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Mitchieboi参与话题 50消息总数 4615

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Mitchieboi 2026-06-05 22:46:18 Kalshi

mamdani walks out dressed in this, what do you do?

mamdani walks out dressed in this, what do you do?

Mitchieboi 2026-06-05 22:44:17 Kalshi

probably struck off for markets like mamdani yeah

probably struck off for markets like mamdani yeah

Mitchieboi 2026-06-05 22:43:57 Kalshi

then they can view it on their phones like everyone else

then they can view it on their phones like everyone else

Mitchieboi 2026-06-05 22:43:44 Kalshi

but you could argue that this event *was* opened to the press too

but you could argue that this event *was* opened to the press too

Mitchieboi 2026-06-05 22:43:27 Kalshi

it's counted in the past

it's counted in the past

Mitchieboi 2026-06-05 22:43:25 Kalshi

I agree it should count

I agree it should count

Mitchieboi 2026-06-05 22:21:20 Kalshi

like you can't rule out that becerra and steyer both drop dead and hilton/bianco advance or whatever

like you can't rule out that becerra and steyer both drop dead and hilton/bianco advance or whatever

Mitchieboi 2026-06-05 22:21:05 Kalshi

since it's a primary

since it's a primary

Mitchieboi 2026-06-05 22:21:03 Kalshi

I guess it might be different

I guess it might be different

Mitchieboi 2026-06-05 22:20:35 Kalshi

but second advancer might be called in like a week right?

but second advancer might be called in like a week right?

Mitchieboi 2026-06-05 22:20:29 Kalshi

yeah

yeah

Mitchieboi 2026-06-05 22:19:07 Kalshi

the outright winner markets resolve early off consensus of reporting

the outright winner markets resolve early off consensus of reporting

Mitchieboi 2026-06-05 21:48:06 Kalshi

this guy is gonna laugh when this is D+30 by the end of it

this guy is gonna laugh when this is D+30 by the end of it

Mitchieboi 2026-06-05 21:47:59 Kalshi

lmao

lmao

Mitchieboi 2026-06-05 21:46:32 Kalshi

it's so lame

it's so lame

Mitchieboi 2026-06-05 21:46:30 Kalshi

and GOP has everything to gain by screaming fraud

and GOP has everything to gain by screaming fraud

Mitchieboi 2026-06-05 21:46:19 Kalshi

dems in CA won't ever remove E+7 because it favors them

dems in CA won't ever remove E+7 because it favors them

Mitchieboi 2026-06-05 21:46:12 Kalshi

but it's highly partisan

but it's highly partisan

Mitchieboi 2026-06-05 21:46:06 Kalshi

there's nothing at all untowards about the nature of the ballot situation

there's nothing at all untowards about the nature of the ballot situation

Mitchieboi 2026-06-05 21:45:49 Kalshi

just class fox news

just class fox news

Mitchieboi 2026-06-05 21:45:43 Kalshi

this shit pisses me off dude

this shit pisses me off dude

Mitchieboi 2026-06-05 21:44:36 Kalshi

a closed mouth gathers no feet

a closed mouth gathers no feet

Mitchieboi 2026-06-05 21:41:59 Kalshi

you have 1. right wing people lying 2. right wing people thinking the kalshi odds are manipulated 3. right wing people talking about how THERE'S NO WAY NITHYA CAN CATCH PRATT cause SHE WOULD NEED 75.3% OF THE REMAINING BALLOTS and I'M DOUBLING DOWN ON PRATT Y

you have 1. right wing people lying 2. right wing people thinking the kalshi odds are manipulated 3. right wing people talking about how THERE'S NO WAY NITHYA CAN CATCH PRATT cause SHE WOULD NEED 75.3% OF THE REMAINING BALLOTS and I'M DOUBLING DOWN ON PRATT Y

Mitchieboi 2026-06-05 21:41:24 Kalshi

it's so funny dude

it's so funny dude

Mitchieboi 2026-06-05 21:41:18 Kalshi

on X

on X

Mitchieboi 2026-06-05 21:41:17 Kalshi

r*tards

r*tards

Mitchieboi 2026-06-05 21:41:02 Kalshi

obviously

obviously

Mitchieboi 2026-06-05 21:41:00 Kalshi

that's not true

that's not true

Mitchieboi 2026-06-05 21:39:06 Kalshi

brown?

brown?

Mitchieboi 2026-06-05 21:38:58 Kalshi

yes

yes

Mitchieboi 2026-06-05 21:33:17 Kalshi

you can disagree with the pattern of allowing votes to arrive up to a week later, but there's no endemic fraud

you can disagree with the pattern of allowing votes to arrive up to a week later, but there's no endemic fraud

Mitchieboi 2026-06-05 21:33:01 Kalshi

it's been really funny

it's been really funny

Mitchieboi 2026-06-05 21:32:58 Kalshi

maga tards are crashing out on twitter over it once again

maga tards are crashing out on twitter over it once again

Mitchieboi 2026-06-05 21:31:55 Kalshi

no

no

Mitchieboi 2026-06-05 21:31:10 Kalshi

I would love to sell some risk rn but can't

I would love to sell some risk rn but can't

Mitchieboi 2026-06-05 21:30:59 Kalshi

but they may not all win 🙁

but they may not all win 🙁

Mitchieboi 2026-06-05 21:30:56 Kalshi

that I got in early before market was correctly pricing them

that I got in early before market was correctly pricing them

Mitchieboi 2026-06-05 21:30:50 Kalshi

I have some really good derivatives positions

I have some really good derivatives positions

Mitchieboi 2026-06-05 21:30:26 Kalshi

<@1334632742792466544> CA allows mail in votes postmarked by election day to be counted as long as they arrive within the week after election day (E+7). Plus there's ballot drop boxes, etc

<@1334632742792466544> CA allows mail in votes postmarked by election day to be counted as long as they arrive within the week after election day (E+7). Plus there's ballot drop boxes, etc

Mitchieboi 2026-06-05 21:29:34 Kalshi

that they're monitoring

that they're monitoring

Mitchieboi 2026-06-05 21:29:30 Kalshi

pretty much every big mentions trader has a bigger position on that

pretty much every big mentions trader has a bigger position on that

Mitchieboi 2026-06-05 21:29:15 Kalshi

fwiw a lot of people just aren't focused on mentions with the elections finishing up

fwiw a lot of people just aren't focused on mentions with the elections finishing up

Mitchieboi 2026-06-05 12:09:45 Kalshi

GOON MATERIAL

GOON MATERIAL

Mitchieboi 2026-06-05 05:04:29 Kalshi

Kathy is on my side fr

Kathy is on my side fr

Mitchieboi 2026-06-05 05:04:21 Kalshi

In my office

In my office

Mitchieboi 2026-06-05 05:04:19 Kalshi

This is going on the wall at the new house

This is going on the wall at the new house

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