KalshiWith traditional options markets the variables are endless
With traditional options markets the variables are endless
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共 493 条，显示第 451-493 条But the thing with binaries is you can only get so sophisticated whether you've got $10k or $100m
But the thing with binaries is you can only get so sophisticated whether you've got $10k or $100m
Crypto takes constant adaptation. It's Def gotten harder the past 6 months or so
Crypto takes constant adaptation. It's Def gotten harder the past 6 months or so
"What if option trading but 100x easier and against a bunch of degenerate gamblers"
"What if option trading but 100x easier and against a bunch of degenerate gamblers"
Back then the crypto stuff was just tucked away in the corner quietly churning the fees that were keeping the company afloat. When I found it I snort laughed and here i am
Back then the crypto stuff was just tucked away in the corner quietly churning the fees that were keeping the company afloat. When I found it I snort laughed and here i am
Funny thing is some early Instagram ad about "Bet on the weather!" Is actually what brought me to Kalshi in the first place, and it was to clown on how stupid that sounded when I saw it
Funny thing is some early Instagram ad about "Bet on the weather!" Is actually what brought me to Kalshi in the first place, and it was to clown on how stupid that sounded when I saw it
Is what it is
Is what it is
Yeah weather markets actually intrigue me a bit, my concern is the variability in determination data. One extra rain drop falls in one spot in Central Park and who knows. At least with crypto I can look up the index records
Yeah weather markets actually intrigue me a bit, my concern is the variability in determination data. One extra rain drop falls in one spot in Central Park and who knows. At least with crypto I can look up the index records
But more importantly the prediction aspect of it was just an engine to find market inefficiencies
But more importantly the prediction aspect of it was just an engine to find market inefficiencies
Well yeah but in a similar data collection/historical analysis method
Well yeah but in a similar data collection/historical analysis method
I never assume what anyone's running or what they need to run it, but if the strat is sound you should be able to make money on a small scale to start and build capital to expand
I never assume what anyone's running or what they need to run it, but if the strat is sound you should be able to make money on a small scale to start and build capital to expand
I found a reddit post recently with some statistics phd who had built a weather trading system and he might as well have been describing my crypto system
I found a reddit post recently with some statistics phd who had built a weather trading system and he might as well have been describing my crypto system
It's interesting the things I've read from people who focus on weather markets it is actually the closest thing I've found to crypto markets
It's interesting the things I've read from people who focus on weather markets it is actually the closest thing I've found to crypto markets
Some people want their hands in as many parts of the exchange as possible and they're very successful doing that
Some people want their hands in as many parts of the exchange as possible and they're very successful doing that
I will say I focus 100% on the crypto markets. I have tools that could be used on other categories but I prefer to specialize
I will say I focus 100% on the crypto markets. I have tools that could be used on other categories but I prefer to specialize
Very wide variety of strats in here. I doubt any two people are doing the same thing even
Very wide variety of strats in here. I doubt any two people are doing the same thing even
Now making that PROFITABLE is the hard part but you can see how the volume can add up
Now making that PROFITABLE is the hard part but you can see how the volume can add up
24/7
24/7
We don't get into personal strats here, sufficed to say I'm not looking for high volume or need higher than advanced tiers. But I do run strats that churn relatively small order sizes into pretty big total volume. Say you're effectively capturing the spread in the crypto 15m market. 500 contracts a pop that's $1000 in volume and you could be doing that dozens of times or more in a cycle. And that's on one coin
We don't get into personal strats here, sufficed to say I'm not looking for high volume or need higher than advanced tiers. But I do run strats that churn relatively small order sizes into pretty big total volume. Say you're effectively capturing the spread in the crypto 15m market. 500 contracts a pop that's $1000 in volume and you could be doing that dozens of times or more in a cycle. And that's on one coin
A few thousand dollar bankroll can easily produce millions in monthly volume
A few thousand dollar bankroll can easily produce millions in monthly volume
Kalshi wants to make sure your added drag on the API is worth it to them in terms of fee collection. If your strat only works with small order sizes and hundreds of amend orders a second then it's not fiscally viable to them
Kalshi wants to make sure your added drag on the API is worth it to them in terms of fee collection. If your strat only works with small order sizes and hundreds of amend orders a second then it's not fiscally viable to them
So again I'd focus on maximizing profitability in a subset of markets and if it's truly profitable you should be able to up your order sizes and start growing your overall volume
So again I'd focus on maximizing profitability in a subset of markets and if it's truly profitable you should be able to up your order sizes and start growing your overall volume
If your strats are profitable enough to require higher tiers to expand then specialize for a while and raise capital to get your volume up
If your strats are profitable enough to require higher tiers to expand then specialize for a while and raise capital to get your volume up
I don't think you'd like what the prices would have to be
I don't think you'd like what the prices would have to be
Yeah it only applies to crypto/fin markets where the tickers are always consistently named
Yeah it only applies to crypto/fin markets where the tickers are always consistently named
Good volume is relative. If you've been doing consistent volume and it's been that long you should reapply. They do slip through the cracks sometimes
Good volume is relative. If you've been doing consistent volume and it's been that long you should reapply. They do slip through the cracks sometimes
🤷♂️
🤷♂️
There's no set time frame. It can take months, but the more volume you move the faster it will go. I waited on mine for a few months and then when I upped my volume by about 5x I got approved within a couple days
There's no set time frame. It can take months, but the more volume you move the faster it will go. I waited on mine for a few months and then when I upped my volume by about 5x I got approved within a couple days
Yes
Yes
They won't call you
They won't call you
For crypto it's easiest to just use the naming conventions at least for series. I never trust the categories but it's easy to just hardcode a list of series for market discovery or even just construct the exact market tickers given the date and time
For crypto it's easiest to just use the naming conventions at least for series. I never trust the categories but it's easy to just hardcode a list of series for market discovery or even just construct the exact market tickers given the date and time
It's also possible to do millions in maker volume in a month and pay virtually no fees
It's also possible to do millions in maker volume in a month and pay virtually no fees
to align the API with the matching engine's single book bid/ask structure. it's a pretty painless migration, just make sure your order execution layer is sending the correct bid/ask side and price depending on what you're trying to achieve. that's in the V2 docs
to align the API with the matching engine's single book bid/ask structure. it's a pretty painless migration, just make sure your order execution layer is sending the correct bid/ask side and price depending on what you're trying to achieve. that's in the V2 docs
Plus interest on the new margin accts
Plus interest on the new margin accts
Anyone have a handle on perps yet? Seems like a fee collection scam
Anyone have a handle on perps yet? Seems like a fee collection scam
Regardless I would be working under the assumption the election URLS will go dark at some point maybe without warning
Regardless I would be working under the assumption the election URLS will go dark at some point maybe without warning
Nothing but the URL for now but they clearly want to depracate the legacy elections urls sooner than later
Nothing but the URL for now but they clearly want to depracate the legacy elections urls sooner than later
I've completely migrated to the external urls and the v2 order endpoints. It's not that big of a refactor
I've completely migrated to the external urls and the v2 order endpoints. It's not that big of a refactor
No reason to be messing with legacy
No reason to be messing with legacy
At this point I'd move everything to the external v2 and create/amend/cancel v2
At this point I'd move everything to the external v2 and create/amend/cancel v2
Well there's the v2 that has always been v2 and now the new v2 order paths Are we having fun yet?
Well there's the v2 that has always been v2 and now the new v2 order paths Are we having fun yet?
Messy AF but I'd move over to the external urls and see if it helps
Messy AF but I'd move over to the external urls and see if it helps
It looks like you were using the v2 endpoints on the legacy elections URL which shouldn't have had an increased token cost unless that is also happening now. But even if it's not probably best practice to move over to the external urls
It looks like you were using the v2 endpoints on the legacy elections URL which shouldn't have had an increased token cost unless that is also happening now. But even if it's not probably best practice to move over to the external urls
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