Polymarketdidnt work on Xi-Trump, MSTR and others
didnt work on Xi-Trump, MSTR and others
pi参与话题 14消息总数 986
该用户的聊天记录定位。
聊天记录
共 986 条，显示第 151-200 条Vagueness of evidence and the way it was proposed on the market where lower volume brackets were not seen on the first page, while it was around 60-65c. How it should be called?
Vagueness of evidence and the way it was proposed on the market where lower volume brackets were not seen on the first page, while it was around 60-65c. How it should be called?
You can read my UMA argument on why this "reporting" should not count
You can read my UMA argument on why this "reporting" should not count
You're down to unnamed reuters iranian official already
You're down to unnamed reuters iranian official already
No, second parlamentary says that his message is based Nabavians remarks
No, second parlamentary says that his message is based Nabavians remarks
So basically this is parlamentary criticism that's all
So basically this is parlamentary criticism that's all
Btw second parlamentary post says in its body that it's based on Nabavian opinion.
Btw second parlamentary post says in its body that it's based on Nabavian opinion.
What for Nabavian original statement it was political criticism of the text of the MOU. Nabavian was speaking as a parliamentary critic arguing that the draft was too vague and too concessionary, Arangchi and Iranian FM statements directly contradict Nabavian criticism, it cannot be considered as Iranian pledge to end enrichment since it is parliamentarian interpretation of a text to criticize it, not a Iranian stance on enrichment.
What for Nabavian original statement it was political criticism of the text of the MOU. Nabavian was speaking as a parliamentary critic arguing that the draft was too vague and too concessionary, Arangchi and Iranian FM statements directly contradict Nabavian criticism, it cannot be considered as Iranian pledge to end enrichment since it is parliamentarian interpretation of a text to criticize it, not a Iranian stance on enrichment.
I assure you if Iranians will pledge to end enrichment FOR REAL this will fly to 99 so fast you will be not able to fastclick even
I assure you if Iranians will pledge to end enrichment FOR REAL this will fly to 99 so fast you will be not able to fastclick even
Maybe we will resolve by the rules?
Maybe we will resolve by the rules?
Yeah trump also announced peace deal for 39 times.
Yeah trump also announced peace deal for 39 times.
Can you point me to "ending" word or something similar?
Can you point me to "ending" word or something similar?
Framework for what?
Framework for what?
"The two parties also agreed to discuss the issue of enrichment and other mutually agreed matters related to the Islamic Republic of Iran’s nuclear needs based on a satisfactory framework being agreed upon in the final deal." Point me where exactly something said about ending?
"The two parties also agreed to discuss the issue of enrichment and other mutually agreed matters related to the Islamic Republic of Iran’s nuclear needs based on a satisfactory framework being agreed upon in the final deal." Point me where exactly something said about ending?
No, it's simply there is no iranian pledge to end enrichment, and there is no consensus of credible reporting on that. At the best there is contradictory reporting of media opinions on the topic of enrichment itself.
No, it's simply there is no iranian pledge to end enrichment, and there is no consensus of credible reporting on that. At the best there is contradictory reporting of media opinions on the topic of enrichment itself.
<@1372793119946440746> you should stop argue so they will not be able to determine when you are sleeping for sneaky scam proposal round 2 <:Bidensmile:1040247925420339251>
<@1372793119946440746> you should stop argue so they will not be able to determine when you are sleeping for sneaky scam proposal round 2 <:Bidensmile:1040247925420339251>
For sure
For sure
Bomb drop is highly unrealistic scenario, denizz flip is highly realistic scenario, cause he did it multiple times in last 2 days
Bomb drop is highly unrealistic scenario, denizz flip is highly realistic scenario, cause he did it multiple times in last 2 days
I feel like most of the people here affected by some whales price movement more than actual evidence for the market in this exact case
I feel like most of the people here affected by some whales price movement more than actual evidence for the market in this exact case
What would you do if denizz would sell whole bag right now and flip to no, honestly?
What would you do if denizz would sell whole bag right now and flip to no, honestly?
How you feel about standing P2 when most of P2 arguers is admitting it's P4 per clarification of PM, but still insisting on P2 argument cause they think they will be able to scam it without clarif?
How you feel about standing P2 when most of P2 arguers is admitting it's P4 per clarification of PM, but still insisting on P2 argument cause they think they will be able to scam it without clarif?
P2 here is breadcrumbs media frankenstein with mostly single Reuters 14th article as source, contradicted by other media, glued by implying
P2 here is breadcrumbs media frankenstein with mostly single Reuters 14th article as source, contradicted by other media, glued by implying
Yes, you just read the mou
Yes, you just read the mou
Here we have at the best contradicting media opinions on the topic itself, not a credible reporting of Iranian pledge to end
Here we have at the best contradicting media opinions on the topic itself, not a credible reporting of Iranian pledge to end
not even close, perma was announced by Iran, Pakistan, UN and not denied by US
not even close, perma was announced by Iran, Pakistan, UN and not denied by US
Contradicted by later statements of Iranian officials and iranian media, continue to loop-cope
Contradicted by later statements of Iranian officials and iranian media, continue to loop-cope
Funny how everyone on P2 is admitting it's P4 per clarification of PM, but still insisting on P2 argument cause they think they will be able to scam it without clarif
Funny how everyone on P2 is admitting it's P4 per clarification of PM, but still insisting on P2 argument cause they think they will be able to scam it without clarif
Troop clarif does not make enrichment case stronger cause rules are different
Troop clarif does not make enrichment case stronger cause rules are different
IAEA can't establish the status of iran's enrichment at the moment. Last reports stated that they are enriching. How PM-review can establish it?
IAEA can't establish the status of iran's enrichment at the moment. Last reports stated that they are enriching. How PM-review can establish it?
It’s called status quo
It’s called status quo
I still believe that someone will either flip midway or do not join this stinky scam attempt and will dispute if proposed
I still believe that someone will either flip midway or do not join this stinky scam attempt and will dispute if proposed
Nice argument for p2 my bro
Nice argument for p2 my bro
I’m saying that “tomorrow we propose” it’s scheduled scam
I’m saying that “tomorrow we propose” it’s scheduled scam
I know
I know
This resolves it, y
This resolves it, y
Why all this are in the rules then? https://discord.com/channels/710897173927297116/817444472009785366/1516951860571799613
Why all this are in the rules then? https://discord.com/channels/710897173927297116/817444472009785366/1516951860571799613
It should be at least clarified by PM
It should be at least clarified by PM
The decisive question is this is copy is operative counterpart vs decorative autograph, from what i've researched official Iran described the operative signing as digital, and the physical Versailles copy has not been shown to form part of the agreement
The decisive question is this is copy is operative counterpart vs decorative autograph, from what i've researched official Iran described the operative signing as digital, and the physical Versailles copy has not been shown to form part of the agreement
I didn't dig too deep but from what i've researched in 15 minutes i'm pretty sure the intent of the market was to catch the event of physical signing between US and Iran if the Trump will present on signing. That's why rules implies in my opinion "The primary resolution source for this market will be official **information from Donald Trump and the governments of the United States and Iran**" and "If the United States and Iran complete the physical signing of the agreement (e.g., through a signing ceremony) and Trump does not physically sign the agreement, this market will resolve immediately to “No”." clauses. If it's some toy-copy of the agreement framed as autograph for france side it should not count. Is it some toy-copy or something which will be used further with Iranian side which i doubt?
I didn't dig too deep but from what i've researched in 15 minutes i'm pretty sure the intent of the market was to catch the event of physical signing between US and Iran if the Trump will present on signing. That's why rules implies in my opinion "The primary resolution source for this market will be official **information from Donald Trump and the governments of the United States and Iran**" and "If the United States and Iran complete the physical signing of the agreement (e.g., through a signing ceremony) and Trump does not physically sign the agreement, this market will resolve immediately to “No”." clauses. If it's some toy-copy of the agreement framed as autograph for france side it should not count. Is it some toy-copy or something which will be used further with Iranian side which i doubt?
So tldr trump signed it themself physically?
So tldr trump signed it themself physically?
<@941405798096076880> if you need clarification on airspace: Iran issued 2 non-weather NOTAMS which closed major part of the airspace. Both NOTAMS are closing 2/5 airports, 1 is replacing NOTAMR A1256/26 which previously was allowing operation of this 2 airports with nighttime restrictions. Other one replaced A1178/26, which updated overflight restrictions. Both new NOTAMS are active and under they operation 2/5 major airports needed by rules are completely closed. All other western part of Iran airports are closed too. This qualifies by rules written. This 2 NOTAMS were closing airspace for 2.5h. Later they were replaced with A1277/26 and A1276/26 extension NOTAMS, which makes total airspace closure 5+ hours already. Previous resolved airspace closure was around 5h, not like it does matter by the rules. NOTAMS are issued by Iranian Civil Aviation Organisation which is direct resolution source. Weather argument: Weather related NOTAM coding would point to meteorological services or weather contamination subjects FM = meteorological service or contain exact weather condition wording in the body of NOTAM For our notams we have QFALC and QAFXX FA = Aerodrome and LC = Closed No weather mentioned The SIGMET posted in pm-review confirms embedded thunderstorms existed in part of Tehran FIR but it does not mean that the closure was weather caused. NOTAMS themselves do not mention TS, CB, WX, SIGMET, visibility, wind, RVR, runway contamination or any meteorological cause. They use FIR aerodrome closure codes and a pre existing west/east Tehran FIR boundary, Iran CAA permission requirements and hajj flight exceptions. SIGMET polygon is nearly do not cover 2 closed airports and two airports counted as closed under the west sector. No country closes half of the airports cause of any thunderstorm, not to mention "presented" one as N argument.
<@941405798096076880> if you need clarification on airspace: Iran issued 2 non-weather NOTAMS which closed major part of the airspace. Both NOTAMS are closing 2/5 airports, 1 is replacing NOTAMR A1256/26 which previously was allowing operation of this 2 airports with nighttime restrictions. Other one replaced A1178/26, which updated overflight restrictions. Both new NOTAMS are active and under they operation 2/5 major airports needed by rules are completely closed. All other western part of Iran airports are closed too. This qualifies by rules written. This 2 NOTAMS were closing airspace for 2.5h. Later they were replaced with A1277/26 and A1276/26 extension NOTAMS, which makes total airspace closure 5+ hours already. Previous resolved airspace closure was around 5h, not like it does matter by the rules. NOTAMS are issued by Iranian Civil Aviation Organisation which is direct resolution source. Weather argument: Weather related NOTAM coding would point to meteorological services or weather contamination subjects FM = meteorological service or contain exact weather condition wording in the body of NOTAM For our notams we have QFALC and QAFXX FA = Aerodrome and LC = Closed No weather mentioned The SIGMET posted in pm-review confirms embedded thunderstorms existed in part of Tehran FIR but it does not mean that the closure was weather caused. NOTAMS themselves do not mention TS, CB, WX, SIGMET, visibility, wind, RVR, runway contamination or any meteorological cause. They use FIR aerodrome closure codes and a pre existing west/east Tehran FIR boundary, Iran CAA permission requirements and hajj flight exceptions. SIGMET polygon is nearly do not cover 2 closed airports and two airports counted as closed under the west sector. No country closes half of the airports cause of any thunderstorm, not to mention "presented" one as N argument.
what should i argue
what should i argue
What should i do lol
What should i do lol
what
what
And return after
And return after
<@758054272641531944> go to you AI, choose max effort, enter next prompt: Recheck OIIX notam picture and check "Any non-weather complete suspension of commercial arrivals and departures affecting at least two of the following airports will qualify: Imam Khomeini International Airport (IKA), Mehrabad Airport (THR), Mashhad International Airport (MHD), Shiraz International Airport (SYZ), or Isfahan International Airport (IFN)" rule, does this qualify?
<@758054272641531944> go to you AI, choose max effort, enter next prompt: Recheck OIIX notam picture and check "Any non-weather complete suspension of commercial arrivals and departures affecting at least two of the following airports will qualify: Imam Khomeini International Airport (IKA), Mehrabad Airport (THR), Mashhad International Airport (MHD), Shiraz International Airport (SYZ), or Isfahan International Airport (IFN)" rule, does this qualify?
It's active and airspace already closed
It's active and airspace already closed
Do you understand that NOTAM issued by Iranian Civil Aviation Organisation which is direct resolution source?
Do you understand that NOTAM issued by Iranian Civil Aviation Organisation which is direct resolution source?
Are you for real? It's ACTIVE notam
Are you for real? It's ACTIVE notam
icao issues notams
icao issues notams