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pi 2026-06-04 07:55:29 Polymarket

There were conditions on previous ceasefire too

There were conditions on previous ceasefire too

pi 2026-06-04 07:54:51 Polymarket

It doesnt matter

It doesnt matter

pi 2026-06-04 07:54:44 Polymarket

So what? Do you think previous ceasefires were unconditional?

So what? Do you think previous ceasefires were unconditional?

pi 2026-06-04 07:54:19 Polymarket

Israel and Lebanon agree on a full ceasefire, conditioned on steps by Hezbollah

Israel and Lebanon agree on a full ceasefire, conditioned on steps by Hezbollah

pi 2026-06-04 07:54:12 Polymarket

https://www.axios.com/2026/06/03/israel-lebanon-ceasefire-hezbollah-us

https://www.axios.com/2026/06/03/israel-lebanon-ceasefire-hezbollah-us

pi 2026-06-04 07:52:54 Polymarket

So what? Previous ceasefires was not unconditional too

So what? Previous ceasefires was not unconditional too

Thats not about ceasefire, here is exact copypaste from joint announcement: As a result of the U.S. led negotiations, Israel and Lebanon agreed to the implementation of a ceasefire. The ceasefire is contingent on a complete cessation of Hizbollah fire and the evacuation of all Hizbollah operatives from the South Litani Sector. The two sides agreed with the guidance of the United States to swiftly advance the creation of pilot zones in which the Lebanese Armed Forces will take exclusive control of the territory to the exclusion of all non-state actors. **These steps will enable progress towards a comprehensive peace and security agreement. The two parties agreed to reconvene the political and security tracks the week of June 22** How in any way June 22 meetings are related to the ceasefire which were established?

Thats not about ceasefire, here is exact copypaste from joint announcement: As a result of the U.S. led negotiations, Israel and Lebanon agreed to the implementation of a ceasefire. The ceasefire is contingent on a complete cessation of Hizbollah fire and the evacuation of all Hizbollah operatives from the South Litani Sector. The two sides agreed with the guidance of the United States to swiftly advance the creation of pilot zones in which the Lebanese Armed Forces will take exclusive control of the territory to the exclusion of all non-state actors. **These steps will enable progress towards a comprehensive peace and security agreement. The two parties agreed to reconvene the political and security tracks the week of June 22** How in any way June 22 meetings are related to the ceasefire which were established?

pi 2026-06-04 07:50:07 Polymarket

are you implying there is no ceasefire at all? israeli near nabateih if you didn't know, operating under current ceasefire

are you implying there is no ceasefire at all? israeli near nabateih if you didn't know, operating under current ceasefire

pi 2026-06-04 07:41:47 Polymarket

As a result of the U.S. led negotiations, Israel and Lebanon agreed to the implementation of a ceasefire. The ceasefire is contingent on a complete cessation of Hizbollah fire and the evacuation of all Hizbollah operatives from the South Litani Sector. The two sides agreed with the guidance of the United States to swiftly advance the creation of pilot zones in which the Lebanese Armed Forces will take exclusive control of the territory to the exclusion of all non-state actors. T**hese steps will enable progress towards a comprehensive peace and security agreement.** **The two parties agreed to reconvene the political and security tracks the week of June 22** How in any way June 22 meetings are related to the ceasefire which were established?

As a result of the U.S. led negotiations, Israel and Lebanon agreed to the implementation of a ceasefire. The ceasefire is contingent on a complete cessation of Hizbollah fire and the evacuation of all Hizbollah operatives from the South Litani Sector. The two sides agreed with the guidance of the United States to swiftly advance the creation of pilot zones in which the Lebanese Armed Forces will take exclusive control of the territory to the exclusion of all non-state actors. T**hese steps will enable progress towards a comprehensive peace and security agreement.** **The two parties agreed to reconvene the political and security tracks the week of June 22** How in any way June 22 meetings are related to the ceasefire which were established?

pi 2026-06-04 07:35:33 Polymarket

A newly agreed-upon broader peace deal will qualify if it includes Israel's agreement to a ceasefire extension. This is part of newly agreed-upon broader peace deal.

A newly agreed-upon broader peace deal will qualify if it includes Israel's agreement to a ceasefire extension. This is part of newly agreed-upon broader peace deal.

pi 2026-06-04 07:28:47 Polymarket

What included in ceasefire, it's not only one thing they agreed of

What included in ceasefire, it's not only one thing they agreed of

pi 2026-06-04 07:28:34 Polymarket

Bro you're quoting part of the ceasefire

Bro you're quoting part of the ceasefire

pi 2026-06-04 07:27:29 Polymarket

Ceasefire agreed today

Ceasefire agreed today

pi 2026-06-04 07:27:18 Polymarket

That's about comprehensive peace on June 22, not about ceasefire

That's about comprehensive peace on June 22, not about ceasefire

pi 2026-06-04 07:25:57 Polymarket

Do you think Israel was not present or what?

Do you think Israel was not present or what?

pi 2026-06-04 07:25:49 Polymarket

It's joint US, Israel and Lebanon announcement

It's joint US, Israel and Lebanon announcement

pi 2026-06-04 07:25:22 Polymarket

wth

wth

pi 2026-06-04 07:25:15 Polymarket

they will confirm in 2 hours

they will confirm in 2 hours

pi 2026-06-04 07:25:09 Polymarket

so what now buy no?

so what now buy no?

pi 2026-06-04 03:58:04 Polymarket

I can send media coverage on this non-stop, what are the counterarguments? They got it wrong?

I can send media coverage on this non-stop, what are the counterarguments? They got it wrong?

pi 2026-06-04 03:57:43 Polymarket

There is pretty much of consensus in media this EO involves some review before public release

There is pretty much of consensus in media this EO involves some review before public release

pi 2026-06-04 03:56:52 Polymarket

Media is not on the "duznt count" EO interpretation side btw. Reuters says the EO asks leading AI developers to submit powerful models for government cybersecurity testing before public release. AP says it creates a framework to vet national security risks up to a month before public release. The Verge says the EO is to review AI models before release. TechCrunch says it as a voluntary pre release government review framework for covered frontier models.

Media is not on the "duznt count" EO interpretation side btw. Reuters says the EO asks leading AI developers to submit powerful models for government cybersecurity testing before public release. AP says it creates a framework to vet national security risks up to a month before public release. The Verge says the EO is to review AI models before release. TechCrunch says it as a voluntary pre release government review framework for covered frontier models.

pi 2026-06-03 23:47:13 Polymarket

Approval is not needed by the rules

Approval is not needed by the rules

pi 2026-06-03 23:47:02 Polymarket

It is def creates some fed review processes

It is def creates some fed review processes

pi 2026-06-03 23:46:00 Polymarket

A qualifying action must create a federal process for reviewing **or** approving the public release of new artificial intelligence models.

A qualifying action must create a federal process for reviewing **or** approving the public release of new artificial intelligence models.

pi 2026-06-03 23:05:29 Polymarket

In fact no rules are shown

In fact no rules are shown

pi 2026-06-03 23:05:22 Polymarket

No traditional book have the whole ruleset with all edgecases shown to you when you press bet

No traditional book have the whole ruleset with all edgecases shown to you when you press bet

pi 2026-06-03 23:04:50 Polymarket

that's default for some event with time bracket to expire on bracket end, adding extra day will not logically change anything, it will be just and extension of same timebracket to 1 day. There still will be people who will say what if i got info 1 second after extended day, THATS INSANE TO NOT COUNT THAT etc. Rulebook can be worked on yes, but the main problem is not from rulebook is not exists but from people not accustomed with betting or prediction baited into something they don't know as it was with MSTR

that's default for some event with time bracket to expire on bracket end, adding extra day will not logically change anything, it will be just and extension of same timebracket to 1 day. There still will be people who will say what if i got info 1 second after extended day, THATS INSANE TO NOT COUNT THAT etc. Rulebook can be worked on yes, but the main problem is not from rulebook is not exists but from people not accustomed with betting or prediction baited into something they don't know as it was with MSTR

pi 2026-06-03 23:01:11 Polymarket

in what exactly

in what exactly

pi 2026-06-03 22:41:11 Polymarket

It's obvious that it was correctly resolved

It's obvious that it was correctly resolved

pi 2026-06-03 22:41:02 Polymarket

Why you protect some twitter yapping bait with such force idk

Why you protect some twitter yapping bait with such force idk

pi 2026-06-03 22:40:43 Polymarket

I'm pretty sure domer is willo on alt lol

I'm pretty sure domer is willo on alt lol

pi 2026-06-03 22:39:40 Polymarket

Maybe 15 minutes is enough?

Maybe 15 minutes is enough?

pi 2026-06-03 22:39:33 Polymarket

I want to wait 2 days why not 2 days. Maybe 3 hours? sounds nice

I want to wait 2 days why not 2 days. Maybe 3 hours? sounds nice

pi 2026-06-03 22:39:07 Polymarket

Why so

Why so

pi 2026-06-03 22:38:53 Polymarket

If market bracket timeline can be extended as you wish what's the point of the timeline at all?

If market bracket timeline can be extended as you wish what's the point of the timeline at all?

pi 2026-06-03 22:38:22 Polymarket

When should we stop then? When market can be bonded?

When should we stop then? When market can be bonded?

pi 2026-06-03 22:34:39 Polymarket

Cause someone disputed it just for fun and happened, that way after market should be already resolved some data popped up, doesnt mean it wasnt resolved correctly

Cause someone disputed it just for fun and happened, that way after market should be already resolved some data popped up, doesnt mean it wasnt resolved correctly

pi 2026-06-03 22:33:40 Polymarket

Like if really onchain data show the sell or MSTR officials posted like sell report coming tomorrow

Like if really onchain data show the sell or MSTR officials posted like sell report coming tomorrow

pi 2026-06-03 22:33:18 Polymarket

It's not, it's default for bracket to cut off any data after bracket timeline ends, unless edge cases covered in the rules, or real ambiguity exists

It's not, it's default for bracket to cut off any data after bracket timeline ends, unless edge cases covered in the rules, or real ambiguity exists

pi 2026-06-03 22:28:45 Polymarket

maybe willo is doomer alt <a:thinking:1479896605862920222>

maybe willo is doomer alt <a:thinking:1479896605862920222>

pi 2026-06-03 03:52:40 Polymarket

Cause no one uses MEXC predictions apparently

Cause no one uses MEXC predictions apparently

pi 2026-06-03 03:49:30 Polymarket

Nice move when you have 10k(I guessed) volume, doesn’t care, and use precedent to hype your competitor product

Nice move when you have 10k(I guessed) volume, doesn’t care, and use precedent to hype your competitor product

pi 2026-06-03 03:44:11 Polymarket

Bracket with timeline defaults to cut off any data after timeline expiration unless edge cases covered in rules(it’s everywhere). This time it could be called ambiguous if transfers would not roundtripped, but they do. So from the standpoint of bracket end time there were no evidence of sell to cause some ambiguity. What happened next is the chain of random unpredictable events which led to both market disputed and opened, and data published outside of time bracket. Technically that’s not ambiguous resolve, I don’t see why defaults are changing in this case no matter how rare possibility of this event was

Bracket with timeline defaults to cut off any data after timeline expiration unless edge cases covered in rules(it’s everywhere). This time it could be called ambiguous if transfers would not roundtripped, but they do. So from the standpoint of bracket end time there were no evidence of sell to cause some ambiguity. What happened next is the chain of random unpredictable events which led to both market disputed and opened, and data published outside of time bracket. Technically that’s not ambiguous resolve, I don’t see why defaults are changing in this case no matter how rare possibility of this event was

pi 2026-06-02 07:28:19 Polymarket

<:Bidensmile:1040247925420339251>

<:Bidensmile:1040247925420339251>

pi 2026-06-02 07:28:12 Polymarket

you are evil

you are evil

pi 2026-06-02 07:25:23 Polymarket

terminal stage of "X crypto brain"

terminal stage of "X crypto brain"

pi 2026-06-02 03:59:16 Polymarket

There is no separate ceaseifire with hezbollah, market is about lebanon ceasefire, which includes hezbollah. It should be this exact ceasefire extended to qualify or new agreement which includes ceasefire extension. Current one ends at 1 July. If it will be indirect shuttle diplomacy through Lebanon and the US it will not count, hezbollah doesnt need to sign anything new with Israel.

There is no separate ceaseifire with hezbollah, market is about lebanon ceasefire, which includes hezbollah. It should be this exact ceasefire extended to qualify or new agreement which includes ceasefire extension. Current one ends at 1 July. If it will be indirect shuttle diplomacy through Lebanon and the US it will not count, hezbollah doesnt need to sign anything new with Israel.

pi 2026-06-02 02:54:29 Polymarket

Yeah

Yeah

pi 2026-06-02 02:53:51 Polymarket

Already resolved as no

Already resolved as no

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