Joao Lauria参与话题 0消息总数 5

Joao Lauria 2026-06-12 06:26:06 ↗ Polymarket

CURITIBA Market Title Highest temperature in Curitiba on [date]? Outcomes ≤8°C / 9°C / 10°C / 11°C / 12°C / 13°C / 14°C / 15°C / 16°C / 17°C / 18°C / 19°C / 20°C / 21°C / 22°C / 23°C / 24°C / ≥25°C Market Description This market resolves based on the highest temperature recorded at Curitiba's Afonso Pena International Airport (SBCT) on the specified date. Curitiba has a humid subtropical climate — the most temperature-variable major city in Brazil. Polar front systems from the south can drop daily highs below 10°C even in spring, while warm spells push them above 28°C. This wide range and forecast uncertainty make it a uniquely high-skill market with no direct equivalent elsewhere in South America. Proposed Resolution Criteria The market resolves to the outcome corresponding to the highest temperature (°C, rounded to the nearest whole degree) recorded across all METAR observations issued by station SBCT between 00:00 and 23:59 UTC on the market date. Resolution Source METAR reports from ICAO station SBCT, publicly available via NOAA (aviationweather.gov) and REDEMET (redemet.decea.mil.br).

CURITIBA Market Title Highest temperature in Curitiba on [date]? Outcomes ≤8°C / 9°C / 10°C / 11°C / 12°C / 13°C / 14°C / 15°C / 16°C / 17°C / 18°C / 19°C / 20°C / 21°C / 22°C / 23°C / 24°C / ≥25°C Market Description This market resolves based on the highest temperature recorded at Curitiba's Afonso Pena International Airport (SBCT) on the specified date. Curitiba has a humid subtropical climate — the most temperature-variable major city in Brazil. Polar front systems from the south can drop daily highs below 10°C even in spring, while warm spells push them above 28°C. This wide range and forecast uncertainty make it a uniquely high-skill market with no direct equivalent elsewhere in South America. Proposed Resolution Criteria The market resolves to the outcome corresponding to the highest temperature (°C, rounded to the nearest whole degree) recorded across all METAR observations issued by station SBCT between 00:00 and 23:59 UTC on the market date. Resolution Source METAR reports from ICAO station SBCT, publicly available via NOAA (aviationweather.gov) and REDEMET (redemet.decea.mil.br).

Joao Lauria 2026-06-12 06:25:30 ↗ Polymarket

RIO DE JANEIRO Market Title Highest temperature in Rio de Janeiro on [date]? Outcomes ≤22°C / 23°C / 24°C / 25°C / 26°C / 27°C / 28°C / 29°C / 30°C / ≥31°C Market Description This market resolves based on the highest temperature recorded at Rio de Janeiro's Galeão International Airport (SBGL) on the specified date. Rio de Janeiro has a tropical climate with high seasonal and day-to-day variability — summer heat waves regularly push temperatures above 38°C, while polar front intrusions in winter can cause sharp drops within 24 hours. This volatility makes it an attractive market for weather traders. Proposed Resolution Criteria The market resolves to the outcome corresponding to the highest temperature (°C, rounded to the nearest whole degree) recorded across all METAR observations issued by station SBGL between 00:00 and 23:59 UTC on the market date. Resolution Source METAR reports from ICAO station SBGL, publicly available via NOAA (aviationweather.gov) and REDEMET (redemet.decea.mil.br).

RIO DE JANEIRO Market Title Highest temperature in Rio de Janeiro on [date]? Outcomes ≤22°C / 23°C / 24°C / 25°C / 26°C / 27°C / 28°C / 29°C / 30°C / ≥31°C Market Description This market resolves based on the highest temperature recorded at Rio de Janeiro's Galeão International Airport (SBGL) on the specified date. Rio de Janeiro has a tropical climate with high seasonal and day-to-day variability — summer heat waves regularly push temperatures above 38°C, while polar front intrusions in winter can cause sharp drops within 24 hours. This volatility makes it an attractive market for weather traders. Proposed Resolution Criteria The market resolves to the outcome corresponding to the highest temperature (°C, rounded to the nearest whole degree) recorded across all METAR observations issued by station SBGL between 00:00 and 23:59 UTC on the market date. Resolution Source METAR reports from ICAO station SBGL, publicly available via NOAA (aviationweather.gov) and REDEMET (redemet.decea.mil.br).

Joao Lauria 2026-06-12 06:25:09 ↗ Polymarket

BELÉM Market Title Highest temperature in Belém on [date]? Outcomes ≤28°C / 29°C / 30°C / 31°C / 32°C / 33°C / ≥34°C Market Description This market resolves based on the highest temperature recorded at Belém's Val-de-Cans International Airport (SBBE) on the specified date. Belém is the largest city in the Amazon region and one of the hottest major cities in Brazil, with a tropical rainforest climate and daily highs typically ranging between 30–33°C. Rainfall-driven variance makes daily maximum temperatures genuinely uncertain, creating meaningful trading opportunities. Proposed Resolution Criteria The market resolves to the outcome corresponding to the highest temperature (°C, rounded to the nearest whole degree) recorded across all METAR observations issued by station SBBE between 00:00 and 23:59 UTC on the market date. Resolution Source METAR reports from ICAO station SBBE, publicly available via NOAA (aviationweather.gov) and REDEMET (redemet.decea.mil.br).

BELÉM Market Title Highest temperature in Belém on [date]? Outcomes ≤28°C / 29°C / 30°C / 31°C / 32°C / 33°C / ≥34°C Market Description This market resolves based on the highest temperature recorded at Belém's Val-de-Cans International Airport (SBBE) on the specified date. Belém is the largest city in the Amazon region and one of the hottest major cities in Brazil, with a tropical rainforest climate and daily highs typically ranging between 30–33°C. Rainfall-driven variance makes daily maximum temperatures genuinely uncertain, creating meaningful trading opportunities. Proposed Resolution Criteria The market resolves to the outcome corresponding to the highest temperature (°C, rounded to the nearest whole degree) recorded across all METAR observations issued by station SBBE between 00:00 and 23:59 UTC on the market date. Resolution Source METAR reports from ICAO station SBBE, publicly available via NOAA (aviationweather.gov) and REDEMET (redemet.decea.mil.br).

Joao Lauria 2026-06-12 06:24:07 ↗ Polymarket

Hi Polymarket team, I'd like to suggest expanding your daily temperature markets to three more Brazilian cities, following the São Paulo precedent: **1. Belém (SBBE – Val-de-Cans International Airport)** "Highest temperature in Belém on [date]?" Belém is the gateway to the Amazon and hosted COP30 in 2025, giving it strong global recognition among climate-aware audiences — exactly the kind of traders engaged in your Weather category. Its temperatures are relatively stable (~30–33°C) but vary meaningfully with rainfall, creating genuine uncertainty for daily markets. **2. Rio de Janeiro (SBGL – Galeão International Airport)** "Highest temperature in Rio de Janeiro on [date]?" Rio has far greater international name recognition than São Paulo and a more volatile climate — extreme heat waves interrupted by cold fronts from the south. That volatility translates directly into trading interest and tighter price discovery. Rio also has a large and active crypto/DeFi community. **3. Curitiba (SBCT – Afonso Pena International Airport)** "Highest temperature in Curitiba on [date]?" Curitiba would be the only "cold-weather" temperature market in South America — a genuinely differentiated offering. Unpredictable polar fronts pushing temperatures below 10°C in a major city create the kind of high-uncertainty, high-engagement environment that performs well on Polymarket. **Resolution source:** METAR reports from each airport's ICAO station (SBBE, SBGL, SBCT). METARs are official, publicly accessible, issued hourly, and timestamped — the daily maximum temperature can be derived unambiguously from the full day's sequence of reports. Happy to provide more data on any of these. Thanks for considering!

Hi Polymarket team, I'd like to suggest expanding your daily temperature markets to three more Brazilian cities, following the São Paulo precedent: **1. Belém (SBBE – Val-de-Cans International Airport)** "Highest temperature in Belém on [date]?" Belém is the gateway to the Amazon and hosted COP30 in 2025, giving it strong global recognition among climate-aware audiences — exactly the kind of traders engaged in your Weather category. Its temperatures are relatively stable (~30–33°C) but vary meaningfully with rainfall, creating genuine uncertainty for daily markets. **2. Rio de Janeiro (SBGL – Galeão International Airport)** "Highest temperature in Rio de Janeiro on [date]?" Rio has far greater international name recognition than São Paulo and a more volatile climate — extreme heat waves interrupted by cold fronts from the south. That volatility translates directly into trading interest and tighter price discovery. Rio also has a large and active crypto/DeFi community. **3. Curitiba (SBCT – Afonso Pena International Airport)** "Highest temperature in Curitiba on [date]?" Curitiba would be the only "cold-weather" temperature market in South America — a genuinely differentiated offering. Unpredictable polar fronts pushing temperatures below 10°C in a major city create the kind of high-uncertainty, high-engagement environment that performs well on Polymarket. **Resolution source:** METAR reports from each airport's ICAO station (SBBE, SBGL, SBCT). METARs are official, publicly accessible, issued hourly, and timestamped — the daily maximum temperature can be derived unambiguously from the full day's sequence of reports. Happy to provide more data on any of these. Thanks for considering!

Joao Lauria 2026-06-12 06:21:57 ↗ Polymarket

NEW MARKET IDEIA: Hi Polymarket team, I'd like to suggest expanding your daily temperature markets to three more Brazilian cities, following the São Paulo precedent: **1. Belém (SBBE – Val-de-Cans International Airport)** "Highest temperature in Belém on [date]?" Belém is the gateway to the Amazon and hosted COP30 in 2025, giving it strong global recognition among climate-aware audiences — exactly the kind of traders engaged in your Weather category. Its temperatures are relatively stable (~30–33°C) but vary meaningfully with rainfall, creating genuine uncertainty for daily markets. **2. Rio de Janeiro (SBGL – Galeão International Airport)** "Highest temperature in Rio de Janeiro on [date]?" Rio has far greater international name recognition than São Paulo and a more volatile climate — extreme heat waves interrupted by cold fronts from the south. That volatility translates directly into trading interest and tighter price discovery. Rio also has a large and active crypto/DeFi community. **3. Curitiba (SBCT – Afonso Pena International Airport)** "Highest temperature in Curitiba on [date]?" Curitiba would be the only "cold-weather" temperature market in South America — a genuinely differentiated offering. Unpredictable polar fronts pushing temperatures below 10°C in a major city create the kind of high-uncertainty, high-engagement environment that performs well on Polymarket. **Resolution source:** METAR reports from each airport's ICAO station (SBBE, SBGL, SBCT). METARs are official, publicly accessible, issued hourly, and timestamped — the daily maximum temperature can be derived unambiguously from the full day's sequence of reports. Happy to provide more data on any of these. Thanks for considering!

NEW MARKET IDEIA: Hi Polymarket team, I'd like to suggest expanding your daily temperature markets to three more Brazilian cities, following the São Paulo precedent: **1. Belém (SBBE – Val-de-Cans International Airport)** "Highest temperature in Belém on [date]?" Belém is the gateway to the Amazon and hosted COP30 in 2025, giving it strong global recognition among climate-aware audiences — exactly the kind of traders engaged in your Weather category. Its temperatures are relatively stable (~30–33°C) but vary meaningfully with rainfall, creating genuine uncertainty for daily markets. **2. Rio de Janeiro (SBGL – Galeão International Airport)** "Highest temperature in Rio de Janeiro on [date]?" Rio has far greater international name recognition than São Paulo and a more volatile climate — extreme heat waves interrupted by cold fronts from the south. That volatility translates directly into trading interest and tighter price discovery. Rio also has a large and active crypto/DeFi community. **3. Curitiba (SBCT – Afonso Pena International Airport)** "Highest temperature in Curitiba on [date]?" Curitiba would be the only "cold-weather" temperature market in South America — a genuinely differentiated offering. Unpredictable polar fronts pushing temperatures below 10°C in a major city create the kind of high-uncertainty, high-engagement environment that performs well on Polymarket. **Resolution source:** METAR reports from each airport's ICAO station (SBBE, SBGL, SBCT). METARs are official, publicly accessible, issued hourly, and timestamped — the daily maximum temperature can be derived unambiguously from the full day's sequence of reports. Happy to provide more data on any of these. Thanks for considering!