PolymarketThe literal text of the rules mandates a YES resolution. Here is why:The Event Condition Was Met: The rules state: "This market will resolve to 'Yes' if MicroStrategy sells any of its Bitcoin by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified." MicroStrategy's official SEC Form 8-K legally logs the transaction as completed "as of May 31, 2026, 4:00 PM ET." The sale definitively occurred before the 11:59 PM deadline.The Source Material is Authorized: The rules state: "The primary resolution source for this market will be information from MSTR..." The SEC 8-K filing is the highest, most authoritative information directly from MSTR.No Reporting Window Was Dictated: The original rules never specified that the information or reporting had to be made public before 11:59 PM ET—only that the sale had to happen before then.Adding an unwritten "reporting window constraint" after the fact violates basic contractual text integrity. Factually, legally, and logically, the correct oracle resolution based on the strict rule text is YES.
The literal text of the rules mandates a YES resolution. Here is why:The Event Condition Was Met: The rules state: "This market will resolve to 'Yes' if MicroStrategy sells any of its Bitcoin by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified." MicroStrategy's official SEC Form 8-K legally logs the transaction as completed "as of May 31, 2026, 4:00 PM ET." The sale definitively occurred before the 11:59 PM deadline.The Source Material is Authorized: The rules state: "The primary resolution source for this market will be information from MSTR..." The SEC 8-K filing is the highest, most authoritative information directly from MSTR.No Reporting Window Was Dictated: The original rules never specified that the information or reporting had to be made public before 11:59 PM ET—only that the sale had to happen before then.Adding an unwritten "reporting window constraint" after the fact violates basic contractual text integrity. Factually, legally, and logically, the correct oracle resolution based on the strict rule text is YES.