聊天记录
共 4 条,显示第 1-4 条
-Market Title
Will Russia attack Armenia before December 31, 2026?
-Outcomes
Yes
No
-Market Description
This market concerns whether Russia will launch a direct military attack against Armenia before December 31, 2026.
-Proposed Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, before 11:59 PM UTC on December 31, 2026, Russian military forces conduct a direct kinetic military attack against Armenian sovereign territory, Armenian military forces, or Armenian government-controlled facilities.
This market will resolve to “No” if no such attack occurs before 11:59 PM UTC on December 31, 2026.
For the purposes of this market, cyberattacks, disinformation campaigns, economic sanctions, diplomatic disputes, military exercises, peacekeeping operations conducted with Armenian consent, or actions by non-state actors will not qualify as an attack.
If there is ambiguity regarding attribution, the market will resolve based on the broad consensus of credible international reporting and official government statements.
-Resolution Source
Resolution will be based on reporting from major international news organizations, including Reuters, Associated Press, BBC, and Agence France-Presse, as well as official statements from the governments of Russia and Armenia.
In the event of conflicting reports, a consensus of credible reporting will be used to determine the outcome.
<@941405798096076880> <@1212792946341183578>
https://ukranews.com/en/news/1154882-russian-dictator-putin-threatens-armenia-with-ukrainian-scenario-because-of-its-european
https://oc-media.org/kremlin-propagandist-solovyov-says-russia-could-start-special-military-operation-against-armenia/
-Market Title
Will Russia attack Armenia before December 31, 2026?
-Outcomes
Yes
No
-Market Description
This market concerns whether Russia will launch a direct military attack against Armenia before December 31, 2026.
-Proposed Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, before 11:59 PM UTC on December 31, 2026, Russian military forces conduct a direct kinetic military attack against Armenian sovereign territory, Armenian military forces, or Armenian government-controlled facilities.
This market will resolve to “No” if no such attack occurs before 11:59 PM UTC on December 31, 2026.
For the purposes of this market, cyberattacks, disinformation campaigns, economic sanctions, diplomatic disputes, military exercises, peacekeeping operations conducted with Armenian consent, or actions by non-state actors will not qualify as an attack.
If there is ambiguity regarding attribution, the market will resolve based on the broad consensus of credible international reporting and official government statements.
-Resolution Source
Resolution will be based on reporting from major international news organizations, including Reuters, Associated Press, BBC, and Agence France-Presse, as well as official statements from the governments of Russia and Armenia.
In the event of conflicting reports, a consensus of credible reporting will be used to determine the outcome.
<@941405798096076880> <@1212792946341183578>
https://ukranews.com/en/news/1154882-russian-dictator-putin-threatens-armenia-with-ukrainian-scenario-because-of-its-european
https://oc-media.org/kremlin-propagandist-solovyov-says-russia-could-start-special-military-operation-against-armenia/
-Market Title
Will Russia attack Armenia before December 31, 2026?
-Outcomes
Yes
No
-Market Description
This market concerns whether Russia will launch a direct military attack against Armenia before December 31, 2026.
-Proposed Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, before 11:59 PM UTC on December 31, 2026, Russian military forces conduct a direct kinetic military attack against Armenian sovereign territory, Armenian military forces, or Armenian government-controlled facilities.
This market will resolve to “No” if no such attack occurs before 11:59 PM UTC on December 31, 2026.
For the purposes of this market, cyberattacks, disinformation campaigns, economic sanctions, diplomatic disputes, military exercises, peacekeeping operations conducted with Armenian consent, or actions by non-state actors will not qualify as an attack.
If there is ambiguity regarding attribution, the market will resolve based on the broad consensus of credible international reporting and official government statements.
-Resolution Source
Resolution will be based on reporting from major international news organizations, including Reuters, Associated Press, BBC, and Agence France-Presse, as well as official statements from the governments of Russia and Armenia.
In the event of conflicting reports, a consensus of credible reporting will be used to determine the outcome.
<@941405798096076880> <@1212792946341183578>
https://ukranews.com/en/news/1154882-russian-dictator-putin-threatens-armenia-with-ukrainian-scenario-because-of-its-european
https://oc-media.org/kremlin-propagandist-solovyov-says-russia-could-start-special-military-operation-against-armenia/
-Market Title
Will Russia attack Armenia before December 31, 2026?
-Outcomes
Yes
No
-Market Description
This market concerns whether Russia will launch a direct military attack against Armenia before December 31, 2026.
-Proposed Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, before 11:59 PM UTC on December 31, 2026, Russian military forces conduct a direct kinetic military attack against Armenian sovereign territory, Armenian military forces, or Armenian government-controlled facilities.
This market will resolve to “No” if no such attack occurs before 11:59 PM UTC on December 31, 2026.
For the purposes of this market, cyberattacks, disinformation campaigns, economic sanctions, diplomatic disputes, military exercises, peacekeeping operations conducted with Armenian consent, or actions by non-state actors will not qualify as an attack.
If there is ambiguity regarding attribution, the market will resolve based on the broad consensus of credible international reporting and official government statements.
-Resolution Source
Resolution will be based on reporting from major international news organizations, including Reuters, Associated Press, BBC, and Agence France-Presse, as well as official statements from the governments of Russia and Armenia.
In the event of conflicting reports, a consensus of credible reporting will be used to determine the outcome.
<@941405798096076880> <@1212792946341183578>
https://ukranews.com/en/news/1154882-russian-dictator-putin-threatens-armenia-with-ukrainian-scenario-because-of-its-european
https://oc-media.org/kremlin-propagandist-solovyov-says-russia-could-start-special-military-operation-against-armenia/
Hey @Polymarket,
Market proposal:
Will Russia launch a direct military attack against Armenia before December 31, 2027?
Resolution criteria:
* YES if Russian armed forces conduct kinetic military operations against Armenian territory, military assets, or government-controlled positions before 00:00 UTC on December 31, 2027.
* NO otherwise.
Given the evolving geopolitics of the South Caucasus, this would be a highly debated and informative prediction market.
https://ukranews.com/en/news/1154882-russian-dictator-putin-threatens-armenia-with-ukrainian-scenario-because-of-its-european
https://oc-media.org/kremlin-propagandist-solovyov-says-russia-could-start-special-military-operation-against-armenia/
#Polymarket #PredictionMarkets #Armenia #Russia #Geopolitics
Hey @Polymarket,
Market proposal:
Will Russia launch a direct military attack against Armenia before December 31, 2027?
Resolution criteria:
* YES if Russian armed forces conduct kinetic military operations against Armenian territory, military assets, or government-controlled positions before 00:00 UTC on December 31, 2027.
* NO otherwise.
Given the evolving geopolitics of the South Caucasus, this would be a highly debated and informative prediction market.
https://ukranews.com/en/news/1154882-russian-dictator-putin-threatens-armenia-with-ukrainian-scenario-because-of-its-european
https://oc-media.org/kremlin-propagandist-solovyov-says-russia-could-start-special-military-operation-against-armenia/
#Polymarket #PredictionMarkets #Armenia #Russia #Geopolitics
Hey @Polymarket,
Market proposal:
Will Russia launch a direct military attack against Armenia before January 1, 2027?
Resolution criteria:
* YES if Russian armed forces conduct kinetic military operations against Armenian territory, military assets, or government-controlled positions before 00:00 UTC on Jan 1, 2027.
* NO otherwise.
Given the evolving geopolitics of the South Caucasus, this would be a highly debated and informative prediction market.
https://ukranews.com/en/news/1154882-russian-dictator-putin-threatens-armenia-with-ukrainian-scenario-because-of-its-european
https://oc-media.org/kremlin-propagandist-solovyov-says-russia-could-start-special-military-operation-against-armenia/
#Polymarket #PredictionMarkets #Armenia #Russia #Geopolitics
Hey @Polymarket,
Market proposal:
Will Russia launch a direct military attack against Armenia before January 1, 2027?
Resolution criteria:
* YES if Russian armed forces conduct kinetic military operations against Armenian territory, military assets, or government-controlled positions before 00:00 UTC on Jan 1, 2027.
* NO otherwise.
Given the evolving geopolitics of the South Caucasus, this would be a highly debated and informative prediction market.
https://ukranews.com/en/news/1154882-russian-dictator-putin-threatens-armenia-with-ukrainian-scenario-because-of-its-european
https://oc-media.org/kremlin-propagandist-solovyov-says-russia-could-start-special-military-operation-against-armenia/
#Polymarket #PredictionMarkets #Armenia #Russia #Geopolitics