KalshiI don't disagree with that, but the names currently being tossed out to replace Graham are pretty bad candidates
I don't disagree with that, but the names currently being tossed out to replace Graham are pretty bad candidates
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共 240 条，显示第 1-50 条bad month for people betting Yes on apologies <:sadcat:1197913816785231953>
bad month for people betting Yes on apologies <:sadcat:1197913816785231953>
much crazier things have happened than that, its not like SC is THAT red where it would be an unbelievable result if it flipped
much crazier things have happened than that, its not like SC is THAT red where it would be an unbelievable result if it flipped
https://x.com/politlcsuk/status/2075559760187859072
https://x.com/politlcsuk/status/2075559760187859072
great news for shah - praise from one senator should cancel out the criticism from another senator
great news for shah - praise from one senator should cancel out the criticism from another senator
https://x.com/telegraph/status/2075165633512157424
https://x.com/telegraph/status/2075165633512157424
market on when it happens?
market on when it happens?
https://x.com/reedreports/status/2075239047371333778
https://x.com/reedreports/status/2075239047371333778
No binfaces have entered the race yet which is good for shah
No binfaces have entered the race yet which is good for shah
https://x.com/nirav_maine/status/2075173985029927185
https://x.com/nirav_maine/status/2075173985029927185
its very believable to me that this happened bc of incompetence. Most of the people in these positions are morons and could easily have botched the process of vetting Platner, not only at the start but also during the middle of the process
its very believable to me that this happened bc of incompetence. Most of the people in these positions are morons and could easily have botched the process of vetting Platner, not only at the start but also during the middle of the process
yea I saw similar stuff too, wish I had your betting instincts to go bigger on it. The rumor mill had a lot of stuff a few weeks back and it all seemed pretty believable
yea I saw similar stuff too, wish I had your betting instincts to go bigger on it. The rumor mill had a lot of stuff a few weeks back and it all seemed pretty believable
huge blunder if they don't learn any lessons from this. A candidate with this many issues needs to be disqualified way earlier
huge blunder if they don't learn any lessons from this. A candidate with this many issues needs to be disqualified way earlier
It could be the conspiracy theory where they just wanted to oust him. But also it could be simply due diligence - its an important seat so maybe some people finally caught up on the vetting they should've done months ago before its too late
It could be the conspiracy theory where they just wanted to oust him. But also it could be simply due diligence - its an important seat so maybe some people finally caught up on the vetting they should've done months ago before its too late
was as high as 42c too after it was obvious Platner was dropping
was as high as 42c too after it was obvious Platner was dropping
Collins vs TBD, presumably no scandals: 36c
Collins vs TBD, presumably no scandals: 36c
Collins against someone with a ton of scandals: 30c
Collins against someone with a ton of scandals: 30c
current state of the game is bad for courtsiders unless you actually know the game and can identify VAR reviews (or non reviews)
current state of the game is bad for courtsiders unless you actually know the game and can identify VAR reviews (or non reviews)
well, its just one game, not a big sample size. so could just get cooked on one VAR review
well, its just one game, not a big sample size. so could just get cooked on one VAR review
courtsiding with VAR is risky as hell
courtsiding with VAR is risky as hell
will be a fun one to watch because its really unclear at the moment which direction it goes. The republican primary markets get way less attention but imo that makes them way better to bet on
will be a fun one to watch because its really unclear at the moment which direction it goes. The republican primary markets get way less attention but imo that makes them way better to bet on
if you don't mind sharing, do you have any new bets on this or just sitting it out for now?
if you don't mind sharing, do you have any new bets on this or just sitting it out for now?
https://x.com/ericldaugh/status/2075023507860144240
https://x.com/ericldaugh/status/2075023507860144240
There is some risk there because that could happen but I don't think it would change things
There is some risk there because that could happen but I don't think it would change things
No probably not.
No probably not.
yea but Lindell is different, I just have a really hard time seeing it
yea but Lindell is different, I just have a really hard time seeing it
vibes. I live in MN and our state is too smart to pick a nonserious person like him
vibes. I live in MN and our state is too smart to pick a nonserious person like him
I have a lot of No on him
I have a lot of No on him
liq rewards would help
liq rewards would help
Minnesota needs more attention
Minnesota needs more attention
thats awesome, gotta feel so good when a bet like that hits. congrats
thats awesome, gotta feel so good when a bet like that hits. congrats
yea I had some too from June but way less than you lol
yea I had some too from June but way less than you lol
before the recent article I'm guessing?
before the recent article I'm guessing?
I mean - i should be happy making 4k but could've been much better, although I'm never gonna blame myself for derisking
I mean - i should be happy making 4k but could've been much better, although I'm never gonna blame myself for derisking
only made 4000 because I bailed on my position for today about 15 mins ago
only made 4000 because I bailed on my position for today about 15 mins ago
funny market
funny market
its over
its over
lol
lol
too funny, what a blunder by the Maine dems. odds have gone up that they completely botch this
too funny, what a blunder by the Maine dems. odds have gone up that they completely botch this
its a clue
its a clue
twitter knows something
twitter knows something
it doesn't have to be at all
it doesn't have to be at all
yea they could do that. I think its more likely they call attention to the survey when ending the campaign but who knows
yea they could do that. I think its more likely they call attention to the survey when ending the campaign but who knows
it's gotta be today, right? who ends a campaign and talks about next steps but holds off on the announcement
it's gotta be today, right? who ends a campaign and talks about next steps but holds off on the announcement
it really is a hilarious market
it really is a hilarious market
even if it doesn't, I know buying below 20c was the right play so I can live with it
even if it doesn't, I know buying below 20c was the right play so I can live with it
I just got today Y shares ridiculously cheap so am just gonna let it ride
I just got today Y shares ridiculously cheap so am just gonna let it ride
yea I don't get why they would talk about next steps publicly without also announcing the exit. Those two things go hand in hand with one another but who knows with this group of people
yea I don't get why they would talk about next steps publicly without also announcing the exit. Those two things go hand in hand with one another but who knows with this group of people
in a normal world it would be announced today
in a normal world it would be announced today
Platner probably should have a say. Voters definitely should have a say.
Platner probably should have a say. Voters definitely should have a say.
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