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jkharris参与话题 2消息总数 55

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PhysGuy 2026-07-12 02:10:03 Polymarket

anyone seeing bugs? lifting asks and pops up in position for a second then disappears. browser (chrome) & API

anyone seeing bugs? lifting asks and pops up in position for a second then disappears. browser (chrome) & API

PhysGuy 2026-07-09 11:32:01 Polymarket

there were 3 lmfao

there were 3 lmfao

JKH 2026-07-08 12:29:50 Polymarket

https://polymarket.com/event/iran-successfully-targets-shipping-onptptpt-20260625225210236/iran-successfully-targets-shipping-on-july-7-20260625225210248 P2 yes obv. alr bonded but I am not whitelisted so need proposal

https://polymarket.com/event/iran-successfully-targets-shipping-onptptpt-20260625225210236/iran-successfully-targets-shipping-on-july-7-20260625225210248 P2 yes obv. alr bonded but I am not whitelisted so need proposal

JKH 2026-06-30 09:39:03 Polymarket

name?

name?

JKH 2026-06-30 09:32:45 Polymarket

i mean yeah retail users eat that shit up bc (typically) they've been sold a dream and don't know any better

i mean yeah retail users eat that shit up bc (typically) they've been sold a dream and don't know any better

JKH 2026-06-30 09:31:44 Polymarket

consensus now seems to be a begrudging acceptance that it kinda works because people think it might work

consensus now seems to be a begrudging acceptance that it kinda works because people think it might work

JKH 2026-06-30 09:30:53 Polymarket

some live and die by it and other have run studies showing it doesn't work

some live and die by it and other have run studies showing it doesn't work

JKH 2026-06-30 09:30:30 Polymarket

TA is hilarious because no one knows if it works or not lmfao

TA is hilarious because no one knows if it works or not lmfao

JKH 2026-06-30 09:30:16 Polymarket

would caution that just because its a market doesn't mean that it can be modeled like another market

would caution that just because its a market doesn't mean that it can be modeled like another market

JKH 2026-06-30 09:28:54 Polymarket

everyone on the world is either a price maker or a price taker

everyone on the world is either a price maker or a price taker

JKH 2026-06-30 09:28:37 Polymarket

every market is maker taker

every market is maker taker

JKH 2026-06-30 09:27:32 Polymarket

idk tho will watch curiously

idk tho will watch curiously

JKH 2026-06-30 09:27:24 Polymarket

Curious to see how it works. Feels like trying to do ta on delta or something. Feel like better option would be running it on the underlying & extrapolating

Curious to see how it works. Feels like trying to do ta on delta or something. Feel like better option would be running it on the underlying & extrapolating

JKH 2026-06-30 09:25:27 Polymarket

yeah no ik what bolinger bands are and what TA is but on polymarket is new lmao

yeah no ik what bolinger bands are and what TA is but on polymarket is new lmao

JKH 2026-06-30 09:24:23 Polymarket

I don't know what that means but good luck brotha

I don't know what that means but good luck brotha

JKH 2026-06-30 09:23:27 Polymarket

are you mfs doing technical analysis on a binary derivative of price?

are you mfs doing technical analysis on a binary derivative of price?

JKH 2026-06-29 10:29:44 Kalshi

what am I advertising? No product out there lmao simply trying to read the room

what am I advertising? No product out there lmao simply trying to read the room

JKH 2026-06-29 10:10:30 Polymarket

idk if there's demand for this but I am tired of looking at both platforms so building something that lets me view (and trade) poly & kalshi mkts. compare side-by-side to see which rules I want, fee comparison, etc will prolly push something out publicly as free for a while for ppl to test & use, kick to paid if ppl value it

idk if there's demand for this but I am tired of looking at both platforms so building something that lets me view (and trade) poly & kalshi mkts. compare side-by-side to see which rules I want, fee comparison, etc will prolly push something out publicly as free for a while for ppl to test & use, kick to paid if ppl value it

JKH 2026-06-28 11:26:35 Polymarket

long hormuz traffic markets now, dump mon at the open after another peace announcement this is financial advice

long hormuz traffic markets now, dump mon at the open after another peace announcement this is financial advice

JKH 2026-06-26 00:17:09 Polymarket

It signed me out and I can’t even login

It signed me out and I can’t even login

JKH 2026-06-26 00:11:32 Polymarket

Hey can y’all please figure this out? Being unable to trade my own positions is pitiful

Hey can y’all please figure this out? Being unable to trade my own positions is pitiful

JKH 2026-06-26 00:10:11 Polymarket

Fix & refund or halt trading what the fuck is this

Fix & refund or halt trading what the fuck is this

JKH 2026-06-26 00:09:26 Polymarket

Retarded that I can’t exit positions. Fucking insane.

Retarded that I can’t exit positions. Fucking insane.

JKH 2026-06-25 13:09:04 Polymarket

How do those resolve if they say its closed but nothing happens? Assume yes?

How do those resolve if they say its closed but nothing happens? Assume yes?

JKH 2026-06-25 13:04:28 Polymarket

July traffic no also lock unless massive correction happens soon, but ships aren’t positioned to enter I don’t think

July traffic no also lock unless massive correction happens soon, but ships aren’t positioned to enter I don’t think

JKH 2026-06-25 13:02:30 Polymarket

Only 100-200mb made it out the strait during war, comes to 1-2/d unless they’re little ones, but would still top out at ~4. Still, unsure abt fertalizer, other energy, grain, etc

Only 100-200mb made it out the strait during war, comes to 1-2/d unless they’re little ones, but would still top out at ~4. Still, unsure abt fertalizer, other energy, grain, etc

JKH 2026-06-25 13:01:30 Polymarket

Would disagree with that, would’ve seen the oil pop up for sale on the mkt

Would disagree with that, would’ve seen the oil pop up for sale on the mkt

JKH 2026-06-25 12:59:58 Polymarket

Pre-war or during war? During war it was very minimal. Cant speak to cargo but think oil was at 1-2/d

Pre-war or during war? During war it was very minimal. Cant speak to cargo but think oil was at 1-2/d

JKH 2026-06-25 12:59:03 Polymarket

Tanker market incredibly opaque even for freight traders because a handful of brokers & greeks/koreans run the entire industry

Tanker market incredibly opaque even for freight traders because a handful of brokers & greeks/koreans run the entire industry

JKH 2026-06-25 12:57:29 Polymarket

The super big oil tankers

The super big oil tankers

JKH 2026-06-25 12:56:23 Polymarket

I see blips here and there

I see blips here and there

JKH 2026-06-25 12:56:04 Polymarket

Somethin like 575 WS pts which translates to $14/bbl a day vs 4-5/bbl for non-AG voyages plus insurance out the ass. Plus nutty insurance. Market not incentivizing it rn For a ship to enter the gulf someone (probably asian refiner or arab producer) has to be desperate

Somethin like 575 WS pts which translates to $14/bbl a day vs 4-5/bbl for non-AG voyages plus insurance out the ass. Plus nutty insurance. Market not incentivizing it rn For a ship to enter the gulf someone (probably asian refiner or arab producer) has to be desperate

JKH 2026-06-25 12:51:52 Polymarket

Also Vs trading at like 4x prem to go arab gulf atm lmfao. Slamming nos across the board on these hormuz mkts +ev

Also Vs trading at like 4x prem to go arab gulf atm lmfao. Slamming nos across the board on these hormuz mkts +ev

JKH 2026-06-25 12:50:47 Polymarket

4 ballast Vs sitting by Karg waiting to load as of this am

4 ballast Vs sitting by Karg waiting to load as of this am

JKH 2026-06-25 12:50:01 Polymarket

Satellite is where all the fun is

Satellite is where all the fun is

JKH 2026-06-25 12:49:50 Polymarket

Believe portwatch is AIS only

Believe portwatch is AIS only

JKH 2026-06-25 11:34:29 Polymarket

give me $1mm signing and I will walk you through every reason funds & phys shops are not playing here (other than JS/2sig/subsq on sports mkts w/ no res risk)

give me $1mm signing and I will walk you through every reason funds & phys shops are not playing here (other than JS/2sig/subsq on sports mkts w/ no res risk)

JKH 2026-06-25 11:33:10 Polymarket

again <@1272383282687905939> <@941405798096076880> this is why no serious financial institution will come hedge/spec trade here. resolution is way too messy

again <@1272383282687905939> <@941405798096076880> this is why no serious financial institution will come hedge/spec trade here. resolution is way too messy

JKH 2026-06-25 11:30:40 Polymarket

yeah but you gotta really farm those

yeah but you gotta really farm those

JKH 2026-06-25 11:30:13 Polymarket

truly incredible stuff poly

truly incredible stuff poly

JKH 2026-06-25 11:30:06 Polymarket

how does one get whitelisted to propose? you have to be whitelisted to propose if you want to get whitelisted to propose

how does one get whitelisted to propose? you have to be whitelisted to propose if you want to get whitelisted to propose

JKH 2026-06-25 11:29:40 Polymarket

and be whitelisted

and be whitelisted

JKH 2026-06-25 11:28:41 Polymarket

In reality he has absolutely agreed to enrichment. Evidence supports that, just need a little more for it to be conclusive

In reality he has absolutely agreed to enrichment. Evidence supports that, just need a little more for it to be conclusive

JKH 2026-06-21 00:46:39 Polymarket 伊朗及霍尔木兹海峡相关市场缺失

Market Title(s) What iranian demands will trump agree to by {July 31/Sep30/Dec31} Mirroring https://polymarket.com/event/what-iranian-demands-will-trump-agree-to-by-june-30/will-trump-agree-to-iranian-enrichment-of-uranium-by-june-30

Market Title(s) What iranian demands will trump agree to by {July 31/Sep30/Dec31} Mirroring https://polymarket.com/event/what-iranian-demands-will-trump-agree-to-by-june-30/will-trump-agree-to-iranian-enrichment-of-uranium-by-june-30

jkharris 2026-06-19 07:59:19 Polymarket

Rinse and repeat the same 3 articles where the same 3 people give their takes on it and ignore the dozens of articles that say Iran has not agreed to halt their nuclear enrichment program

Rinse and repeat the same 3 articles where the same 3 people give their takes on it and ignore the dozens of articles that say Iran has not agreed to halt their nuclear enrichment program

jkharris 2026-06-19 07:50:32 Polymarket

No one has ever heard Bourse & Bazzar until a couple retards decided that an unknown think tank of absolute nobodies with an audience of <10kppl qualifies as “a consensus of credible reporting”

No one has ever heard Bourse & Bazzar until a couple retards decided that an unknown think tank of absolute nobodies with an audience of <10kppl qualifies as “a consensus of credible reporting”

jkharris 2026-06-19 06:08:45 Polymarket

You cannot. You cannot end something that you do not do

You cannot. You cannot end something that you do not do

jkharris 2026-06-19 06:07:24 Polymarket

Talking about enrichment not the MOU dummy

Talking about enrichment not the MOU dummy

jkharris 2026-06-19 06:07:09 Polymarket

You have a car at home. You don’t drive. Can you agree to stop driving? Absolute fallacy

You have a car at home. You don’t drive. Can you agree to stop driving? Absolute fallacy

jkharris 2026-06-19 06:03:56 Polymarket

I used to be fat. I am now jacked. Can I proactively agree to stop being fat? WTF does that even mean?

I used to be fat. I am now jacked. Can I proactively agree to stop being fat? WTF does that even mean?

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