PolymarketSumo would be nice July basho coming up
Sumo would be nice July basho coming up
homset参与话题 0消息总数 17
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共 17 条，显示第 1-17 条The rules (1 min candle on pyth) for the new strikes ($80/85/90) added in the June CL oil markets are inconsistent with the rules for the existing strikes (daily settle on the CME). The pricing of WTI oil and CL oil markets are quite different. We need clarity on which rules hold. https://polymarket.com/event/cl-hit-jun-2026
The rules (1 min candle on pyth) for the new strikes ($80/85/90) added in the June CL oil markets are inconsistent with the rules for the existing strikes (daily settle on the CME). The pricing of WTI oil and CL oil markets are quite different. We need clarity on which rules hold. https://polymarket.com/event/cl-hit-jun-2026
I weigh him on par with the Iranian officials being used as sources for the P2 argument, yes
I weigh him on par with the Iranian officials being used as sources for the P2 argument, yes
Have a look at this 'high ranking' US official saying the agreement doesn't stop Iran from enriching
Have a look at this 'high ranking' US official saying the agreement doesn't stop Iran from enriching
Equivalent of Mahmoud Nabavian statement
Equivalent of Mahmoud Nabavian statement
-Market Title Will gas hit __ by end of June? -Outcomes Above $5.00 (yes/no) Above $4.75 (yes/no) Above $4.50 (yes/no) Above $4.25 (yes/no) Below $4.00 (yes/no) Below $3.75 (yes/no) Below $3.50 (yes/no) Below $3.25 (yes/no) Below $3.00 (yes/no) -Market Description This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and June 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". -Proposed Resolution Criteria Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). -Resolution source The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
-Market Title Will gas hit __ by end of June? -Outcomes Above $5.00 (yes/no) Above $4.75 (yes/no) Above $4.50 (yes/no) Above $4.25 (yes/no) Below $4.00 (yes/no) Below $3.75 (yes/no) Below $3.50 (yes/no) Below $3.25 (yes/no) Below $3.00 (yes/no) -Market Description This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and June 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". -Proposed Resolution Criteria Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). -Resolution source The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Can we get this for June?: https://polymarket.com/event/will-gas-hit-by-end-of-may/will-gas-hit-high-4pt70-by-may-31
Can we get this for June?: https://polymarket.com/event/will-gas-hit-by-end-of-may/will-gas-hit-high-4pt70-by-may-31
backtesting and deploying live is very different
backtesting and deploying live is very different
unless its some jane street in india stuff
unless its some jane street in india stuff
scaling down a strategy will always increase roi
scaling down a strategy will always increase roi
the criticisms you are getting are valid
the criticisms you are getting are valid
I appreciate that. It's what I posted in dispute thread in this server
I appreciate that. It's what I posted in dispute thread in this server
Does UMA only consider evidence posted in UMA thread? I can't post there
Does UMA only consider evidence posted in UMA thread? I can't post there
The decision need to consistent in this market as well: https://polymarket.com/event/will-alberta-vote-for-independence-in-2026 should a vote for having a second referendum really count as having a vote on independence passed? Seems like a massive stretch
The decision need to consistent in this market as well: https://polymarket.com/event/will-alberta-vote-for-independence-in-2026 should a vote for having a second referendum really count as having a vote on independence passed? Seems like a massive stretch
There is the argument that a looming referendum on separation would give the Alberta gov more leverage in dealing with the federal gov. You could be anti independence and pro referendum. It certainly played out like that in Quebec and canvassers during the signature collection process in alberta were also making that argument
There is the argument that a looming referendum on separation would give the Alberta gov more leverage in dealing with the federal gov. You could be anti independence and pro referendum. It certainly played out like that in Quebec and canvassers during the signature collection process in alberta were also making that argument
A referendum on a referendum can't establish a desire for independence. Say you had a group of 5 people with three anti-independence and two pro-independence. Say two of the anti-independence people abstained from voting in the referendum on a referendum (the vote is less consequential, maybe they don't want to waste their time). The leave side wins the first vote, but has the desire for independence been established within the group? Obviously not
A referendum on a referendum can't establish a desire for independence. Say you had a group of 5 people with three anti-independence and two pro-independence. Say two of the anti-independence people abstained from voting in the referendum on a referendum (the vote is less consequential, maybe they don't want to waste their time). The leave side wins the first vote, but has the desire for independence been established within the group? Obviously not
Can we get this market for June?: https://polymarket.com/event/will-gas-hit-by-end-of-may/
Can we get this market for June?: https://polymarket.com/event/will-gas-hit-by-end-of-may/