秋田预测市场 · Discord 审计

Kosoter参与话题 0消息总数 21

该用户的聊天记录定位。

Reset

聊天记录

共 21 条,显示第 1-21 条
Kosoter 2026-06-16 23:35:15 Polymarket

Someone I looked at lost 1.5 betting on the Spurs heavy until like 3 quarters of the way through the game, right before the comeback.

Someone I looked at lost 1.5 betting on the Spurs heavy until like 3 quarters of the way through the game, right before the comeback.

Kosoter 2026-06-16 23:34:52 Polymarket

After losing everything.

After losing everything.

Kosoter 2026-06-16 23:34:46 Polymarket

Sometimes I like to look at the major major loser on upsets, and often it’s the last trade they ever make, like their account goes silent, and it makes me think they roped.

Sometimes I like to look at the major major loser on upsets, and often it’s the last trade they ever make, like their account goes silent, and it makes me think they roped.

Kosoter 2026-06-16 23:32:22 Polymarket

Is there any easy way to get a notification from Polymarket via Telegram or something that a market you are in has entered the resolution window? I’m worried about people just randomly resolving when people are asleep on a small market.

Is there any easy way to get a notification from Polymarket via Telegram or something that a market you are in has entered the resolution window? I’m worried about people just randomly resolving when people are asleep on a small market.

Kosoter 2026-06-15 18:54:47 Polymarket

But you can understand that is in Irans interest to say that right? That has been a key maximalist position of their negotiating team the whole time. They are trying to spin permanent peace into reality this whole time. Pakistan I would say definitely said it too, but I would chalk that up to wanting to highlight the import of Pakistan’s role as negotiators. Still a good bit of evidence for Yes

But you can understand that is in Irans interest to say that right? That has been a key maximalist position of their negotiating team the whole time. They are trying to spin permanent peace into reality this whole time. Pakistan I would say definitely said it too, but I would chalk that up to wanting to highlight the import of Pakistan’s role as negotiators. Still a good bit of evidence for Yes

Kosoter 2026-06-15 18:52:48 Polymarket

There is absolutely no way Trump is giving them 300 billion dollars in any shape or form after all the shittalking he did about Obama’s financial incentives to Iran. I just refuse to believe that. All the 300 Bolton reporting has come from other outlets reporting on what Iranian media has said.

There is absolutely no way Trump is giving them 300 billion dollars in any shape or form after all the shittalking he did about Obama’s financial incentives to Iran. I just refuse to believe that. All the 300 Bolton reporting has come from other outlets reporting on what Iranian media has said.

Kosoter 2026-06-15 18:51:43 Polymarket

Something to make both sides happy.

Something to make both sides happy.

Kosoter 2026-06-15 18:51:36 Polymarket

Or both

Or both

Kosoter 2026-06-15 18:51:29 Polymarket

Yeah I think it’s going to say all hostilities are immediately ceased, and the ceasefire is extended for a 60 day negotiating period.

Yeah I think it’s going to say all hostilities are immediately ceased, and the ceasefire is extended for a 60 day negotiating period.

Kosoter 2026-06-15 18:50:12 Polymarket

Do you think the MOU is going to say 60-day ceasefire extension? Or permanent peace? Do you think the version of the MOU put out by Iranian media, which includes 300 billion from the US given to them, is credible? Just curious here because honestly I think that MOU is not what is being signed, and is for building credibility for the deal with their domestic audiences.

Do you think the MOU is going to say 60-day ceasefire extension? Or permanent peace? Do you think the version of the MOU put out by Iranian media, which includes 300 billion from the US given to them, is credible? Just curious here because honestly I think that MOU is not what is being signed, and is for building credibility for the deal with their domestic audiences.

Kosoter 2026-06-15 18:48:19 Polymarket

Ok, I see your point in that Tweet, that seems like he’s referencing the Deal being signed as the MOU, and that bringing peace. That makes sense to me.

Ok, I see your point in that Tweet, that seems like he’s referencing the Deal being signed as the MOU, and that bringing peace. That makes sense to me.

Kosoter 2026-06-15 18:47:36 Polymarket

Lmao what a sight that would be.

Lmao what a sight that would be.

Kosoter 2026-06-15 18:46:55 Polymarket

Does the threats by Trump to start shit up again if Iran starts to piss him off not mean anything?

Does the threats by Trump to start shit up again if Iran starts to piss him off not mean anything?

Kosoter 2026-06-15 18:46:04 Polymarket

Yeah the Deal meaning the two-phase process that starts with signing the MOU and ends at the end of nuclear discussions and the 60 days. He has also said that if Iran stalls on Nuclear stuff they are going right back to conflict.

Yeah the Deal meaning the two-phase process that starts with signing the MOU and ends at the end of nuclear discussions and the 60 days. He has also said that if Iran stalls on Nuclear stuff they are going right back to conflict.

Kosoter 2026-06-15 18:44:24 Polymarket

The “Deal with the Islamic Republic of Iran is now complete” in no way bears on the cessation of the war, but rather the accomplishment of getting to a deal, AKA the MOU. That seems basic to me.

The “Deal with the Islamic Republic of Iran is now complete” in no way bears on the cessation of the war, but rather the accomplishment of getting to a deal, AKA the MOU. That seems basic to me.

Kosoter 2026-06-15 18:39:10 Polymarket

I’m so glad I sold when I did because this is blowing my mind. Like I’m not even trying to fight for a given side but I’m just really surprised that this is the level of proof deciding this stuff.

I’m so glad I sold when I did because this is blowing my mind. Like I’m not even trying to fight for a given side but I’m just really surprised that this is the level of proof deciding this stuff.

Kosoter 2026-06-15 18:38:02 Polymarket

That is insane.

That is insane.

Kosoter 2026-06-15 18:37:54 Polymarket

The verbiage in a random White House email is being used to serve as a stand-in as the United States entire characterization of the nature of the peace deal being reached, before the actual MOU they are signing have been officially released?

The verbiage in a random White House email is being used to serve as a stand-in as the United States entire characterization of the nature of the peace deal being reached, before the actual MOU they are signing have been officially released?

Kosoter 2026-06-15 18:34:47 Polymarket

I dont think Pakistan’s statements matter at all. What matters in US and Iran.

I dont think Pakistan’s statements matter at all. What matters in US and Iran.

Kosoter 2026-06-15 18:34:08 Polymarket

Ceasefire is not inherently temporary, no.

Ceasefire is not inherently temporary, no.

Kosoter 2026-06-15 18:33:45 Polymarket

I think it would, but its possible the verbiage in the MOU is explicitly temporary, I honestly have no idea at this point, its all conflicting, but I would want to see before making a decision. If it’s not temporary in the MOU, 100 a YES decision.

I think it would, but its possible the verbiage in the MOU is explicitly temporary, I honestly have no idea at this point, its all conflicting, but I would want to see before making a decision. If it’s not temporary in the MOU, 100 a YES decision.