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aelx参与话题 3消息总数 222

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aelx 2026-06-25 12:22:36 Polymarket

check uma thread, consensus for Y has been reached

check uma thread, consensus for Y has been reached

aelx 2026-06-25 11:52:09 Polymarket

p4 until reporting reaches consensus?

p4 until reporting reaches consensus?

aelx 2026-06-25 11:34:52 Polymarket

I can't wait for the UMA thread

I can't wait for the UMA thread

aelx 2026-06-25 11:33:32 Polymarket

bm rules final nuclear

bm rules final nuclear

aelx 2026-06-25 11:33:23 Polymarket

New rules makes me hopeful for better clarifs as well

New rules makes me hopeful for better clarifs as well

aelx 2026-06-25 11:32:32 Polymarket

and its still a 50/50 whether they clarify or send it to UMA to raise the bar for next time even after you pay $1500

and its still a 50/50 whether they clarify or send it to UMA to raise the bar for next time even after you pay $1500

aelx 2026-06-25 11:31:02 Polymarket

Just wait for the next election and propose 5 things in it

Just wait for the next election and propose 5 things in it

aelx 2026-06-25 11:30:55 Polymarket

You just need 5 of those and then you can propose anything

You just need 5 of those and then you can propose anything

aelx 2026-06-21 13:01:12 Polymarket

I sold and I got refunded 90% of my losses

I sold and I got refunded 90% of my losses

aelx 2026-06-20 07:39:23 Polymarket

They tried the same with doha and failed, but only time will tell

They tried the same with doha and failed, but only time will tell

aelx 2026-06-20 07:39:10 Polymarket

They already likely had a low level meeting in qatar, they're still important even if they don't get in the press

They already likely had a low level meeting in qatar, they're still important even if they don't get in the press

aelx 2026-06-20 07:38:23 Polymarket

you think it'll get reported on if its low level?

you think it'll get reported on if its low level?

aelx 2026-06-20 07:33:19 Polymarket

oh yeah I forgot denizz was loading up on that lol

oh yeah I forgot denizz was loading up on that lol

aelx 2026-06-20 07:30:57 Polymarket

what else is left to scam from the deal? You think another perm peace next?

what else is left to scam from the deal? You think another perm peace next?

aelx 2026-06-20 07:30:01 Polymarket

If the deal didnt stop Irans enrichment surely it allows them to enrich 🤣

If the deal didnt stop Irans enrichment surely it allows them to enrich 🤣

aelx 2026-06-20 07:29:07 Polymarket

trump enrichment prolly gonna start soon?

trump enrichment prolly gonna start soon?

aelx 2026-06-20 07:25:23 Polymarket

people taking a break before next scam starts

people taking a break before next scam starts

aelx 2026-06-20 07:03:51 Polymarket

Only confirmation on Witkoff rn

Only confirmation on Witkoff rn

aelx 2026-06-20 07:02:52 Polymarket

I mean I don't see any iranian flight plans yet, idgi

I mean I don't see any iranian flight plans yet, idgi

aelx 2026-06-20 07:00:12 Polymarket

Will the iranian delegation even be there?

Will the iranian delegation even be there?

aelx 2026-06-20 06:55:16 Polymarket

I mean barack ravid tho

I mean barack ravid tho

aelx 2026-06-20 06:54:11 Polymarket

Chart would look bad if you didn't have a big dip before the pump 🤣

Chart would look bad if you didn't have a big dip before the pump 🤣

aelx 2026-06-20 06:14:14 Polymarket

Nah I sold all within seconds, I can still want better

Nah I sold all within seconds, I can still want better

aelx 2026-06-20 06:12:58 Polymarket

Very strange clarif

Very strange clarif

aelx 2026-06-20 03:35:13 Polymarket

Vance was the only one to say the iranians signed the peace deal

Vance was the only one to say the iranians signed the peace deal

aelx 2026-06-20 03:15:16 Polymarket

time for arguing is over

time for arguing is over

aelx 2026-06-19 07:49:44 Polymarket

as always with big markets both sides have a case to call the other a scam

as always with big markets both sides have a case to call the other a scam

aelx 2026-06-19 06:25:40 Polymarket

its prolly an oil hedge

its prolly an oil hedge

aelx 2026-06-19 03:59:16 Polymarket

take your orders down guys, no guarantee they'll be cleared

take your orders down guys, no guarantee they'll be cleared

aelx 2026-06-19 03:52:15 Polymarket

could be retail?

could be retail?

aelx 2026-06-19 03:20:25 Polymarket

Anyone know when we're getting the primary refund?

Anyone know when we're getting the primary refund?

aelx 2026-06-19 03:18:37 Polymarket

Watching macron next to trump as he signed the deal makes me not believe positive shit from uninvolved countries

Watching macron next to trump as he signed the deal makes me not believe positive shit from uninvolved countries

aelx 2026-06-19 03:17:58 Polymarket

Everyone wants it to be real until trump confirms he doesn't want to commit to the deal imo

Everyone wants it to be real until trump confirms he doesn't want to commit to the deal imo

aelx 2026-06-19 03:16:35 Polymarket

Iran wants a payment before negotiations and instead trump just autographed the deal to put his PR on the line

Iran wants a payment before negotiations and instead trump just autographed the deal to put his PR on the line

aelx 2026-06-19 03:15:52 Polymarket

taco

taco

aelx 2026-06-19 03:14:17 Polymarket

We'll see what the reporting says if no JD, its pretty secluded so its hard to confirm

We'll see what the reporting says if no JD, its pretty secluded so its hard to confirm

aelx 2026-06-19 03:13:18 Polymarket

if jd doesn't go it could get the doha treatment

if jd doesn't go it could get the doha treatment

aelx 2026-06-18 15:30:10 Polymarket

Needs to be “authorized representative”, we have no confirmation in media of this

Needs to be “authorized representative”, we have no confirmation in media of this

aelx 2026-06-18 15:29:23 Polymarket

I was on Y but sold lol, it’s not pumping for a while it

I was on Y but sold lol, it’s not pumping for a while it

aelx 2026-06-18 15:28:44 Polymarket

They need to be a “party to the deal”, the question is what standard is that?

They need to be a “party to the deal”, the question is what standard is that?

aelx 2026-06-18 15:27:54 Polymarket

Israel was not a party to the deal, they were included in a clause

Israel was not a party to the deal, they were included in a clause

aelx 2026-06-18 15:25:57 Polymarket

Switzerland doubts

Switzerland doubts

aelx 2026-06-18 14:38:44 Polymarket

Did you ever figure out why there’s 9c of theta between the 19th and the 21st for meeting by?

Did you ever figure out why there’s 9c of theta between the 19th and the 21st for meeting by?

aelx 2026-06-18 14:34:56 Polymarket

Literally comically undemocratic

Literally comically undemocratic

aelx 2026-06-18 14:24:13 Polymarket

It’s also recently anything can flip

It’s also recently anything can flip

aelx 2026-06-18 14:23:31 Polymarket

I’m prolly stopping when summer break ends, I’m a gambling addict and this might be +ev lol

I’m prolly stopping when summer break ends, I’m a gambling addict and this might be +ev lol

aelx 2026-06-18 14:22:02 Polymarket

Sleeping with dispute positions is so scary

Sleeping with dispute positions is so scary

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