PolymarketMarket Title Will Emmanuel Macron remain President of France after the scheduled date of the 2027 presidential runoff? Outcomes * Yes * No Market Description Current prediction markets focus on who will win the 2027 French presidential election. This market instead allows traders to speculate on whether Emmanuel Macron will still be serving as President of France after the date currently scheduled for the second round of the election, regardless of the reason. Proposed Resolution Criteria This market resolves YES if Emmanuel Macron is officially serving as President of the French Republic at 00:00 CEST on May 3, 2027. This includes, but is not limited to, scenarios in which: * the first and/or second round of the 2027 French presidential election is postponed; * the election is cancelled, suspended, or otherwise does not take place as currently scheduled; * the election result has not yet been certified or cannot legally take effect by that time; * a constitutional, political, legal or national emergency results in Emmanuel Macron remaining President beyond the currently scheduled election date. This market resolves NO if any person other than Emmanuel Macron is officially serving as President of the French Republic at 00:00 CEST on May 3, 2027. If Emmanuel Macron dies, resigns, is removed from office, or is otherwise no longer President before that time, this market resolves NO. Resolution Source Primary sources: * Presidency of the French Republic (Élysée) * French Constitutional Council (Conseil constitutionnel) * Journal officiel de la République française Secondary reputable news sources may be used only to confirm the official status if necessary.
Market Title Will Emmanuel Macron remain President of France after the scheduled date of the 2027 presidential runoff? Outcomes * Yes * No Market Description Current prediction markets focus on who will win the 2027 French presidential election. This market instead allows traders to speculate on whether Emmanuel Macron will still be serving as President of France after the date currently scheduled for the second round of the election, regardless of the reason. Proposed Resolution Criteria This market resolves YES if Emmanuel Macron is officially serving as President of the French Republic at 00:00 CEST on May 3, 2027. This includes, but is not limited to, scenarios in which: * the first and/or second round of the 2027 French presidential election is postponed; * the election is cancelled, suspended, or otherwise does not take place as currently scheduled; * the election result has not yet been certified or cannot legally take effect by that time; * a constitutional, political, legal or national emergency results in Emmanuel Macron remaining President beyond the currently scheduled election date. This market resolves NO if any person other than Emmanuel Macron is officially serving as President of the French Republic at 00:00 CEST on May 3, 2027. If Emmanuel Macron dies, resigns, is removed from office, or is otherwise no longer President before that time, this market resolves NO. Resolution Source Primary sources: * Presidency of the French Republic (Élysée) * French Constitutional Council (Conseil constitutionnel) * Journal officiel de la République française Secondary reputable news sources may be used only to confirm the official status if necessary.