
We need a TPSI poll to see who the groypers are voting for
https://x.com/d_aviladickson/status/2068381976248172613?s=46
https://x.com/d_aviladickson/status/2068381976248172613?s=46
Would be surprised if we get nothing else until Election Day
Would be surprised if we get nothing else until Election Day
I feel like we are gonna a poll before Election Day that shows where the undecideds broke
I feel like we are gonna a poll before Election Day that shows where the undecideds broke
Mamdani+4 vs Mamdani+30
Mamdani+4 vs Mamdani+30
It worked in bowmanns district but it is also way more moderate
It worked in bowmanns district but it is also way more moderate
AIPAC cash is sort of toxic in democratic primaries though
AIPAC cash is sort of toxic in democratic primaries though
I’m pretty confident in the rest
I’m pretty confident in the rest
Ohio and Georgia could change and depending on who gets nominated in Wisconsin
Ohio and Georgia could change and depending on who gets nominated in Wisconsin
Barnes would win
Barnes would win
Florida and Georgia
Florida and Georgia
We saw the GOP hold multiple key governor seats in 2018 in a D+8 national environment
We saw the GOP hold multiple key governor seats in 2018 in a D+8 national environment
Candidate quality matters
Candidate quality matters
I mean I could see it but I think Tiffany would be the favorite
I mean I could see it but I think Tiffany would be the favorite
Wisconsin was only Evers+1 in 2018 and Biden+1 in 2020
Wisconsin was only Evers+1 in 2018 and Biden+1 in 2020
Michigan hasn’t elected a Republican senator however since the 90s
Michigan hasn’t elected a Republican senator however since the 90s
I just don’t see a path for a democratic socialist in a state that always comes down to the wire
I just don’t see a path for a democratic socialist in a state that always comes down to the wire
And Trump lost WI by 1% in 2020
And Trump lost WI by 1% in 2020
Scott Walker lost by 1% in 2018 too
Scott Walker lost by 1% in 2018 too
Scott Walker 2012, Scott Walker 2014, Trump 2016, Ron Johnson 2016, Ron Johnson 2022, Trump 2024
Scott Walker 2012, Scott Walker 2014, Trump 2016, Ron Johnson 2016, Ron Johnson 2022, Trump 2024
Like I’ve said too Wisconsin has voted red statewide like every year in the last 10 other than 2020 and 2018
Like I’ve said too Wisconsin has voted red statewide like every year in the last 10 other than 2020 and 2018
Yeah people forget when Bernie was very underestimated in Michigan
Yeah people forget when Bernie was very underestimated in Michigan
I think Sayed is also much more charismatic and a better fit for his state
I think Sayed is also much more charismatic and a better fit for his state
Although I do think Sayed would win and Hong would lose
Although I do think Sayed would win and Hong would lose
Voters get excited and forget about electability
Voters get excited and forget about electability
Progressives will probably become hated again one of Hong or Sayed lose
Progressives will probably become hated again one of Hong or Sayed lose
There’s no way this year has any indication of that, progressives have been killing it all over the country in primaries
There’s no way this year has any indication of that, progressives have been killing it all over the country in primaries
I think 2022
I think 2022
Omar did almost lose one year but that was when they felt progressives were hurting the brand
Omar did almost lose one year but that was when they felt progressives were hurting the brand
If Espillat is popular why is he polling in the 30s
If Espillat is popular why is he polling in the 30s
It would need a crazy shift
It would need a crazy shift
Like I said I think people are over analyzing the early vote the district was Mamdani+30
Like I said I think people are over analyzing the early vote the district was Mamdani+30
Espillat isn’t even a moderate either he just isn’t a democratic socialist
Espillat isn’t even a moderate either he just isn’t a democratic socialist
If the voters of NY-13 wanted more moderate representation why didn’t they vote for Cuomo
If the voters of NY-13 wanted more moderate representation why didn’t they vote for Cuomo
They don’t believe in any
They don’t believe in any
Plus Mamdani just seems like a nice guy politics aside
Plus Mamdani just seems like a nice guy politics aside
Although I do like his collaboration with Trump, since I find the amount of polarization in politics unhealthy for the country
Although I do like his collaboration with Trump, since I find the amount of polarization in politics unhealthy for the country