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Bumbling Bayesian参与话题 33消息总数 209

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Bumbling Bayesian 2026-07-13 18:52:27 Kalshi Kalshi 子账户创建导致排行榜功能异常

The leaderboard entirely broke for me when I created my first subaccounts. Other stuff is still wonky. Maybe they just have not gotten to these things yet. I haven’t reported any of these bugs to them because it is not clear if they already know and Kalshi doesn’t have a good process for handling bug reports anyway. The leaderboard was also broken back when they split and then merged exchanges to support elections. I think it is just low priority to them, which is understandable.

The leaderboard entirely broke for me when I created my first subaccounts. Other stuff is still wonky. Maybe they just have not gotten to these things yet. I haven’t reported any of these bugs to them because it is not clear if they already know and Kalshi doesn’t have a good process for handling bug reports anyway. The leaderboard was also broken back when they split and then merged exchanges to support elections. I think it is just low priority to them, which is understandable.

Bumbling Bayesian 2026-07-11 23:40:43 Kalshi

Someone could compile a list of Kalshi graveyard features, ideas that appealed to someone in Kalshi leadership for 15 minutes. They made an MVP and an announcement and then got distracted by the next shiny thing and didn't leave any adult responsible for it.

Someone could compile a list of Kalshi graveyard features, ideas that appealed to someone in Kalshi leadership for 15 minutes. They made an MVP and an announcement and then got distracted by the next shiny thing and didn't leave any adult responsible for it.

Bumbling Bayesian 2026-07-11 23:36:11 Kalshi Kalshi API/WebSocket 订阅上限与连接不稳定问题

There might be some constraint in the Kalshi back end that hits before you hit a URL length limit, but last time I poked at this, I found that was not the case.

There might be some constraint in the Kalshi back end that hits before you hit a URL length limit, but last time I poked at this, I found that was not the case.

Bumbling Bayesian 2026-07-11 23:06:11 Kalshi Kalshi API/WebSocket 订阅上限与连接不稳定问题

The limiting constraint will be how long your URL can be and this is constrained by middleware such as CloudFront. When they were using CloudFront, that was what limited number of tickers in a query string (the maximum CloudFront URL length is 8,192 bytes). I don't know what the limit might be with the new load balancer configuration.

The limiting constraint will be how long your URL can be and this is constrained by middleware such as CloudFront. When they were using CloudFront, that was what limited number of tickers in a query string (the maximum CloudFront URL length is 8,192 bytes). I don't know what the limit might be with the new load balancer configuration.

Bumbling Bayesian 2026-07-11 06:43:29 Kalshi 用户询问子账户利息支付规则

It has been making a single interest payment to subaccount 0. But all of the “Credit” entries (interest, incentive, bounty) show up in all subaccounts.

It has been making a single interest payment to subaccount 0. But all of the “Credit” entries (interest, incentive, bounty) show up in all subaccounts.

Bumbling Bayesian 2026-07-10 09:26:54 Kalshi API密钥关联特定子账户的功能讨论

(At least, it has been documented. I have not tried it yet. It is possible the documentation does not match the implementation.)

(At least, it has been documented. I have not tried it yet. It is possible the documentation does not match the implementation.)

Bumbling Bayesian 2026-07-10 09:25:51 Kalshi API密钥关联特定子账户的功能讨论

They already have subaccount restriction per key: https://docs.kalshi.com/api-reference/api-keys/create-api-key#body-subaccount

They already have subaccount restriction per key: https://docs.kalshi.com/api-reference/api-keys/create-api-key#body-subaccount

Bumbling Bayesian 2026-07-10 06:08:09 Kalshi

Is anyone else seeing problems with subscribing to `market_lifecycle_v2` or `trade` channels? I subscribe to various channels at startup and sometimes I never get the `subscribed` response or any messages for those channels. I don't think I had this problem before.

Is anyone else seeing problems with subscribing to `market_lifecycle_v2` or `trade` channels? I subscribe to various channels at startup and sometimes I never get the `subscribed` response or any messages for those channels. I don't think I had this problem before.

Bumbling Bayesian 2026-07-09 07:48:49 Kalshi

The documentation is just out of date.

The documentation is just out of date.

Bumbling Bayesian 2026-07-09 07:43:11 Kalshi

re. deprecating batch operations: An additional use case to consider beyond ordering of batch creates is clients who want to cancel all outstanding resting orders immediately. My system has assertions that, if triggered, will result in canceling all resting orders. I also have a big red button on my web dashboard for this. I expect that many API users have something similar in that we want to cancel all resting orders, so we partition the order IDs into batches and call the batch delete endpoint multiple times. In emergency situations like this, do you want us to have to call a delete endpoint for every order ID?

re. deprecating batch operations: An additional use case to consider beyond ordering of batch creates is clients who want to cancel all outstanding resting orders immediately. My system has assertions that, if triggered, will result in canceling all resting orders. I also have a big red button on my web dashboard for this. I expect that many API users have something similar in that we want to cancel all resting orders, so we partition the order IDs into batches and call the batch delete endpoint multiple times. In emergency situations like this, do you want us to have to call a delete endpoint for every order ID?

Bumbling Bayesian 2026-07-09 07:31:41 Kalshi

At 2026-07-08T20:12:29.974366Z, my system received an `orderbook_delta` without first receiving an `orderbook_snapshot`. This is very surprising. That assertion never triggered before.

At 2026-07-08T20:12:29.974366Z, my system received an `orderbook_delta` without first receiving an `orderbook_snapshot`. This is very surprising. That assertion never triggered before.

Bumbling Bayesian 2026-07-08 08:28:40 Kalshi

https://discord.com/channels/871819895443189862/927686720990892032/1508899706296860742

https://discord.com/channels/871819895443189862/927686720990892032/1508899706296860742

Bumbling Bayesian 2026-07-08 08:26:48 Kalshi

Yes. On May 13, for example, orderbooks were invalid. The message from Kalshi was that we should not expect orderbooks to be valid.

Yes. On May 13, for example, orderbooks were invalid. The message from Kalshi was that we should not expect orderbooks to be valid.

Bumbling Bayesian 2026-07-08 08:11:47 Kalshi Kalshi 流动性奖励过于集中且扩展建议

Yes, I think this is a reasonable expectation. Having to deal with order books being entirely invalid is a different story, but I realize that dealing with investor expectations means being less honest about things.

Yes, I think this is a reasonable expectation. Having to deal with order books being entirely invalid is a different story, but I realize that dealing with investor expectations means being less honest about things.

Bumbling Bayesian 2026-07-08 08:04:59 Kalshi

no

no

Bumbling Bayesian 2026-07-08 08:04:03 Kalshi

Correct. Kalshi does not pause trading even when they know that the order books are nonsense and invalid.

Correct. Kalshi does not pause trading even when they know that the order books are nonsense and invalid.

Bumbling Bayesian 2026-07-08 08:02:20 Kalshi

Hahahaha. No.

Hahahaha. No.

Bumbling Bayesian 2026-07-08 08:01:53 Kalshi

Not anymore, no.

Not anymore, no.

Bumbling Bayesian 2026-07-07 21:52:42 Kalshi 市场 price_ranges 数据结构边界定义不清晰

Treating all `start` and `end` as inclusive works if there are only three ranges. `start` and `end` cannot be inclusive for adjoining ranges.

Treating all `start` and `end` as inclusive works if there are only three ranges. `start` and `end` cannot be inclusive for adjoining ranges.

Bumbling Bayesian 2026-07-07 21:51:17 Kalshi 市场 price_ranges 数据结构边界定义不清晰

Agreed. I currently have an assertion in place that should crash if my assumption proves wrong.

Agreed. I currently have an assertion in place that should crash if my assumption proves wrong.

Bumbling Bayesian 2026-07-07 21:19:02 Kalshi

I am amused that I keep encountering retail shops with signs talking about a shortage of pennies. I thought the government decided to stop making pennies because nobody used them.

I am amused that I keep encountering retail shops with signs talking about a shortage of pennies. I thought the government decided to stop making pennies because nobody used them.

Bumbling Bayesian 2026-07-07 21:17:44 Kalshi 市场 price_ranges 数据结构边界定义不清晰

> The source of truth for a market’s valid prices remains the price_ranges array on the market object But `price_ranges` still seems underspecified to me without a bound type on the `start` and `end`.

> The source of truth for a market’s valid prices remains the price_ranges array on the market object But `price_ranges` still seems underspecified to me without a bound type on the `start` and `end`.

Bumbling Bayesian 2026-07-07 09:04:57 Kalshi

You should not expect the REST data to be consistent until the latest difference between the user data timestamp and the current time. LOL, indeed, as the kids say.

You should not expect the REST data to be consistent until the latest difference between the user data timestamp and the current time. LOL, indeed, as the kids say.

Seems pretty good to me lately: ```select * from performance_metric where name='KalshiUserDataTimestampAge' order by timestamp desc limit 20 name|value|timestamp KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.097226997|1774902623992427 KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.061221057|1774902608861482 KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.045842825|1774902593751724 KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.032496992|1774902577488431 KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.056566414|1774902560001591 KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.062418379|1774902468115376 KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.090488454|1774902452845908 KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.103652282|1774902347004317 KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.131838069|1774902331912142 KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.161286923|1774899765359736 KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.123257642|1774899750224505 KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.048711014|1774899735156124 KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.049383044|1774899719609340 KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.064319321|1774899703974550 KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.087006098|1774899688895211 KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.060041015|1774899623205659 KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.079946661|1774899608011498 KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.057685518|1774899592905565 KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.05471152|1774899577598883 KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.073111515|1774899562456576 ```

Seems pretty good to me lately: ```select * from performance_metric where name='KalshiUserDataTimestampAge' order by timestamp desc limit 20 name|value|timestamp KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.097226997|1774902623992427 KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.061221057|1774902608861482 KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.045842825|1774902593751724 KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.032496992|1774902577488431 KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.056566414|1774902560001591 KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.062418379|1774902468115376 KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.090488454|1774902452845908 KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.103652282|1774902347004317 KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.131838069|1774902331912142 KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.161286923|1774899765359736 KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.123257642|1774899750224505 KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.048711014|1774899735156124 KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.049383044|1774899719609340 KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.064319321|1774899703974550 KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.087006098|1774899688895211 KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.060041015|1774899623205659 KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.079946661|1774899608011498 KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.057685518|1774899592905565 KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.05471152|1774899577598883 KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.073111515|1774899562456576 ```

Kalshi has made clear that when order books are untrustworthy, API traders should stop trading if they depend on order books.

Kalshi has made clear that when order books are untrustworthy, API traders should stop trading if they depend on order books.

Bumbling Bayesian 2026-07-05 01:53:06 Kalshi 新创建市场未遵循 KX 前缀命名规则

Non-KX-prefixed markets created in 2026: CONTROLH CONTROLS ECMOV FEDHIKE GOVPARTYRI MOON POPVOTEMOV RSENATESEATS SENATEMT

Non-KX-prefixed markets created in 2026: CONTROLH CONTROLS ECMOV FEDHIKE GOVPARTYRI MOON POPVOTEMOV RSENATESEATS SENATEMT

Bumbling Bayesian 2026-07-05 01:47:55 Kalshi 新创建市场未遵循 KX 前缀命名规则

It appears they are creating new markets without a KX prefix if they should belong to a series without a KX prefix. For example, POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07-REP900T10000 was created at 2026-05-20T15:25:22.748357Z.

It appears they are creating new markets without a KX prefix if they should belong to a series without a KX prefix. For example, POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07-REP900T10000 was created at 2026-05-20T15:25:22.748357Z.

Bumbling Bayesian 2026-07-04 22:20:18 Kalshi WebSocket 双连接一致性异常及事件丢失

My production system only runs one WS connection, so I have not seen that. But I am tracking down a problem right now where I sometimes do not get `market_lifecycle_v2`, which is weird.

My production system only runs one WS connection, so I have not seen that. But I am tracking down a problem right now where I sometimes do not get `market_lifecycle_v2`, which is weird.

Bumbling Bayesian 2026-07-04 06:10:22 Kalshi

FYI: <@378727998121181184> reported that markets in this event had bogus `custom_strike` properties.

FYI: <@378727998121181184> reported that markets in this event had bogus `custom_strike` properties.

Bumbling Bayesian 2026-07-04 05:55:54 Kalshi

Looks robust! It can handle Unicode.

Looks robust! It can handle Unicode.

Bumbling Bayesian 2026-07-04 04:25:36 Kalshi

They have a bug bounty program.

They have a bug bounty program.

Bumbling Bayesian 2026-07-04 02:49:03 Kalshi

Cool. Put some JavaScript or SQL in there and see what happens.

Cool. Put some JavaScript or SQL in there and see what happens.

Bumbling Bayesian 2026-07-01 21:45:37 Kalshi

This is cool. Looks like we will be able to restrict keys to subaccounts. ```diff @@ -4112,6 +4205,12 @@ components: description: List of scopes granted to this API key. items: $ref: '#/components/schemas/ApiKeyScope' + subaccount: + type: integer + nullable: true + minimum: 0 + maximum: 63 + description: If set, the API key is restricted to this single sub-account and may only read and trade on it. Absent/null means the key is unrestricted. GetApiKeysResponse: type: object required: @@ -4139,6 +4238,11 @@ components: description: List of scopes to grant to the API key. If the broad `write` parent scope is included, `read` must also be included. Child scopes may be granted without the broad parent scope. Defaults to full access (`read`, `write`) if not provided. items: $ref: '#/components/schemas/ApiKeyScope' + subaccount: + type: integer + minimum: 0 + maximum: 63 + description: If set, restricts the API key to a single sub-account (0-63) that you own. A restricted key may only read and trade on that sub-account; it cannot act on other sub-accounts, transfer funds between sub-accounts, or create sub-accounts. Omit to leave the key unrestricted. CreateApiKeyResponse: type: object required: @@ -4160,6 +4264,11 @@ components: description: List of scopes to grant to the API key. If the broad `write` parent scope is included, `read` must also be included. Child scopes may be granted without the broad parent scope. Defaults to full access (`read`, `write`) if not provided. items: $ref: '#/components/schemas/ApiKeyScope' + subaccount: + type: integer + minimum: 0 + maximum: 63 + description: If set, restricts the API key to a single sub-account (0-63) that you own. A restricted key may only read and trade on that sub-account; it cannot act on other sub-accounts, transfer funds between sub-accounts, or create sub-accounts. Omit to leave the key unrestricted. GenerateApiKeyResponse: type: object required: ```

This is cool. Looks like we will be able to restrict keys to subaccounts. ```diff @@ -4112,6 +4205,12 @@ components: description: List of scopes granted to this API key. items: $ref: '#/components/schemas/ApiKeyScope' + subaccount: + type: integer + nullable: true + minimum: 0 + maximum: 63 + description: If set, the API key is restricted to this single sub-account and may only read and trade on it. Absent/null means the key is unrestricted. GetApiKeysResponse: type: object required: @@ -4139,6 +4238,11 @@ components: description: List of scopes to grant to the API key. If the broad `write` parent scope is included, `read` must also be included. Child scopes may be granted without the broad parent scope. Defaults to full access (`read`, `write`) if not provided. items: $ref: '#/components/schemas/ApiKeyScope' + subaccount: + type: integer + minimum: 0 + maximum: 63 + description: If set, restricts the API key to a single sub-account (0-63) that you own. A restricted key may only read and trade on that sub-account; it cannot act on other sub-accounts, transfer funds between sub-accounts, or create sub-accounts. Omit to leave the key unrestricted. CreateApiKeyResponse: type: object required: @@ -4160,6 +4264,11 @@ components: description: List of scopes to grant to the API key. If the broad `write` parent scope is included, `read` must also be included. Child scopes may be granted without the broad parent scope. Defaults to full access (`read`, `write`) if not provided. items: $ref: '#/components/schemas/ApiKeyScope' + subaccount: + type: integer + minimum: 0 + maximum: 63 + description: If set, restricts the API key to a single sub-account (0-63) that you own. A restricted key may only read and trade on that sub-account; it cannot act on other sub-accounts, transfer funds between sub-accounts, or create sub-accounts. Omit to leave the key unrestricted. GenerateApiKeyResponse: type: object required: ```

Bumbling Bayesian 2026-07-01 20:29:21 Kalshi

Just FYI: That contradicts documented and observed behavior.

Just FYI: That contradicts documented and observed behavior.

Bumbling Bayesian 2026-07-01 18:12:36 Kalshi

I have reported several incorrect strike values to Kalshi. Sometimes they fix them.

I have reported several incorrect strike values to Kalshi. Sometimes they fix them.

Bumbling Bayesian 2026-07-01 06:07:40 Kalshi API批量取消订单的实际限制与文档冲突

<@1294044400065839177> Can you clarify what is meant by the "The maximum batch size scales with your tier’s write budget" for batch cancel orders? I find that if I set my maximum number of orders per batch to `write.refillRate / tokenCost` (where `tokenCost` is 2 for delete), I get a `too_many_orders_in_batch` error. If I set it to `write.refillRate / 10` (substituting the default token cost), I do not get that error. Does Batch Cancel not use the token cost for calculating the maximum number of orders per batch?

<@1294044400065839177> Can you clarify what is meant by the "The maximum batch size scales with your tier’s write budget" for batch cancel orders? I find that if I set my maximum number of orders per batch to `write.refillRate / tokenCost` (where `tokenCost` is 2 for delete), I get a `too_many_orders_in_batch` error. If I set it to `write.refillRate / 10` (substituting the default token cost), I do not get that error. Does Batch Cancel not use the token cost for calculating the maximum number of orders per batch?

Bumbling Bayesian 2026-07-01 05:16:38 Kalshi

Are you sure you are on production versus demo?

Are you sure you are on production versus demo?

Bumbling Bayesian 2026-07-01 03:07:30 Kalshi

My logs show good latency around that time.

My logs show good latency around that time.

Bumbling Bayesian 2026-07-01 02:47:23 Kalshi API延迟异常与Docker下疑似被限流

This made me realize it is using the deprecated hostname. Fixing that now...

This made me realize it is using the deprecated hostname. Fixing that now...

Bumbling Bayesian 2026-07-01 02:46:55 Kalshi API延迟异常与Docker下疑似被限流

It has been a bit since I looked at this. If I remember right, `/exchange/status` returns a 200 during the maintenance window that says the exchange is not available, so would not show as an outage.

It has been a bit since I looked at this. If I remember right, `/exchange/status` returns a 200 during the maintenance window that says the exchange is not available, so would not show as an outage.

Bumbling Bayesian 2026-07-01 02:41:18 Kalshi API延迟异常与Docker下疑似被限流

user_data_timestamp has been bouncing around a bit today, but nothing crazy: ``` name|value|timestamp KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.097226997|1774902623992427 KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.061221057|1774902608861482 KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.045842825|1774902593751724 KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.032496992|1774902577488431 KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.056566414|1774902560001591 KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.062418379|1774902468115376 KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.090488454|1774902452845908 KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.103652282|1774902347004317 KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.131838069|1774902331912142 KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.161286923|1774899765359736 KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.123257642|1774899750224505 KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.048711014|1774899735156124 KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.049383044|1774899719609340 KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.064319321|1774899703974550 KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.087006098|1774899688895211 KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.060041015|1774899623205659 KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.079946661|1774899608011498 KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.057685518|1774899592905565 KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.05471152|1774899577598883 ```

user_data_timestamp has been bouncing around a bit today, but nothing crazy: ``` name|value|timestamp KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.097226997|1774902623992427 KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.061221057|1774902608861482 KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.045842825|1774902593751724 KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.032496992|1774902577488431 KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.056566414|1774902560001591 KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.062418379|1774902468115376 KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.090488454|1774902452845908 KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.103652282|1774902347004317 KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.131838069|1774902331912142 KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.161286923|1774899765359736 KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.123257642|1774899750224505 KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.048711014|1774899735156124 KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.049383044|1774899719609340 KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.064319321|1774899703974550 KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.087006098|1774899688895211 KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.060041015|1774899623205659 KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.079946661|1774899608011498 KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.057685518|1774899592905565 KalshiUserDataTimestampAge|0.05471152|1774899577598883 ```

Bumbling Bayesian 2026-07-01 02:33:47 Kalshi API延迟异常与Docker下疑似被限流

This only checks the simplest things. The API has been very reliable compared to the past. https://stats.uptimerobot.com/53rOQGUdnx

This only checks the simplest things. The API has been very reliable compared to the past. https://stats.uptimerobot.com/53rOQGUdnx

Bumbling Bayesian 2026-06-30 22:45:23 Kalshi API批量取消订单的实际限制与文档冲突

If the intent is "remove the seconds from 'write budget'", that might make sense, but doesn't seem to correspond to what some users report.

If the intent is "remove the seconds from 'write budget'", that might make sense, but doesn't seem to correspond to what some users report.

Bumbling Bayesian 2026-06-30 22:28:42 Kalshi API批量取消订单的实际限制与文档冲突

https://docs.kalshi.com/getting_started/rate_limits currently has: ``` Tier |Read budget|Write budget ---------|-----------|------------ |Basic |200 |100 |Advanced|300 |300 |Expert |600 |600 ``` Batch create/cancel would be write operations. Batch create would be 10 tokens per order, right? Batch cancel would be 2 tokens per order? I don't see how one gets to 20 orders being the max.

https://docs.kalshi.com/getting_started/rate_limits currently has: ``` Tier |Read budget|Write budget ---------|-----------|------------ |Basic |200 |100 |Advanced|300 |300 |Expert |600 |600 ``` Batch create/cancel would be write operations. Batch create would be 10 tokens per order, right? Batch cancel would be 2 tokens per order? I don't see how one gets to 20 orders being the max.

Bumbling Bayesian 2026-06-30 22:19:10 Kalshi API批量取消订单的实际限制与文档冲突

A batch always takes one second? Still not clear to me. What token per second limit would result in 21 orders returning `too_many_orders_in_batch`?

A batch always takes one second? Still not clear to me. What token per second limit would result in 21 orders returning `too_many_orders_in_batch`?

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