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not ess pea参与话题 30消息总数 1103

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not ess pea 2026-06-21 04:01:56 Kalshi

That’s what matters the most if Trump gets sick enough of fine that makes Gambaro the only viable option.

That’s what matters the most if Trump gets sick enough of fine that makes Gambaro the only viable option.

not ess pea 2026-06-21 04:01:32 Kalshi

Some random who has raised a bit and got some endorsements

Some random who has raised a bit and got some endorsements

not ess pea 2026-06-21 04:00:37 Kalshi FL-06 初选市场中 Gambaro 爆冷可能性的讨论

Randy Fine tweeted last night never JD Vance and is openly opposed the Iran deal. The filing deadline has passed in Florida so if fine keeps crashing out trump could endorse Gambaro. He already has some impressive endorsements and is the only go who isn’t running that is not a groyper.

Randy Fine tweeted last night never JD Vance and is openly opposed the Iran deal. The filing deadline has passed in Florida so if fine keeps crashing out trump could endorse Gambaro. He already has some impressive endorsements and is the only go who isn’t running that is not a groyper.

not ess pea 2026-06-21 03:56:05 Kalshi

They’re all tossups or long shots though tbh

They’re all tossups or long shots though tbh

not ess pea 2026-06-21 03:55:55 Kalshi

My positions

My positions

not ess pea 2026-06-21 03:53:44 Kalshi

I’m praying for another Randy Fine crashout this week

I’m praying for another Randy Fine crashout this week

not ess pea 2026-06-21 03:53:25 Kalshi

Guess im settled with this

Guess im settled with this

not ess pea 2026-06-21 03:51:49 Kalshi

Fishback should make an endorsement

Fishback should make an endorsement

not ess pea 2026-06-21 03:51:33 Kalshi

We need a TPSI poll to see who the groypers are voting for

We need a TPSI poll to see who the groypers are voting for

not ess pea 2026-06-21 03:41:46 Kalshi

https://x.com/d_aviladickson/status/2068381976248172613?s=46

https://x.com/d_aviladickson/status/2068381976248172613?s=46

not ess pea 2026-06-21 03:28:45 Kalshi

Would be surprised if we get nothing else until Election Day

Would be surprised if we get nothing else until Election Day

not ess pea 2026-06-21 03:28:30 Kalshi

I feel like we are gonna a poll before Election Day that shows where the undecideds broke

I feel like we are gonna a poll before Election Day that shows where the undecideds broke

not ess pea 2026-06-21 02:52:15 Kalshi

Mamdani+4 vs Mamdani+30

Mamdani+4 vs Mamdani+30

not ess pea 2026-06-21 02:52:00 Kalshi

It worked in bowmanns district but it is also way more moderate

It worked in bowmanns district but it is also way more moderate

not ess pea 2026-06-21 02:49:34 Kalshi

AIPAC cash is sort of toxic in democratic primaries though

AIPAC cash is sort of toxic in democratic primaries though

not ess pea 2026-06-21 02:47:24 Kalshi

I’m pretty confident in the rest

I’m pretty confident in the rest

not ess pea 2026-06-21 02:47:20 Kalshi

Ohio and Georgia could change and depending on who gets nominated in Wisconsin

Ohio and Georgia could change and depending on who gets nominated in Wisconsin

not ess pea 2026-06-21 02:40:40 Kalshi

Florida and Georgia

Florida and Georgia

not ess pea 2026-06-21 02:37:40 Kalshi

Michigan hasn’t elected a Republican senator however since the 90s

Michigan hasn’t elected a Republican senator however since the 90s

not ess pea 2026-06-21 02:34:58 Kalshi

Yeah people forget when Bernie was very underestimated in Michigan

Yeah people forget when Bernie was very underestimated in Michigan

not ess pea 2026-06-21 02:33:54 Kalshi

I think Sayed is also much more charismatic and a better fit for his state

I think Sayed is also much more charismatic and a better fit for his state

not ess pea 2026-06-21 02:30:27 Kalshi

Voters get excited and forget about electability

Voters get excited and forget about electability

not ess pea 2026-06-21 02:30:12 Kalshi

Progressives will probably become hated again one of Hong or Sayed lose

Progressives will probably become hated again one of Hong or Sayed lose

not ess pea 2026-06-21 02:29:44 Kalshi

There’s no way this year has any indication of that, progressives have been killing it all over the country in primaries

There’s no way this year has any indication of that, progressives have been killing it all over the country in primaries

not ess pea 2026-06-21 02:29:33 Kalshi

I think 2022

I think 2022

not ess pea 2026-06-21 02:29:28 Kalshi

Omar did almost lose one year but that was when they felt progressives were hurting the brand

Omar did almost lose one year but that was when they felt progressives were hurting the brand

not ess pea 2026-06-21 02:11:28 Kalshi

If Espillat is popular why is he polling in the 30s

If Espillat is popular why is he polling in the 30s

not ess pea 2026-06-21 02:10:42 Kalshi

It would need a crazy shift

It would need a crazy shift

not ess pea 2026-06-21 02:10:29 Kalshi

Like I said I think people are over analyzing the early vote the district was Mamdani+30

Like I said I think people are over analyzing the early vote the district was Mamdani+30

not ess pea 2026-06-21 02:09:41 Kalshi

Espillat isn’t even a moderate either he just isn’t a democratic socialist

Espillat isn’t even a moderate either he just isn’t a democratic socialist

not ess pea 2026-06-21 02:09:17 Kalshi

If the voters of NY-13 wanted more moderate representation why didn’t they vote for Cuomo

If the voters of NY-13 wanted more moderate representation why didn’t they vote for Cuomo

not ess pea 2026-06-21 02:08:01 Kalshi

They don’t believe in any

They don’t believe in any

not ess pea 2026-06-21 02:03:55 Kalshi

Plus Mamdani just seems like a nice guy politics aside

Plus Mamdani just seems like a nice guy politics aside

not ess pea 2026-06-21 02:03:14 Kalshi

Although I do like his collaboration with Trump, since I find the amount of polarization in politics unhealthy for the country

Although I do like his collaboration with Trump, since I find the amount of polarization in politics unhealthy for the country

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