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50stacksteve参与话题 8消息总数 177

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50stacksteve 2026-06-14 15:23:27 Polymarket

> or announces a new peace agreement, ceasefire framework, or diplomatic agreement under which the ceasefire will continue by the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". <:Bidensmile:1040247925420339251>

> or announces a new peace agreement, ceasefire framework, or diplomatic agreement under which the ceasefire will continue by the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". <:Bidensmile:1040247925420339251>

50stacksteve 2026-06-14 15:16:06 Polymarket

What was the bet on, Pajama? sincerely... what is the relevance of any of the information in those links to what this bet was supposed to be on? These types of reactions from Tehran & co. are precisely why they are not a part of the resolution source. The market is "Will the US announce a new agreement of an end of hostilities," 0 About the Iranians opinion on that has anything to do with whether it resolves, no? *But even so,* we also have Pakistani minister Corroborating that the Iranians have agreed to the framework of the peace deal. So sincerely, at that point what does it matter about the signing, and that the Iranians think it "won't be this weekend but sometime soon"? Like what does that have to do with what we were betting on?

What was the bet on, Pajama? sincerely... what is the relevance of any of the information in those links to what this bet was supposed to be on? These types of reactions from Tehran & co. are precisely why they are not a part of the resolution source. The market is "Will the US announce a new agreement of an end of hostilities," 0 About the Iranians opinion on that has anything to do with whether it resolves, no? *But even so,* we also have Pakistani minister Corroborating that the Iranians have agreed to the framework of the peace deal. So sincerely, at that point what does it matter about the signing, and that the Iranians think it "won't be this weekend but sometime soon"? Like what does that have to do with what we were betting on?

50stacksteve 2026-06-14 14:52:29 Polymarket

Fair enough, and you think this is bad for the yes case? His meaning is quite clear, no? truth or not, his meaning is clear imo. and it is significantly different than in the case of the blockade.

Fair enough, and you think this is bad for the yes case? His meaning is quite clear, no? truth or not, his meaning is clear imo. and it is significantly different than in the case of the blockade.

50stacksteve 2026-06-14 14:47:36 Polymarket

How did they announce a date and location of a deal signing for a deal that they have not agreed to? how have they announced the date and location of a deal signing and ***not ***announced they have an agreement?

How did they announce a date and location of a deal signing for a deal that they have not agreed to? how have they announced the date and location of a deal signing and ***not ***announced they have an agreement?

50stacksteve 2026-06-14 07:58:21 Polymarket

makes sense

makes sense

50stacksteve 2026-06-14 07:58:08 Polymarket

wait, on the market titled "US announces new Iran agreement /ceasefire extension by...?" *nothing the president announces* can make it go P2 unless there is a signature?

wait, on the market titled "US announces new Iran agreement /ceasefire extension by...?" *nothing the president announces* can make it go P2 unless there is a signature?

50stacksteve 2026-06-14 03:10:43 Polymarket

At first I didn't see your comment on top of the image, and so I just saw the image and I was like damn, Peter Parker is really repping for these guys <:Bidensmile:1040247925420339251>

At first I didn't see your comment on top of the image, and so I just saw the image and I was like damn, Peter Parker is really repping for these guys <:Bidensmile:1040247925420339251>

50stacksteve 2026-06-14 03:09:46 Polymarket

OK good good I thought it was, just had to make sure lol

OK good good I thought it was, just had to make sure lol

50stacksteve 2026-06-14 03:07:55 Polymarket

Friend if you don't mind, you were joking or no? and what is the significance of the last part? Can tomorrow really be any date other than the subsequent day to when the statement is made?

Friend if you don't mind, you were joking or no? and what is the significance of the last part? Can tomorrow really be any date other than the subsequent day to when the statement is made?

50stacksteve 2026-06-14 02:51:53 Polymarket

probs true, and Peter Parker's pretty on it

probs true, and Peter Parker's pretty on it

50stacksteve 2026-06-14 02:43:16 Polymarket

agreed, it was very fitting <:polypepesunglass:973209474003251211>

agreed, it was very fitting <:polypepesunglass:973209474003251211>

50stacksteve 2026-06-11 03:07:17 Polymarket

The reader doesn't know, it's ambiguous

The reader doesn't know, it's ambiguous

50stacksteve 2026-06-11 03:05:29 Polymarket

fwiw, pretty sure anybody who says "I have ran" in any combination of words is the last person you should be asking about English advice <:Bidenwtf:1040247645542830131>

fwiw, pretty sure anybody who says "I have ran" in any combination of words is the last person you should be asking about English advice <:Bidenwtf:1040247645542830131>

50stacksteve 2026-06-01 21:03:40 Polymarket

Gmgm— Can we please have June 15th for this market? 🙏 https://polymarket.com/event/us-announces-new-iran-agreementceasefire-extension-by And could we please start this market over with the June and July dates that are already there? US Centcom and Iran both still claim a ceasefre. https://polymarket.com/event/iran-ceasefire-continues-through/will-the-iran-ceasefire-continue-through-may-24-733

Gmgm— Can we please have June 15th for this market? 🙏 https://polymarket.com/event/us-announces-new-iran-agreementceasefire-extension-by And could we please start this market over with the June and July dates that are already there? US Centcom and Iran both still claim a ceasefre. https://polymarket.com/event/iran-ceasefire-continues-through/will-the-iran-ceasefire-continue-through-may-24-733

50stacksteve 2026-06-01 21:03:32 Polymarket

my mistake, no problem

my mistake, no problem

50stacksteve 2026-06-01 19:32:03 Polymarket

Gmgm— Can we please have June 15th for this market? 🙏 https://polymarket.com/event/us-announces-new-iran-agreementceasefire-extension-by And could we please start this market over with the June and July dates that are already there? US Centcom and Iran both still claim a ceasefre. https://polymarket.com/event/iran-ceasefire-continues-through/will-the-iran-ceasefire-continue-through-may-24-733

Gmgm— Can we please have June 15th for this market? 🙏 https://polymarket.com/event/us-announces-new-iran-agreementceasefire-extension-by And could we please start this market over with the June and July dates that are already there? US Centcom and Iran both still claim a ceasefre. https://polymarket.com/event/iran-ceasefire-continues-through/will-the-iran-ceasefire-continue-through-may-24-733

50stacksteve 2026-06-01 19:22:09 Polymarket

B

B

50stacksteve 2026-06-01 18:49:51 Polymarket

LOL it's not a fallacy It's called Mission Creep and it's a natural phenomenon that occurs at every level. Maybe you prefer, "if you give a mouse a cookie, he wants a cup of milk." There's a reason there's about 100 ways people have described it for centuries

LOL it's not a fallacy It's called Mission Creep and it's a natural phenomenon that occurs at every level. Maybe you prefer, "if you give a mouse a cookie, he wants a cup of milk." There's a reason there's about 100 ways people have described it for centuries

50stacksteve 2026-06-01 16:30:37 Polymarket

Any idea how he did it? I looked a little bit but I never found anything with those kind of numbers. -220 to +60 or so. What a swing <:wow:1480174271589384212>

Any idea how he did it? I looked a little bit but I never found anything with those kind of numbers. -220 to +60 or so. What a swing <:wow:1480174271589384212>

50stacksteve 2026-05-31 23:50:17 Polymarket

I literally tried to comment "scam" under those comments just today, and my comment didn't go through, but the scam comment remains.

I literally tried to comment "scam" under those comments just today, and my comment didn't go through, but the scam comment remains.

50stacksteve 2026-05-31 23:49:06 Polymarket

I was wondering why that book collapsed. They shook me out pretty hard.

I was wondering why that book collapsed. They shook me out pretty hard.

50stacksteve 2026-05-31 23:44:39 Polymarket

I hate to say it man but I'm just being real, I can think of one reason. in fact, it's actually the only reason I can think of 💀

I hate to say it man but I'm just being real, I can think of one reason. in fact, it's actually the only reason I can think of 💀

50stacksteve 2026-05-31 17:00:44 Polymarket

Great point. it is a really bad look to continue to use as a resolution source one PM has acknowledged has "data integrity issues". tbf, if someone *were* hypothetically exploiting all these data integrity issues Portwatch has had and continues to have, they got to do so for at least a year longer than they ever should have. good on them. but hypothetically, like in real life, exploits can never last forever. Either administration stops the exploit, or the volume stops because of the exploit. The former is better for everyone <:poly:843948920093540405>

Great point. it is a really bad look to continue to use as a resolution source one PM has acknowledged has "data integrity issues". tbf, if someone *were* hypothetically exploiting all these data integrity issues Portwatch has had and continues to have, they got to do so for at least a year longer than they ever should have. good on them. but hypothetically, like in real life, exploits can never last forever. Either administration stops the exploit, or the volume stops because of the exploit. The former is better for everyone <:poly:843948920093540405>

50stacksteve 2026-05-31 16:30:31 Polymarket

Came here to ask this

Came here to ask this

50stacksteve 2026-05-31 16:30:05 Polymarket

This one has been requested a few times <:pepeyes:1000341520420966430>

This one has been requested a few times <:pepeyes:1000341520420966430>

50stacksteve 2026-05-31 08:43:26 Polymarket

assuming we're talking about comments, i'm seeing some from 9 minutes ago but haven't been able to comment for days. Is there a certain browser we should use or Anything else we can do?

assuming we're talking about comments, i'm seeing some from 9 minutes ago but haven't been able to comment for days. Is there a certain browser we should use or Anything else we can do?

50stacksteve 2026-05-31 08:42:31 Polymarket

just thought of this today this would be huge. The WSOP is going right now too

just thought of this today this would be huge. The WSOP is going right now too

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