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以色列黎巴嫩停火新协议是否构成扩展引发争议

2026-06-04 · Polymarket · 15 条相关讨论

Begotten 2026-06-04 07:24:49

rules are pretty strict, it has to be explicitly beyond june 30

rules are pretty strict, it has to be explicitly beyond june 30

Petar 2026-06-04 07:26:09

"As a result of the U.S. led negotiations, Israel and Lebanon **agreed to the implementation of a ceasefire.**"

"As a result of the U.S. led negotiations, Israel and Lebanon **agreed to the implementation of a ceasefire.**"

Analista. 2026-06-04 07:28:01

A qualifying announcement requires clear public confirmation from the Israeli government that Israel has extended its commitment to the ceasefire beyond its current scheduled end. Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation, or unilateral pause in hostilities without a confirmed Israeli announcement of a qualifying extension will not qualify. Similarly, newly agreed-upon humanitarian pauses, limited operational pauses, or temporary tactical stand-downs will not qualify.

A qualifying announcement requires clear public confirmation from the Israeli government that Israel has extended its commitment to the ceasefire beyond its current scheduled end. Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation, or unilateral pause in hostilities without a confirmed Israeli announcement of a qualifying extension will not qualify. Similarly, newly agreed-upon humanitarian pauses, limited operational pauses, or temporary tactical stand-downs will not qualify.

jjjjjjjjjjjjj 2026-06-04 07:33:56

so if it doesn't say temporary, doesn't say permanent, what is it?

so if it doesn't say temporary, doesn't say permanent, what is it?

50-Pence 2026-06-04 07:34:18

If a qualifying announcement is officially made before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire extension ultimately takes effect.

If a qualifying announcement is officially made before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire extension ultimately takes effect.

Analista. 2026-06-04 07:37:23

**__A newly agreed-upon broader peace deal will qualify if it includes Israel's agreement to a ceasefire extension__**. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures, but do not explicitly extend the ceasefire, will not qualify.

**__A newly agreed-upon broader peace deal will qualify if it includes Israel's agreement to a ceasefire extension__**. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures, but do not explicitly extend the ceasefire, will not qualify.

Analista. 2026-06-04 07:40:13

They are meeting in 3 weeks

They are meeting in 3 weeks

rex416. 2026-06-04 07:40:51

He bet on Randy

He bet on Randy

jjjjjjjjjjjjj 2026-06-04 07:41:52

so would 1918 armistice not count to end WW1 until they sign versailles?

so would 1918 armistice not count to end WW1 until they sign versailles?

SHJZB 2026-06-04 07:43:31

It's obviously a new agreement with ceasefire extension included(as required by the rules).

It's obviously a new agreement with ceasefire extension included(as required by the rules).

Lolakis 2026-06-04 07:44:37

https://tenor.com/view/nailong-gif-11558775815700152876

https://tenor.com/view/nailong-gif-11558775815700152876

Car 2026-06-04 07:48:14

its basically not even an agreement

its basically not even an agreement

Padda 2026-06-04 07:51:45

The previous ceasefire was until June 29, this one is indefinite, and semi-conditional on Hezbollah?. I think this could fairly be read as an extension

The previous ceasefire was until June 29, this one is indefinite, and semi-conditional on Hezbollah?. I think this could fairly be read as an extension

pi 2026-06-04 07:52:03

Thats not about ceasefire, here is exact copypaste from joint announcement: As a result of the U.S. led negotiations, Israel and Lebanon agreed to the implementation of a ceasefire. The ceasefire is contingent on a complete cessation of Hizbollah fire and the evacuation of all Hizbollah operatives from the South Litani Sector. The two sides agreed with the guidance of the United States to swiftly advance the creation of pilot zones in which the Lebanese Armed Forces will take exclusive control of the territory to the exclusion of all non-state actors. **These steps will enable progress towards a comprehensive peace and security agreement. The two parties agreed to reconvene the political and security tracks the week of June 22** How in any way June 22 meetings are related to the ceasefire which were established?

Thats not about ceasefire, here is exact copypaste from joint announcement: As a result of the U.S. led negotiations, Israel and Lebanon agreed to the implementation of a ceasefire. The ceasefire is contingent on a complete cessation of Hizbollah fire and the evacuation of all Hizbollah operatives from the South Litani Sector. The two sides agreed with the guidance of the United States to swiftly advance the creation of pilot zones in which the Lebanese Armed Forces will take exclusive control of the territory to the exclusion of all non-state actors. **These steps will enable progress towards a comprehensive peace and security agreement. The two parties agreed to reconvene the political and security tracks the week of June 22** How in any way June 22 meetings are related to the ceasefire which were established?

pi 2026-06-04 07:55:48

"If a qualifying announcement is officially made before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire extension ultimately takes effect."

"If a qualifying announcement is officially made before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire extension ultimately takes effect."