聊天记录
共 6 条,显示第 1-6 条
-Market Title
Trump approval rating on July 10?
-Outcomes
<39.0
39.0–39.4
39.5–39.9
40.0–40.4
40.5-40.9
41.0+
-Market Description
Approval rating for Donald Trump in the Silver Bulletin's poll aggregator on July 10.
-Proposed Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 10, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
-Resolution source
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
-Market Title
Trump approval rating on July 10?
-Outcomes
<39.0
39.0–39.4
39.5–39.9
40.0–40.4
40.5-40.9
41.0+
-Market Description
Approval rating for Donald Trump in the Silver Bulletin's poll aggregator on July 10.
-Proposed Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 10, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
-Resolution source
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
-Market Title
Trump approval rating on June 5?
-Outcomes
<38.0
38.0–38.4
38.5–38.9
39.0–39.4
39.5-39.9
40.0+
-Market Description
Approval rating for Donald Trump in the Silver Bulletin's poll aggregator on June 26.
-Proposed Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 26, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
-Resolution source
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
-Market Title
Trump approval rating on June 5?
-Outcomes
<38.0
38.0–38.4
38.5–38.9
39.0–39.4
39.5-39.9
40.0+
-Market Description
Approval rating for Donald Trump in the Silver Bulletin's poll aggregator on June 26.
-Proposed Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 26, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
-Resolution source
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Please, add the next iteration of this market for June 26. https://polymarket.com/event/trump-approval-rating-on-june-19-20260612214537034/will-trumps-approval-rating-be-between-39pt0-and-39pt4-on-june-19-2026-20260612214537961
Please, add the next iteration of this market for June 26. https://polymarket.com/event/trump-approval-rating-on-june-19-20260612214537034/will-trumps-approval-rating-be-between-39pt0-and-39pt4-on-june-19-2026-20260612214537961
-Market Title
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
-Outcomes
Up Down
-Market Description
Change in Donald Trump's presidential approval between May 29 and June 5, 2026 according to SIlver Bulletin.
-Proposed Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 5, 2026, than on May 29, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 29, 2026, than on June 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
-Resolution source
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
-Market Title
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
-Outcomes
Up Down
-Market Description
Change in Donald Trump's presidential approval between May 29 and June 5, 2026 according to SIlver Bulletin.
-Proposed Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 5, 2026, than on May 29, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 29, 2026, than on June 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
-Resolution source
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Please, add the next iteration of this market for June 5. https://polymarket.com/event/trump-approval-rating-on-may-29
Please, add the next iteration of this market for June 5. https://polymarket.com/event/trump-approval-rating-on-may-29
-Market Title
Trump approval rating on June 6?
-Outcomes
<37.5
37.5–37.9
38.0–38.4
38.5–38.9
39.0–39.4
39.5+
-Market Description
Approval rating for Donald Trump in the Silver Bulletin's poll aggregator on June 6.
-Proposed Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 6, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
-Resolution source
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
-Market Title
Trump approval rating on June 6?
-Outcomes
<37.5
37.5–37.9
38.0–38.4
38.5–38.9
39.0–39.4
39.5+
-Market Description
Approval rating for Donald Trump in the Silver Bulletin's poll aggregator on June 6.
-Proposed Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 6, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
-Resolution source
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.