聊天记录
共 58 条,显示第 1-50 条
Going to need a clarification for this one because "Unlocked" episodes are part of the same show. CBS listed Friday as Episode 2 and Sunday as Episode 3, but the Polymarket rules say Episode 2 on Sunday <@1072241194538651828> <@232362173291167745>
Going to need a clarification for this one because "Unlocked" episodes are part of the same show. CBS listed Friday as Episode 2 and Sunday as Episode 3, but the Polymarket rules say Episode 2 on Sunday <@1072241194538651828> <@232362173291167745>
I proposed, thanks
I proposed, thanks
I think the issue is that no one wants to go through hundreds of tweets to make sure there wasn't something people missed. So you either have to go through hundreds of tweets or risk $750 for a $5 reward and hope it's correct. I guess someone will do it eventually
I think the issue is that no one wants to go through hundreds of tweets to make sure there wasn't something people missed. So you either have to go through hundreds of tweets or risk $750 for a $5 reward and hope it's correct. I guess someone will do it eventually
This is not proposable until there's at least 1 datapoint from tomorrow.
"Revisions to temperatures recorded for each date within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered."
Feel free to DM when you see a datapoint for 13 July
This is not proposable until there's at least 1 datapoint from tomorrow.
"Revisions to temperatures recorded for each date within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered."
Feel free to DM when you see a datapoint for 13 July
Thanks for the tip 🙂
Thanks for the tip 🙂
It looks correct but I'm not active in esports so idk 100%. DM me if you're willing to cover the bond and then I'll propose it
It looks correct but I'm not active in esports so idk 100%. DM me if you're willing to cover the bond and then I'll propose it
Thanks. Great tip. I'll propose some of them soon
Thanks. Great tip. I'll propose some of them soon
I don't see it on the front page? A headline on the website doesn't count
I don't see it on the front page? A headline on the website doesn't count
Good catch, thanks. I proposed
Good catch, thanks. I proposed
You can really bet on anything on Polymarket
You can really bet on anything on Polymarket
Post this in <#775426315393433661>
Post this in <#775426315393433661>
Still waiting for the Ebola cases market. Will it be added?
Still waiting for the Ebola cases market. Will it be added?
Proposed, thanks
Proposed, thanks
I think this isn't proposable yet because the only signing that happened was virtual, so it doesn't satisfy the conditions to immediately resolve. Need to wait until July 8
I think this isn't proposable yet because the only signing that happened was virtual, so it doesn't satisfy the conditions to immediately resolve. Need to wait until July 8
He didn't hug someone, right? Easier to propose if it's a yes unless someone covers the bond for a no
He didn't hug someone, right? Easier to propose if it's a yes unless someone covers the bond for a no
You linked to the wrong market. I proposed for this week's market
You linked to the wrong market. I proposed for this week's market
Thanks, proposed
Thanks, proposed
Final classification is out so I proposed the first one. More later if it's still needed
Final classification is out so I proposed the first one. More later if it's still needed
I think this is proposable when the final classification is officially released, which usually happens within a few hours
I think this is proposable when the final classification is officially released, which usually happens within a few hours
Proposed
Proposed
I can only do 1 proposal at a time, but I'll take a look 🙂
I can only do 1 proposal at a time, but I'll take a look 🙂
Looks good, thanks. I'll propose in a bit
Looks good, thanks. I'll propose in a bit
Too early until there's a data point for 1 July
Too early until there's a data point for 1 July
About the Indonesian rupiah: Those are typically proposed when the data is finalized, which means, there's at least 1 data point after the end date. Ping me when 1 July is posted and I'll propose.
About the Indonesian rupiah: Those are typically proposed when the data is finalized, which means, there's at least 1 data point after the end date. Ping me when 1 July is posted and I'll propose.
They have already been proposed
They have already been proposed
I did a quick check and news reports that day said the game would be rescheduled, in which case the market stays open. Do you have a source confirming the game is definitely canceled?
I did a quick check and news reports that day said the game would be rescheduled, in which case the market stays open. Do you have a source confirming the game is definitely canceled?
Is there any update on adding the Ebola market? 🙏🏻
Is there any update on adding the Ebola market? 🙏🏻
**Ebola cases by July 31?**
1250 - 1500 - 1750 - 2000 - 2250
**Ebola cases in 2026?**
↑2k - ↑3k - ↑4k - ↑5k - ↑7.5k - ↑10k
Rules for both markets:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Ebola in humans in the world in 2026, according to the WHO case counter by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (for 2026 market: December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be WHO's case counter (see: https://www.who.int/emergencies/alert-and-response) at the resolution time, specifically, the total number of "Confirmed cases" among all affected countries.
If the counter becomes permanently unavailable or has not been updated for at least 5 days, another credible source will be used.
Notes: Only cases reported by WHO will qualify, regardless of reports from individual countries or other sources. Suspected or probable cases do not count towards resolution.
**Ebola cases by July 31?**
1250 - 1500 - 1750 - 2000 - 2250
**Ebola cases in 2026?**
↑2k - ↑3k - ↑4k - ↑5k - ↑7.5k - ↑10k
Rules for both markets:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Ebola in humans in the world in 2026, according to the WHO case counter by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (for 2026 market: December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be WHO's case counter (see: https://www.who.int/emergencies/alert-and-response) at the resolution time, specifically, the total number of "Confirmed cases" among all affected countries.
If the counter becomes permanently unavailable or has not been updated for at least 5 days, another credible source will be used.
Notes: Only cases reported by WHO will qualify, regardless of reports from individual countries or other sources. Suspected or probable cases do not count towards resolution.
<@941405798096076880> <@1212792946341183578>
WHO is now providing daily updates about the Ebola outbreak. Please create a market similar to the measles outbreak in the U.S.
Monthly market: Ebola cases by July 31?
1250 - 1500 - 1750 - 2000 - 2250
2026 market: Ebola cases in 2026?
↑2k - ↑3k - ↑4k - ↑5k - ↑7.5k - ↑10k
Rules: Only confirmed cases count. Suspected or probable cases do not qualify.
Primary resolution source: The counter on https://www.who.int/emergencies/alert-and-response If the counter becomes unavailable or has not been updated for at least 5 days, other reporting from WHO may be used.
Only cases reported by the WHO will qualify, regardless of reports from individual countries or other sources.
Edit: I posted a more detailed version in <#874712580642439181>
<@941405798096076880> <@1212792946341183578>
WHO is now providing daily updates about the Ebola outbreak. Please create a market similar to the measles outbreak in the U.S.
Monthly market: Ebola cases by July 31?
1250 - 1500 - 1750 - 2000 - 2250
2026 market: Ebola cases in 2026?
↑2k - ↑3k - ↑4k - ↑5k - ↑7.5k - ↑10k
Rules: Only confirmed cases count. Suspected or probable cases do not qualify.
Primary resolution source: The counter on https://www.who.int/emergencies/alert-and-response If the counter becomes unavailable or has not been updated for at least 5 days, other reporting from WHO may be used.
Only cases reported by the WHO will qualify, regardless of reports from individual countries or other sources.
Edit: I posted a more detailed version in <#874712580642439181>
Thanks, proposed
Thanks, proposed
Thanks for providing a clear explanation and good links. I proposed
Thanks for providing a clear explanation and good links. I proposed
Proposed, thanks
Proposed, thanks
Proposed, thanks
Proposed, thanks
Thanks. I proposed one of them. I can only do 1 proposal at the same time, so I'll do more in a few hours if it's still needed
Thanks. I proposed one of them. I can only do 1 proposal at the same time, so I'll do more in a few hours if it's still needed
Please include a good source when you make a request. No one wants to do research for a $2 reward
Please include a good source when you make a request. No one wants to do research for a $2 reward
I agree with you but I guess people will claim it's not clear enough. If you listen to his video, he clearly states his campaign is over and he won't be mayor (satisfying the rules):
"Now that the campaign portion of my mission to save Los Angeles is coming to a close, and I'm moving on to the next, more interesting phase...."
"I don't have campaign laws hamstringing me now."
"Angelenos are now stuck with 2 morons responsible for all their problems, and they have to choose between dumb and dumber" (while showing a picture of the 2 remaining candidates)
I agree with you but I guess people will claim it's not clear enough. If you listen to his video, he clearly states his campaign is over and he won't be mayor (satisfying the rules):
"Now that the campaign portion of my mission to save Los Angeles is coming to a close, and I'm moving on to the next, more interesting phase...."
"I don't have campaign laws hamstringing me now."
"Angelenos are now stuck with 2 morons responsible for all their problems, and they have to choose between dumb and dumber" (while showing a picture of the 2 remaining candidates)
I almost got wrecked on one of those markets when someone found an Instagram video of him dancing 😅
I almost got wrecked on one of those markets when someone found an Instagram video of him dancing 😅
Where can I find this for verification?
Where can I find this for verification?
I looked into this earlier and I didn't see a reason to dispute. The date of the wedding has not been confirmed afaik and I'm not even sure it matters, because it's just an announcement market and the market has been open since January 20.
I looked into this earlier and I didn't see a reason to dispute. The date of the wedding has not been confirmed afaik and I'm not even sure it matters, because it's just an announcement market and the market has been open since January 20.
NewsNation's White House reporter says there will still be a formal signing (in person) https://x.com/KellieMeyerNews/status/2067360918049022189
NewsNation's White House reporter says there will still be a formal signing (in person) https://x.com/KellieMeyerNews/status/2067360918049022189
I don't think that has happened yet
I don't think that has happened yet
Not much right now. I used to be active on Polymarket every day, and I got whitelisted in April, but I haven't had much time during the past few months.
So right now I just follow a few markets and I sometimes check the proposal requests in this channel while doing other work. I have 68 proposals so far, and 0 disputes, which earned me about $330. Plus some extra money from buying the rest of the book when possible.
Not much right now. I used to be active on Polymarket every day, and I got whitelisted in April, but I haven't had much time during the past few months.
So right now I just follow a few markets and I sometimes check the proposal requests in this channel while doing other work. I have 68 proposals so far, and 0 disputes, which earned me about $330. Plus some extra money from buying the rest of the book when possible.
Yes. But in this case the shares disappeared just before I could buy them. But I still proposed because it was a clear yes
Yes. But in this case the shares disappeared just before I could buy them. But I still proposed because it was a clear yes
Proposed, thanks
Proposed, thanks
Not me
Not me
I agree it should count as a praise but I'm worried it could get disputed for not being direct enough. I can propose if someone is willing to cover the bond
I agree it should count as a praise but I'm worried it could get disputed for not being direct enough. I can propose if someone is willing to cover the bond
Please include links to resolution sources for verification
Please include links to resolution sources for verification
It was proposed just a minute ago
It was proposed just a minute ago
Either that or there should be a list of trusted proposers. People who have a good track record, allowing them to propose with a smaller bond ($100, for example)
Either that or there should be a list of trusted proposers. People who have a good track record, allowing them to propose with a smaller bond ($100, for example)
I would love to propose more often but it's risky when people use silly precedents to file disputes. So I focus on markets I'm familiar with and it looks 100% safe.
When I'm not familiar with a market, I sometimes ask if someone is willing to cover the $750 bond, but not many people do it. And I don't want to risk my own money for a $5 reward in a market I don't have a stake in.
It's unfortunate because in most cases, the proposal would be fine.
I would love to propose more often but it's risky when people use silly precedents to file disputes. So I focus on markets I'm familiar with and it looks 100% safe.
When I'm not familiar with a market, I sometimes ask if someone is willing to cover the $750 bond, but not many people do it. And I don't want to risk my own money for a $5 reward in a market I don't have a stake in.
It's unfortunate because in most cases, the proposal would be fine.