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Justin Herzig 2026-06-03 08:11:08 Polymarket

Market Title: Will Florida voters approve the 2026 property tax constitutional amendment in November? Outcomes: Yes / No Market Description: On June 2, 2026, the Florida Legislature approved a constitutional amendment backed by Gov. Ron DeSantis (Senate 30-9, House 75-26), placing it on the November 2026 statewide ballot. The amendment dramatically expands homestead property tax exemptions while preserving school district millage. Florida constitutional amendments require 60% voter approval to pass. This market resolves based on whether voters approve the measure at the November 3, 2026 general election. Proposed Resolution Criteria: Resolves "Yes" if the property tax constitutional amendment placed on the November 2026 Florida ballot by the Legislature (approved June 2, 2026) receives at least 60% "Yes" votes and is officially certified as adopted. Resolves "No" if it receives less than 60% "Yes" votes, or is removed from the ballot, struck by court order, or otherwise not certified as adopted. Market resolves upon official certification of results, expected early-to-mid December 2026. Resolution source: Florida Department of State, Division of Elections official certified election results (dos.fl.gov / floridaelectionwatch.gov).

Market Title: Will Florida voters approve the 2026 property tax constitutional amendment in November? Outcomes: Yes / No Market Description: On June 2, 2026, the Florida Legislature approved a constitutional amendment backed by Gov. Ron DeSantis (Senate 30-9, House 75-26), placing it on the November 2026 statewide ballot. The amendment dramatically expands homestead property tax exemptions while preserving school district millage. Florida constitutional amendments require 60% voter approval to pass. This market resolves based on whether voters approve the measure at the November 3, 2026 general election. Proposed Resolution Criteria: Resolves "Yes" if the property tax constitutional amendment placed on the November 2026 Florida ballot by the Legislature (approved June 2, 2026) receives at least 60% "Yes" votes and is officially certified as adopted. Resolves "No" if it receives less than 60% "Yes" votes, or is removed from the ballot, struck by court order, or otherwise not certified as adopted. Market resolves upon official certification of results, expected early-to-mid December 2026. Resolution source: Florida Department of State, Division of Elections official certified election results (dos.fl.gov / floridaelectionwatch.gov).

Justin Herzig 2026-06-03 06:25:51 Kalshi

Hey <@1353912513317572609> - think it'd be very interesting to see a prediction market on if DeSantis' plan / proposed amendment to remove a large amount of the property taxes in FL passes Obviously some key language things to work out but I think this would be 1) valuable information to both retail and institutions, 2) media / buzz worthy, and 3) have substantial liquidity given the overlap of importance Market: Will Florida voters approve the 2026 property tax constitutional amendment in November? Description: On June 2, 2026, the Florida Legislature approved a constitutional amendment backed by Gov. Ron DeSantis (Senate 30-9, House 75-26), placing it on the November 2026 statewide ballot. The amendment dramatically expands homestead property tax exemptions while preserving school district millage. Florida constitutional amendments require 60% voter approval to pass. This market resolves based on whether voters approve the measure at the November 3, 2026 general election.

Hey <@1353912513317572609> - think it'd be very interesting to see a prediction market on if DeSantis' plan / proposed amendment to remove a large amount of the property taxes in FL passes Obviously some key language things to work out but I think this would be 1) valuable information to both retail and institutions, 2) media / buzz worthy, and 3) have substantial liquidity given the overlap of importance Market: Will Florida voters approve the 2026 property tax constitutional amendment in November? Description: On June 2, 2026, the Florida Legislature approved a constitutional amendment backed by Gov. Ron DeSantis (Senate 30-9, House 75-26), placing it on the November 2026 statewide ballot. The amendment dramatically expands homestead property tax exemptions while preserving school district millage. Florida constitutional amendments require 60% voter approval to pass. This market resolves based on whether voters approve the measure at the November 3, 2026 general election.