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EmperorZurg 2026-07-13 20:39:09 Polymarket

https://polymarket.com/event/big-brother-season-28-thursday-first-eviction-july-9-20260708183514172 This market resolves to "No Eviction" because the July 9, 2026, episode was the 90-minute season premiere, and no houseguest was eliminated or removed from the competition during the broadcast. Per the market rules, since no qualifying eviction aired before the July 9 deadline, the market must strictly resolve to "No Eviction." The Big Brother Season 28 episode that aired on July 9, 2026 (the 90-minute season premiere) introduced the houseguests, the "Time Trip" theme, surprise veteran entries (including Angela Murray, Rick Devens, and a brief Rachel Reilly appearance), and initial safety challenges/HOH setup. No houseguest was evicted or removed from further competition during that broadcast in any form that meets the market criteria (standard eviction, surprise vote, double eviction, challenge-based elimination, etc.). Rachel Reilly’s exit was a pre-eviction twist during the HOH competition setup and does not qualify. Per the market rules, since no qualifying eviction aired on the official broadcast by July 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market resolves to “No Eviction.” The first eviction of the season took place on a later episode. Kalshi already resolved to No Eviction. https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbigbrotherelimination/who-will-be-eliminated-from-big-brother/kxbigbrotherelimination-26jul09.

https://polymarket.com/event/big-brother-season-28-thursday-first-eviction-july-9-20260708183514172 This market resolves to "No Eviction" because the July 9, 2026, episode was the 90-minute season premiere, and no houseguest was eliminated or removed from the competition during the broadcast. Per the market rules, since no qualifying eviction aired before the July 9 deadline, the market must strictly resolve to "No Eviction." The Big Brother Season 28 episode that aired on July 9, 2026 (the 90-minute season premiere) introduced the houseguests, the "Time Trip" theme, surprise veteran entries (including Angela Murray, Rick Devens, and a brief Rachel Reilly appearance), and initial safety challenges/HOH setup. No houseguest was evicted or removed from further competition during that broadcast in any form that meets the market criteria (standard eviction, surprise vote, double eviction, challenge-based elimination, etc.). Rachel Reilly’s exit was a pre-eviction twist during the HOH competition setup and does not qualify. Per the market rules, since no qualifying eviction aired on the official broadcast by July 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market resolves to “No Eviction.” The first eviction of the season took place on a later episode. Kalshi already resolved to No Eviction. https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbigbrotherelimination/who-will-be-eliminated-from-big-brother/kxbigbrotherelimination-26jul09.

EmperorZurg 2026-07-06 00:28:07 Polymarket

Proposed outcome: No https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-do-on-the-4th-of-july-20260629184051836 Rationale: The market resolves Yes only if @realDonaldTrump posted 20 or more times on Truth Social between July 4, 2026 12:00 AM ET and July 4, 2026 11:59 PM ET. The market’s stated resolution source is XTracker’s “Post Counter” figure at https://xtracker.polymarket.com/, with individual posts viewable via Export Data. Using the XTracker export/daily metrics for @realDonaldTrump Truth Social posts, the relevant Eastern Time window is July 4, 2026 12:00 AM ET through July 4, 2026 11:59 PM ET. The XTracker count for that ET window is 19 posts. Because 19 is below the required threshold of 20 or more, the correct resolution is No.

Proposed outcome: No https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-do-on-the-4th-of-july-20260629184051836 Rationale: The market resolves Yes only if @realDonaldTrump posted 20 or more times on Truth Social between July 4, 2026 12:00 AM ET and July 4, 2026 11:59 PM ET. The market’s stated resolution source is XTracker’s “Post Counter” figure at https://xtracker.polymarket.com/, with individual posts viewable via Export Data. Using the XTracker export/daily metrics for @realDonaldTrump Truth Social posts, the relevant Eastern Time window is July 4, 2026 12:00 AM ET through July 4, 2026 11:59 PM ET. The XTracker count for that ET window is 19 posts. Because 19 is below the required threshold of 20 or more, the correct resolution is No.