Market Title: Will Mykhailo Fedorov be confirmed as Ukraine's Minister of Defense by July 31, 2026? Yes / No Market Description: Resolves Yes if Fedorov is officially confirmed as Minister of Defense by the Verkhovna Rada or Presidential decree on or before July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Kyiv time. Otherwise resolves No. Resolution Criteria: - Only a formal Rada vote or signed Presidential decree counts — nominations, proposals, or "acting minister" status do not count as confirmation. - If anyone other than Fedorov is confirmed, this resolves No. - Primary source: rada.gov.ua, kmu.gov.ua, or Office of the President statements, supplemented by credible media (Reuters, Ukrainska Pravda, Interfax-Ukraine). - If material ambiguity remains at the deadline, the market may stay open 3 extra days; if still unresolved after that, it resolves No.
Market Title: Will Mykhailo Fedorov be confirmed as Ukraine's Minister of Defense by July 31, 2026? Yes / No Market Description: Resolves Yes if Fedorov is officially confirmed as Minister of Defense by the Verkhovna Rada or Presidential decree on or before July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Kyiv time. Otherwise resolves No. Resolution Criteria: - Only a formal Rada vote or signed Presidential decree counts — nominations, proposals, or "acting minister" status do not count as confirmation. - If anyone other than Fedorov is confirmed, this resolves No. - Primary source: rada.gov.ua, kmu.gov.ua, or Office of the President statements, supplemented by credible media (Reuters, Ukrainska Pravda, Interfax-Ukraine). - If material ambiguity remains at the deadline, the market may stay open 3 extra days; if still unresolved after that, it resolves No.