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michael52899参与话题 3消息总数 58

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michael52899 2026-07-13 14:56:20 Polymarket Big Brother 剧集编号错配导致结算争议

Going to need a clarification for this one because "Unlocked" episodes are part of the same show. CBS listed Friday as Episode 2 and Sunday as Episode 3, but the Polymarket rules say Episode 2 on Sunday <@1072241194538651828> <@232362173291167745>

Going to need a clarification for this one because "Unlocked" episodes are part of the same show. CBS listed Friday as Episode 2 and Sunday as Episode 3, but the Polymarket rules say Episode 2 on Sunday <@1072241194538651828> <@232362173291167745>

michael52899 2026-07-13 01:58:02 Polymarket

I proposed, thanks

I proposed, thanks

michael52899 2026-07-12 23:19:00 Polymarket

I think the issue is that no one wants to go through hundreds of tweets to make sure there wasn't something people missed. So you either have to go through hundreds of tweets or risk $750 for a $5 reward and hope it's correct. I guess someone will do it eventually

I think the issue is that no one wants to go through hundreds of tweets to make sure there wasn't something people missed. So you either have to go through hundreds of tweets or risk $750 for a $5 reward and hope it's correct. I guess someone will do it eventually

This is not proposable until there's at least 1 datapoint from tomorrow. "Revisions to temperatures recorded for each date within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered." Feel free to DM when you see a datapoint for 13 July

This is not proposable until there's at least 1 datapoint from tomorrow. "Revisions to temperatures recorded for each date within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered." Feel free to DM when you see a datapoint for 13 July

michael52899 2026-07-11 04:39:54 Polymarket

Thanks for the tip 🙂

Thanks for the tip 🙂

michael52899 2026-07-11 00:44:09 Polymarket

It looks correct but I'm not active in esports so idk 100%. DM me if you're willing to cover the bond and then I'll propose it

It looks correct but I'm not active in esports so idk 100%. DM me if you're willing to cover the bond and then I'll propose it

michael52899 2026-07-10 13:18:32 Polymarket

Thanks. Great tip. I'll propose some of them soon

Thanks. Great tip. I'll propose some of them soon

michael52899 2026-07-10 08:54:00 Polymarket

I don't see it on the front page? A headline on the website doesn't count

I don't see it on the front page? A headline on the website doesn't count

michael52899 2026-07-09 21:56:58 Polymarket

Good catch, thanks. I proposed

Good catch, thanks. I proposed

michael52899 2026-07-09 20:56:30 Polymarket

You can really bet on anything on Polymarket

You can really bet on anything on Polymarket

michael52899 2026-07-09 02:07:03 Polymarket

Post this in <#775426315393433661>

Post this in <#775426315393433661>

michael52899 2026-07-08 17:32:49 Polymarket

Still waiting for the Ebola cases market. Will it be added?

Still waiting for the Ebola cases market. Will it be added?

michael52899 2026-07-08 03:50:35 Polymarket

Proposed, thanks

Proposed, thanks

michael52899 2026-07-06 15:13:05 Polymarket

I think this isn't proposable yet because the only signing that happened was virtual, so it doesn't satisfy the conditions to immediately resolve. Need to wait until July 8

I think this isn't proposable yet because the only signing that happened was virtual, so it doesn't satisfy the conditions to immediately resolve. Need to wait until July 8

michael52899 2026-07-06 13:06:24 Polymarket

He didn't hug someone, right? Easier to propose if it's a yes unless someone covers the bond for a no

He didn't hug someone, right? Easier to propose if it's a yes unless someone covers the bond for a no

michael52899 2026-07-04 12:39:08 Polymarket

You linked to the wrong market. I proposed for this week's market

You linked to the wrong market. I proposed for this week's market

michael52899 2026-07-04 05:47:53 Polymarket

Thanks, proposed

Thanks, proposed

michael52899 2026-07-04 03:24:02 Polymarket

Final classification is out so I proposed the first one. More later if it's still needed

Final classification is out so I proposed the first one. More later if it's still needed

michael52899 2026-07-04 02:52:49 Polymarket

I think this is proposable when the final classification is officially released, which usually happens within a few hours

I think this is proposable when the final classification is officially released, which usually happens within a few hours

michael52899 2026-07-02 18:47:45 Polymarket

Proposed

Proposed

michael52899 2026-07-02 17:48:52 Polymarket

I can only do 1 proposal at a time, but I'll take a look 🙂

I can only do 1 proposal at a time, but I'll take a look 🙂

michael52899 2026-07-02 17:21:31 Polymarket

Looks good, thanks. I'll propose in a bit

Looks good, thanks. I'll propose in a bit

michael52899 2026-07-01 19:41:14 Polymarket

Too early until there's a data point for 1 July

Too early until there's a data point for 1 July

michael52899 2026-07-01 13:31:39 Polymarket 印尼卢比月度市场结算需待数据发布规则

About the Indonesian rupiah: Those are typically proposed when the data is finalized, which means, there's at least 1 data point after the end date. Ping me when 1 July is posted and I'll propose.

About the Indonesian rupiah: Those are typically proposed when the data is finalized, which means, there's at least 1 data point after the end date. Ping me when 1 July is posted and I'll propose.

michael52899 2026-07-01 12:49:07 Polymarket

They have already been proposed

They have already been proposed

michael52899 2026-06-26 13:31:59 Polymarket

I did a quick check and news reports that day said the game would be rescheduled, in which case the market stays open. Do you have a source confirming the game is definitely canceled?

I did a quick check and news reports that day said the game would be rescheduled, in which case the market stays open. Do you have a source confirming the game is definitely canceled?

michael52899 2026-06-25 23:20:01 Polymarket

Is there any update on adding the Ebola market? 🙏🏻

Is there any update on adding the Ebola market? 🙏🏻

michael52899 2026-06-24 18:20:30 Polymarket

**Ebola cases by July 31?** 1250 - 1500 - 1750 - 2000 - 2250 **Ebola cases in 2026?** ↑2k - ↑3k - ↑4k - ↑5k - ↑7.5k - ↑10k Rules for both markets: This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Ebola in humans in the world in 2026, according to the WHO case counter by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (for 2026 market: December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET). The primary resolution source for this market will be WHO's case counter (see: https://www.who.int/emergencies/alert-and-response) at the resolution time, specifically, the total number of "Confirmed cases" among all affected countries. If the counter becomes permanently unavailable or has not been updated for at least 5 days, another credible source will be used. Notes: Only cases reported by WHO will qualify, regardless of reports from individual countries or other sources. Suspected or probable cases do not count towards resolution.

**Ebola cases by July 31?** 1250 - 1500 - 1750 - 2000 - 2250 **Ebola cases in 2026?** ↑2k - ↑3k - ↑4k - ↑5k - ↑7.5k - ↑10k Rules for both markets: This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Ebola in humans in the world in 2026, according to the WHO case counter by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (for 2026 market: December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET). The primary resolution source for this market will be WHO's case counter (see: https://www.who.int/emergencies/alert-and-response) at the resolution time, specifically, the total number of "Confirmed cases" among all affected countries. If the counter becomes permanently unavailable or has not been updated for at least 5 days, another credible source will be used. Notes: Only cases reported by WHO will qualify, regardless of reports from individual countries or other sources. Suspected or probable cases do not count towards resolution.

michael52899 2026-06-24 18:05:18 Polymarket

<@941405798096076880> <@1212792946341183578> WHO is now providing daily updates about the Ebola outbreak. Please create a market similar to the measles outbreak in the U.S. Monthly market: Ebola cases by July 31? 1250 - 1500 - 1750 - 2000 - 2250 2026 market: Ebola cases in 2026? ↑2k - ↑3k - ↑4k - ↑5k - ↑7.5k - ↑10k Rules: Only confirmed cases count. Suspected or probable cases do not qualify. Primary resolution source: The counter on https://www.who.int/emergencies/alert-and-response If the counter becomes unavailable or has not been updated for at least 5 days, other reporting from WHO may be used. Only cases reported by the WHO will qualify, regardless of reports from individual countries or other sources. Edit: I posted a more detailed version in <#874712580642439181>

<@941405798096076880> <@1212792946341183578> WHO is now providing daily updates about the Ebola outbreak. Please create a market similar to the measles outbreak in the U.S. Monthly market: Ebola cases by July 31? 1250 - 1500 - 1750 - 2000 - 2250 2026 market: Ebola cases in 2026? ↑2k - ↑3k - ↑4k - ↑5k - ↑7.5k - ↑10k Rules: Only confirmed cases count. Suspected or probable cases do not qualify. Primary resolution source: The counter on https://www.who.int/emergencies/alert-and-response If the counter becomes unavailable or has not been updated for at least 5 days, other reporting from WHO may be used. Only cases reported by the WHO will qualify, regardless of reports from individual countries or other sources. Edit: I posted a more detailed version in <#874712580642439181>

michael52899 2026-06-24 07:11:03 Polymarket

Thanks, proposed

Thanks, proposed

michael52899 2026-06-23 00:53:05 Polymarket

Thanks for providing a clear explanation and good links. I proposed

Thanks for providing a clear explanation and good links. I proposed

michael52899 2026-06-22 12:48:59 Polymarket

Proposed, thanks

Proposed, thanks

michael52899 2026-06-19 13:06:41 Polymarket

Proposed, thanks

Proposed, thanks

michael52899 2026-06-19 03:33:44 Polymarket

Thanks. I proposed one of them. I can only do 1 proposal at the same time, so I'll do more in a few hours if it's still needed

Thanks. I proposed one of them. I can only do 1 proposal at the same time, so I'll do more in a few hours if it's still needed

michael52899 2026-06-19 03:10:27 Polymarket

Please include a good source when you make a request. No one wants to do research for a $2 reward

Please include a good source when you make a request. No one wants to do research for a $2 reward

michael52899 2026-06-19 01:58:48 Polymarket

I agree with you but I guess people will claim it's not clear enough. If you listen to his video, he clearly states his campaign is over and he won't be mayor (satisfying the rules): "Now that the campaign portion of my mission to save Los Angeles is coming to a close, and I'm moving on to the next, more interesting phase...." "I don't have campaign laws hamstringing me now." "Angelenos are now stuck with 2 morons responsible for all their problems, and they have to choose between dumb and dumber" (while showing a picture of the 2 remaining candidates)

I agree with you but I guess people will claim it's not clear enough. If you listen to his video, he clearly states his campaign is over and he won't be mayor (satisfying the rules): "Now that the campaign portion of my mission to save Los Angeles is coming to a close, and I'm moving on to the next, more interesting phase...." "I don't have campaign laws hamstringing me now." "Angelenos are now stuck with 2 morons responsible for all their problems, and they have to choose between dumb and dumber" (while showing a picture of the 2 remaining candidates)

michael52899 2026-06-19 01:21:56 Polymarket

I almost got wrecked on one of those markets when someone found an Instagram video of him dancing 😅

I almost got wrecked on one of those markets when someone found an Instagram video of him dancing 😅

michael52899 2026-06-18 23:52:22 Polymarket

Where can I find this for verification?

Where can I find this for verification?

michael52899 2026-06-18 12:53:07 Polymarket

I looked into this earlier and I didn't see a reason to dispute. The date of the wedding has not been confirmed afaik and I'm not even sure it matters, because it's just an announcement market and the market has been open since January 20.

I looked into this earlier and I didn't see a reason to dispute. The date of the wedding has not been confirmed afaik and I'm not even sure it matters, because it's just an announcement market and the market has been open since January 20.

michael52899 2026-06-18 05:47:28 Polymarket

NewsNation's White House reporter says there will still be a formal signing (in person) https://x.com/KellieMeyerNews/status/2067360918049022189

NewsNation's White House reporter says there will still be a formal signing (in person) https://x.com/KellieMeyerNews/status/2067360918049022189

michael52899 2026-06-18 04:57:37 Polymarket

I don't think that has happened yet

I don't think that has happened yet

michael52899 2026-06-17 14:48:06 Polymarket

Not much right now. I used to be active on Polymarket every day, and I got whitelisted in April, but I haven't had much time during the past few months. So right now I just follow a few markets and I sometimes check the proposal requests in this channel while doing other work. I have 68 proposals so far, and 0 disputes, which earned me about $330. Plus some extra money from buying the rest of the book when possible.

Not much right now. I used to be active on Polymarket every day, and I got whitelisted in April, but I haven't had much time during the past few months. So right now I just follow a few markets and I sometimes check the proposal requests in this channel while doing other work. I have 68 proposals so far, and 0 disputes, which earned me about $330. Plus some extra money from buying the rest of the book when possible.

michael52899 2026-06-17 13:36:02 Polymarket

Yes. But in this case the shares disappeared just before I could buy them. But I still proposed because it was a clear yes

Yes. But in this case the shares disappeared just before I could buy them. But I still proposed because it was a clear yes

michael52899 2026-06-17 10:54:48 Polymarket

Proposed, thanks

Proposed, thanks

michael52899 2026-06-17 10:12:52 Polymarket

Not me

Not me

michael52899 2026-06-17 08:07:41 Polymarket

I agree it should count as a praise but I'm worried it could get disputed for not being direct enough. I can propose if someone is willing to cover the bond

I agree it should count as a praise but I'm worried it could get disputed for not being direct enough. I can propose if someone is willing to cover the bond

michael52899 2026-06-17 03:51:15 Polymarket

Please include links to resolution sources for verification

Please include links to resolution sources for verification

michael52899 2026-06-16 09:16:37 Polymarket

It was proposed just a minute ago

It was proposed just a minute ago

michael52899 2026-06-16 06:23:37 Polymarket

Either that or there should be a list of trusted proposers. People who have a good track record, allowing them to propose with a smaller bond ($100, for example)

Either that or there should be a list of trusted proposers. People who have a good track record, allowing them to propose with a smaller bond ($100, for example)

michael52899 2026-06-16 06:05:24 Polymarket

I would love to propose more often but it's risky when people use silly precedents to file disputes. So I focus on markets I'm familiar with and it looks 100% safe. When I'm not familiar with a market, I sometimes ask if someone is willing to cover the $750 bond, but not many people do it. And I don't want to risk my own money for a $5 reward in a market I don't have a stake in. It's unfortunate because in most cases, the proposal would be fine.

I would love to propose more often but it's risky when people use silly precedents to file disputes. So I focus on markets I'm familiar with and it looks 100% safe. When I'm not familiar with a market, I sometimes ask if someone is willing to cover the $750 bond, but not many people do it. And I don't want to risk my own money for a $5 reward in a market I don't have a stake in. It's unfortunate because in most cases, the proposal would be fine.

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