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estoic参与话题 2消息总数 135

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estoic 2026-07-13 18:52:42 Polymarket

Someone is being farmed

Someone is being farmed

estoic 2026-07-13 18:50:16 Polymarket

<:scam:1479898552590270565>

<:scam:1479898552590270565>

estoic 2026-07-13 18:50:06 Polymarket

Gulf july 9

Gulf july 9

estoic 2026-07-13 18:47:39 Polymarket

https://klipy.com/gifs/dancing-cockroach-rainbow

https://klipy.com/gifs/dancing-cockroach-rainbow

estoic 2026-07-13 18:45:47 Polymarket

Nothing ever happens

Nothing ever happens

estoic 2026-07-13 18:45:37 Polymarket

All no

All no

estoic 2026-07-13 18:43:43 Polymarket

Nothing ever happens

Nothing ever happens

estoic 2026-07-13 18:34:38 Polymarket

Maybe i can add something

Maybe i can add something

estoic 2026-07-13 18:34:14 Polymarket

If someone really have something for the 9 send dm

If someone really have something for the 9 send dm

estoic 2026-07-13 18:33:12 Polymarket

0 evidence for the 12

0 evidence for the 12

estoic 2026-07-13 18:31:41 Polymarket

<:wow:1480174271589384212>

<:wow:1480174271589384212>

estoic 2026-07-13 18:30:45 Polymarket

Im not readin altat

Im not readin altat

estoic 2026-07-12 16:46:10 Polymarket

<:ICANT:1306491472417263636> @Phantom fuck this im moving to metamask

<:ICANT:1306491472417263636> @Phantom fuck this im moving to metamask

estoic 2026-07-12 15:02:46 Polymarket

<a:sex:1408229053013426196>

<a:sex:1408229053013426196>

estoic 2026-07-12 15:01:32 Polymarket

vro.. im not able to do nothing

vro.. im not able to do nothing

estoic 2026-07-12 12:06:25 Polymarket

https://klipy.com/gifs/argentina-argentinian-2

https://klipy.com/gifs/argentina-argentinian-2

estoic 2026-07-12 10:13:07 Polymarket

<:Sadding:1306492753869537382> 67 billion company

<:Sadding:1306492753869537382> 67 billion company

estoic 2026-07-11 14:02:48 Polymarket

Try to study for at least one hour a day man

Try to study for at least one hour a day man

estoic 2026-07-11 13:44:03 Polymarket

https://klipy.com/gifs/pikachu-116

https://klipy.com/gifs/pikachu-116

estoic 2026-07-11 13:25:05 Polymarket

https://klipy.com/gifs/bahaha-lol

https://klipy.com/gifs/bahaha-lol

estoic 2026-07-11 12:51:16 Polymarket

praise be to allah

praise be to allah

estoic 2026-07-11 10:23:15 Polymarket

I was about to copytrade you

I was about to copytrade you

estoic 2026-07-11 10:23:07 Polymarket

I check that on polyanalytics

I check that on polyanalytics

estoic 2026-07-11 10:21:54 Polymarket

Ye very crazy

Ye very crazy

estoic 2026-07-11 10:21:26 Polymarket

The second Israel recognition

The second Israel recognition

estoic 2026-07-11 10:20:49 Polymarket

The first market that i was scammed

The first market that i was scammed

estoic 2026-07-11 10:20:37 Polymarket

Epstein suicide note was a yes

Epstein suicide note was a yes

estoic 2026-07-09 18:42:11 Polymarket

Yes, I think the market was handled splendidly, flawlessly. Imagine allowing untimely evidence for all futures markets; it's logically ridiculous. When would it end? This whole issue seems stupid to me.

Yes, I think the market was handled splendidly, flawlessly. Imagine allowing untimely evidence for all futures markets; it's logically ridiculous. When would it end? This whole issue seems stupid to me.

estoic 2026-07-09 18:35:16 Polymarket

Beyond Polymarket's decision, I mean that Willo is facing a difficult legal situation, from accepting the platform's terms to having to prove negligence, to the reality of processes like these. This doesn't work like the movies; it's much more boring.

Beyond Polymarket's decision, I mean that Willo is facing a difficult legal situation, from accepting the platform's terms to having to prove negligence, to the reality of processes like these. This doesn't work like the movies; it's much more boring.

estoic 2026-07-09 18:28:28 Polymarket

No way willo win that shirty case imo, very low chance

No way willo win that shirty case imo, very low chance

estoic 2026-07-09 14:16:37 Polymarket

bonjour

bonjour

estoic 2026-07-08 03:48:55 Polymarket

# The Trump administration took a formal country-specific action aimed at partially suspending U.S. entry. The qualifying action came on January 21, 2026. The State Department states: ```Effective January 21, 2026, the Department of State paused all visa issuances to immigrant visa applicants who are nationals of the following countries:``` The State Department then lists 75 countries, including countries that were not part of the 39-country Proclamation 10998 baseline, such as Brazil, Colombia, Egypt, Pakistan, Russia, Bangladesh, Morocco, Thailand, Kazakhstan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Nepal, Uruguay, and Uzbekistan. **That satisfies the market’s positive requirement**: -> formal action by the Trump administration; -> within the market window; -> aimed at nationals of specific countries; -> includes additional countries not covered by the December 16 proclamation; -> partially restricts entry through the immigrant-visa pathway. **The “blanket action” exception does not apply**, because the market excludes generalized restrictions on visa classes which __do not target a specific country or countries.__ This action does target specific countries. It is not a global pause on all immigrant visas. It is a pause on immigrant visa issuance for applicants who are nationals of a specific list of countries. So the key distinction is: -> Not qualifying: “all immigrant visas are paused worldwide.” -> **Qualifying**: “immigrant visas are paused for nationals of these specific countries.” A possible No argument is that the January 21 action paused visa issuance, not entry in every possible form. That is the strongest No argument, but it is still weak under this market’s wording. The market does not require a total ban. It only requires **formal action aimed at fully or partially suspending entry.** Pausing immigrant visa issuance for nationals of additional countries partially restricts entry through the immigrant-visa pathway. The State Department itself treats visa issuance and entry together in the Proclamation 10998 context. It describes Proclamation 10998 as fully or partially suspending entry and visa issuance for nationals of 39 countries. That supports reading a nationality-based visa-issuance pause as at least a partial entry restriction. **The exception is not triggered and the essential requirement is met: THIS MARKET SHOULD RESOLVE YES.** # Sources U.S. Department of State — Suspension of Visa Issuance to Foreign Nationals to Protect the Security of the United States https://travel.state.gov/content/travel/en/News/visas-news/suspension-of-visa-issuance-to-foreign-nationals-to-protect-the-security-of-the-united-states.html U.S. Department of State — Immigrant Visa Processing Updates for Nationalities at High Risk of U.S. Public Benefits Reliance https://travel.state.gov/content/travel/en/News/visas-news/immigrant-visa-processing-updates-for-nationalities-at-high-risk-of-public-benefits-usage.html Reuters — Trump administration to suspend immigrant visa processing for 75 nations https://www.reuters.com/world/us/us-suspend-visa-processing-75-nations-next-week-fox-news-reports-2026-01-14/ White House — Restricting and Limiting the Entry of Foreign Nationals to Protect the Security of the United States https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/12/restricting-and-limiting-the-entry-of-foreign-nationals-to-protect-the-security-of-the-united-states/

# The Trump administration took a formal country-specific action aimed at partially suspending U.S. entry. The qualifying action came on January 21, 2026. The State Department states: ```Effective January 21, 2026, the Department of State paused all visa issuances to immigrant visa applicants who are nationals of the following countries:``` The State Department then lists 75 countries, including countries that were not part of the 39-country Proclamation 10998 baseline, such as Brazil, Colombia, Egypt, Pakistan, Russia, Bangladesh, Morocco, Thailand, Kazakhstan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Nepal, Uruguay, and Uzbekistan. **That satisfies the market’s positive requirement**: -> formal action by the Trump administration; -> within the market window; -> aimed at nationals of specific countries; -> includes additional countries not covered by the December 16 proclamation; -> partially restricts entry through the immigrant-visa pathway. **The “blanket action” exception does not apply**, because the market excludes generalized restrictions on visa classes which __do not target a specific country or countries.__ This action does target specific countries. It is not a global pause on all immigrant visas. It is a pause on immigrant visa issuance for applicants who are nationals of a specific list of countries. So the key distinction is: -> Not qualifying: “all immigrant visas are paused worldwide.” -> **Qualifying**: “immigrant visas are paused for nationals of these specific countries.” A possible No argument is that the January 21 action paused visa issuance, not entry in every possible form. That is the strongest No argument, but it is still weak under this market’s wording. The market does not require a total ban. It only requires **formal action aimed at fully or partially suspending entry.** Pausing immigrant visa issuance for nationals of additional countries partially restricts entry through the immigrant-visa pathway. The State Department itself treats visa issuance and entry together in the Proclamation 10998 context. It describes Proclamation 10998 as fully or partially suspending entry and visa issuance for nationals of 39 countries. That supports reading a nationality-based visa-issuance pause as at least a partial entry restriction. **The exception is not triggered and the essential requirement is met: THIS MARKET SHOULD RESOLVE YES.** # Sources U.S. Department of State — Suspension of Visa Issuance to Foreign Nationals to Protect the Security of the United States https://travel.state.gov/content/travel/en/News/visas-news/suspension-of-visa-issuance-to-foreign-nationals-to-protect-the-security-of-the-united-states.html U.S. Department of State — Immigrant Visa Processing Updates for Nationalities at High Risk of U.S. Public Benefits Reliance https://travel.state.gov/content/travel/en/News/visas-news/immigrant-visa-processing-updates-for-nationalities-at-high-risk-of-public-benefits-usage.html Reuters — Trump administration to suspend immigrant visa processing for 75 nations https://www.reuters.com/world/us/us-suspend-visa-processing-75-nations-next-week-fox-news-reports-2026-01-14/ White House — Restricting and Limiting the Entry of Foreign Nationals to Protect the Security of the United States https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/12/restricting-and-limiting-the-entry-of-foreign-nationals-to-protect-the-security-of-the-united-states/

estoic 2026-07-07 02:21:37 Polymarket

https://polymarket.com/event/trump-fully-suspends-entry-to-the-us-for-more-countries-by/trump-fully-suspends-entry-to-the-us-for-more-countries-by-june-30-2026 yes

https://polymarket.com/event/trump-fully-suspends-entry-to-the-us-for-more-countries-by/trump-fully-suspends-entry-to-the-us-for-more-countries-by-june-30-2026 yes

estoic 2026-07-04 13:26:47 Polymarket

Since it already happened, why discuss it so much? But I'll just say that if that didn't work, I had more qualifying events.

Since it already happened, why discuss it so much? But I'll just say that if that didn't work, I had more qualifying events.

estoic 2026-07-04 13:25:45 Polymarket

Not much, the people in the back were laughing so there wasn't much context

Not much, the people in the back were laughing so there wasn't much context

estoic 2026-07-04 13:23:16 Polymarket

It's quite obvious from the context as well.

It's quite obvious from the context as well.

estoic 2026-07-04 13:22:40 Polymarket

not churchill you mean?

not churchill you mean?

estoic 2026-07-04 13:22:16 Polymarket

who

who

estoic 2026-07-04 13:18:32 Polymarket

I don't know if you saw the video, the people in the back are even laughing.

I don't know if you saw the video, the people in the back are even laughing.

estoic 2026-07-04 13:18:12 Polymarket

95y to me

95y to me

estoic 2026-07-04 13:14:08 Polymarket

definitely counted

definitely counted

estoic 2026-07-04 12:23:02 Polymarket

It's possible, but quite difficult.

It's possible, but quite difficult.

estoic 2026-07-04 12:22:23 Polymarket

hell nah

hell nah

estoic 2026-07-04 11:19:42 Polymarket

Fuck crypto you don't need the anxiety

Fuck crypto you don't need the anxiety

estoic 2026-07-04 11:15:37 Polymarket

a lot of people on the trenches hate this influencer narrative it sucks

a lot of people on the trenches hate this influencer narrative it sucks

estoic 2026-07-03 16:16:45 Polymarket

https://klipy.com/gifs/son-im-crine-8

https://klipy.com/gifs/son-im-crine-8

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