PolymarketMarket Title Thailand strikes Cambodia by airstrike/drone/missile in July 2026? Outcomes Yes No Market Description This market will resolve to “Yes” if Thailand initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Cambodian soil or any Cambodian embassy or consulate between July 1, 2026 and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Proposed Resolution Criteria For the purposes of this market, a qualifying “strike” is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Thai military forces that impact Cambodian ground territory or any official Cambodian embassy or consulate, and that is officially acknowledged by the Thailand government or supported by a consensus of credible reporting. Missiles or drones which are intercepted and do not impact Cambodian territory will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted solely by Thai ground operatives will not qualify. If there is ambiguity regarding whether a qualifying strike occurred, this market may remain open until sufficient confirmation is available. Resolution Source A consensus of credible reporting from major international and regional news outlets, official Thai or Cambodian government statements, and/or military confirmations. Reason for Submission -The conflict and border tensions are still unresolved and could escalate again. -There are very few Southeast Asia geopolitical markets on Polymarket, especially involving Thailand and Cambodia. -Resolution is easy to verify through official statements and major international media coverage.
Market Title Thailand strikes Cambodia by airstrike/drone/missile in July 2026? Outcomes Yes No Market Description This market will resolve to “Yes” if Thailand initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Cambodian soil or any Cambodian embassy or consulate between July 1, 2026 and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Proposed Resolution Criteria For the purposes of this market, a qualifying “strike” is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Thai military forces that impact Cambodian ground territory or any official Cambodian embassy or consulate, and that is officially acknowledged by the Thailand government or supported by a consensus of credible reporting. Missiles or drones which are intercepted and do not impact Cambodian territory will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted solely by Thai ground operatives will not qualify. If there is ambiguity regarding whether a qualifying strike occurred, this market may remain open until sufficient confirmation is available. Resolution Source A consensus of credible reporting from major international and regional news outlets, official Thai or Cambodian government statements, and/or military confirmations. Reason for Submission -The conflict and border tensions are still unresolved and could escalate again. -There are very few Southeast Asia geopolitical markets on Polymarket, especially involving Thailand and Cambodia. -Resolution is easy to verify through official statements and major international media coverage.