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Swaggelwander参与话题 14消息总数 414

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Swaggelwander 2026-06-18 03:43:52 Polymarket

"um actually that deal will not resolve to yes until your car is in the scrapyard because maybe you dont pay your monthly payment on ur car and they repossess it so it doesnt count"

"um actually that deal will not resolve to yes until your car is in the scrapyard because maybe you dont pay your monthly payment on ur car and they repossess it so it doesnt count"

Swaggelwander 2026-06-18 03:43:00 Polymarket

enrichment is no, they will be allowed to enrich for their reactors

enrichment is no, they will be allowed to enrich for their reactors

Swaggelwander 2026-06-18 03:40:02 Polymarket

they can make one deal then another deal = 2 deal. why conditioning on "**final** deal"

they can make one deal then another deal = 2 deal. why conditioning on "**final** deal"

Swaggelwander 2026-06-17 23:56:40 Polymarket

ok

ok

Swaggelwander 2026-06-17 23:56:16 Polymarket

ah so uma fucked up? clear ~~p4~~p1 no?

ah so uma fucked up? clear ~~p4~~p1 no?

Swaggelwander 2026-06-17 23:55:40 Polymarket

https://polymarket.com/event/us-and-iran-sign-an-agreement-byptptpt-20260611221049850 for this one, how can it be signed if they say they will sign it tomorrow?

https://polymarket.com/event/us-and-iran-sign-an-agreement-byptptpt-20260611221049850 for this one, how can it be signed if they say they will sign it tomorrow?

Swaggelwander 2026-06-17 23:52:12 Polymarket

For real though, aircraft flying in the airspace rn kinda does show its not closed

For real though, aircraft flying in the airspace rn kinda does show its not closed

Swaggelwander 2026-06-17 23:51:47 Polymarket

Can someone in Iran call them? https://ais.airport.ir/contact-us

Can someone in Iran call them? https://ais.airport.ir/contact-us

Swaggelwander 2026-06-17 23:50:48 Polymarket

if airspace is closed why do airplanes fly in it? check mate yestards

if airspace is closed why do airplanes fly in it? check mate yestards

Swaggelwander 2026-06-17 23:49:41 Polymarket

One No argument is UMA votes no anyways

One No argument is UMA votes no anyways

Swaggelwander 2026-06-17 23:44:19 Polymarket

This is already the rule for announcements Trump makes. He can say things literally and it still resolves No

This is already the rule for announcements Trump makes. He can say things literally and it still resolves No

Swaggelwander 2026-06-17 23:39:42 Polymarket

Yes this admin has a strong history of *checks notes* telling the truth

Yes this admin has a strong history of *checks notes* telling the truth

Swaggelwander 2026-06-17 23:33:57 Polymarket

Notards

Notards

Swaggelwander 2026-06-17 23:31:34 Polymarket

sir a second plane has hit the twin markets

sir a second plane has hit the twin markets

Swaggelwander 2026-06-17 14:52:21 Polymarket

you should Yes iran x israel peace, its in the MoU so it will resolve yes if they sign on friday

you should Yes iran x israel peace, its in the MoU so it will resolve yes if they sign on friday

Swaggelwander 2026-06-17 14:51:57 Polymarket

ok i agree im all in No

ok i agree im all in No

Swaggelwander 2026-06-17 14:50:15 Polymarket

https://tenor.com/view/i-ain%E2%80%99t-reading-all-that-happy-for-u-tho-happy-for-you-tho-sorry-that-happened-too-long-didn%E2%80%99t-read-gif-9353839682789985827

https://tenor.com/view/i-ain%E2%80%99t-reading-all-that-happy-for-u-tho-happy-for-you-tho-sorry-that-happened-too-long-didn%E2%80%99t-read-gif-9353839682789985827

Swaggelwander 2026-06-17 14:49:48 Polymarket

Maybe they will sign it and never publish the agreement because trump is ashamed lmao

Maybe they will sign it and never publish the agreement because trump is ashamed lmao

Swaggelwander 2026-06-17 03:39:50 Polymarket

how come? It says us and all its allies in the current war. That includes israel, they are an ally of US in the USA-israel war on Iran

how come? It says us and all its allies in the current war. That includes israel, they are an ally of US in the USA-israel war on Iran

Swaggelwander 2026-06-17 03:39:06 Polymarket

you're retarded fixed that for ya

you're retarded fixed that for ya

Swaggelwander 2026-06-17 03:38:37 Polymarket

If this is true and us+iran sign it, will israel+iran peace resolve yes?

If this is true and us+iran sign it, will israel+iran peace resolve yes?

Swaggelwander 2026-06-16 23:32:30 Polymarket

You should quit while ahead

You should quit while ahead

Swaggelwander 2026-06-16 23:28:27 Polymarket

So the us-iran peace market was resolved wrongly to yes?

So the us-iran peace market was resolved wrongly to yes?

Swaggelwander 2026-06-16 23:27:52 Polymarket

In non-euclidean space yes

In non-euclidean space yes

Swaggelwander 2026-06-16 23:26:48 Polymarket

Im talking Iran-Israel not Israel-hesb

Im talking Iran-Israel not Israel-hesb

Swaggelwander 2026-06-16 23:25:11 Polymarket

It has always been the US-Israel war on Iran, the war is over thus there is Israel-Iran peace gg

It has always been the US-Israel war on Iran, the war is over thus there is Israel-Iran peace gg

Swaggelwander 2026-06-16 23:24:21 Polymarket

The war is over but there isnt peace between Israel and Iran? I don't get it

The war is over but there isnt peace between Israel and Iran? I don't get it

Swaggelwander 2026-06-16 19:38:13 Polymarket

june 15th passed, there were no news on june 15th so it can not go yes? today is 16th all sources say 16th?

june 15th passed, there were no news on june 15th so it can not go yes? today is 16th all sources say 16th?

Swaggelwander 2026-06-16 19:37:32 Polymarket

Why are yall so focused on hezbollah x israel not israel x iran? Both are 85%

Why are yall so focused on hezbollah x israel not israel x iran? Both are 85%

Swaggelwander 2026-06-16 18:02:34 Polymarket

After

After

Swaggelwander 2026-06-16 18:01:17 Polymarket

worked for me

worked for me

Swaggelwander 2026-06-16 03:25:33 Polymarket

thanks ❤️

thanks ❤️

Swaggelwander 2026-06-16 03:18:38 Polymarket Colocation KYC 审批耗时数周无进展

Is it possible to get an update on colo KYC? I applied like 5 days ago by now

Is it possible to get an update on colo KYC? I applied like 5 days ago by now

Swaggelwander 2026-06-15 14:32:31 Polymarket

HELL YEAH

HELL YEAH

Swaggelwander 2026-06-15 14:27:07 Polymarket

great debt

great debt

Swaggelwander 2026-06-15 14:19:41 Polymarket

nono im retarded and gay dont worry

nono im retarded and gay dont worry

Swaggelwander 2026-06-15 14:19:14 Polymarket

so maybe an insider knows its only ceasefire extension then?

so maybe an insider knows its only ceasefire extension then?

Swaggelwander 2026-06-15 14:18:17 Polymarket

im starting to learn that lesson yes

im starting to learn that lesson yes

Swaggelwander 2026-06-15 14:17:39 Polymarket

bm apy 87 2d

bm apy 87 2d

Swaggelwander 2026-06-15 14:17:22 Polymarket

its at 86%, if yall are so fking sure go collect that apy

its at 86%, if yall are so fking sure go collect that apy

Swaggelwander 2026-06-15 14:16:53 Polymarket

so why the fuck is it not bonded

so why the fuck is it not bonded

Swaggelwander 2026-06-15 14:16:27 Polymarket

Im starting to believei m genuinely retarded

Im starting to believei m genuinely retarded

Swaggelwander 2026-06-15 14:16:12 Polymarket

So im retarded for asking yet we need a poll to see a clarif? Why the fuck cant yall just be nice to me and point me to why its not yes

So im retarded for asking yet we need a poll to see a clarif? Why the fuck cant yall just be nice to me and point me to why its not yes

Swaggelwander 2026-06-15 14:14:44 Polymarket

look my pnl, obviously i am

look my pnl, obviously i am

Swaggelwander 2026-06-15 14:14:28 Polymarket

wdym? its not proposed and june15 is not bonded

wdym? its not proposed and june15 is not bonded

Swaggelwander 2026-06-15 14:13:45 Polymarket

https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by this will resolve once the agreement is actually published, i.e. its confirmed that the MoU includes not just a ceasefire but end to the war? Or is there another reason its not bonded?

https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by this will resolve once the agreement is actually published, i.e. its confirmed that the MoU includes not just a ceasefire but end to the war? Or is there another reason its not bonded?

Swaggelwander 2026-06-14 03:52:18 Polymarket

bro its referencing the telerally from the 10th its old news

bro its referencing the telerally from the 10th its old news

Swaggelwander 2026-06-13 21:59:43 Polymarket

hm the time aspect is fair

hm the time aspect is fair

Swaggelwander 2026-06-13 21:59:11 Polymarket

Iran will never end all enrichment, they still need to enrich for their nuclear reactors. I think this market EV is like 0.5c Yes. It's not a "Will stop weapons grade enrichment" market.

Iran will never end all enrichment, they still need to enrich for their nuclear reactors. I think this market EV is like 0.5c Yes. It's not a "Will stop weapons grade enrichment" market.