秋田预测市场 · Discord 审计

Calvin参与话题 1消息总数 11

该用户的聊天记录定位。

Reset

聊天记录

共 11 条,显示第 1-11 条
Calvin 2026-06-18 07:52:21 Polymarket

The operative signing was *always* digital. The creation of physical signature markets doesn't mandate that it is the operative signing.

The operative signing was *always* digital. The creation of physical signature markets doesn't mandate that it is the operative signing.

Calvin 2026-06-18 07:26:37 Polymarket

What do you think if they make a statement to the effect that they agree that the hostilities with Iran are finished but reserve the right to respond to attacks in Lebanon?

What do you think if they make a statement to the effect that they agree that the hostilities with Iran are finished but reserve the right to respond to attacks in Lebanon?

Calvin 2026-06-18 07:23:29 Polymarket

what do you think needs to happen for them to "agree?" A signature? is public statement enough?

what do you think needs to happen for them to "agree?" A signature? is public statement enough?

Calvin 2026-06-18 07:13:24 Polymarket

a fan copy a week later would count as YES if the rules didn't **explicitly set a signing ceremony** as an end condition. You're overthinking an alternative end condition for NO as a reason to invalidate the primary YES condition.

a fan copy a week later would count as YES if the rules didn't **explicitly set a signing ceremony** as an end condition. You're overthinking an alternative end condition for NO as a reason to invalidate the primary YES condition.

Calvin 2026-06-18 07:08:11 Polymarket

the point of that is that if there is an official signing ceremony, that closes the market - it doesn't give him time to "autograph" a fan copy a week later

the point of that is that if there is an official signing ceremony, that closes the market - it doesn't give him time to "autograph" a fan copy a week later

Calvin 2026-06-18 07:00:26 Polymarket

Appreciate you! Question on the Israel x Iran market, which already has pretty good volume: The rules say inclusion of Israel and Iran in a qualifying peace deal between multiple parties is sufficient. The MOU appears to bind “the U.S., Iran, and their allies in the current war” to an immediate and permanent termination of military operations. Is that enough to count Israel as included for resolution purposes, or would Israel need to accept the agreement in a more explicit way?

Appreciate you! Question on the Israel x Iran market, which already has pretty good volume: The rules say inclusion of Israel and Iran in a qualifying peace deal between multiple parties is sufficient. The MOU appears to bind “the U.S., Iran, and their allies in the current war” to an immediate and permanent termination of military operations. Is that enough to count Israel as included for resolution purposes, or would Israel need to accept the agreement in a more explicit way?

Calvin 2026-06-16 16:56:10 Polymarket

Here's one for proposal: https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-attend-the-g7-summit/will-marco-rubio-attend-the-g7-summit You can see Rubio in the background shaking hands with Zelensky here: https://x.com/clashreport/status/2066792386949259544

Here's one for proposal: https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-attend-the-g7-summit/will-marco-rubio-attend-the-g7-summit You can see Rubio in the background shaking hands with Zelensky here: https://x.com/clashreport/status/2066792386949259544

Calvin 2026-06-09 19:33:40 Polymarket

Hi Polymarket team. https://polymarket.com/event/another-trump-political-opponent-federally-charged-by-may-31 This market has been sitting for over a week after the end date. Could you please review and clarify or arrange a proposal. The (slight) ambiguity is because Carmen Mercedes Lineberger was charged for emailing herself copies of Trump-related documents. However, she was not part of a team that investigated Trump. As one of the qualifying groups, the rules state: Any individual who previously served as an investigator, special counsel, prosecutor, district attorney, attorney general, or equivalent official investigative or prosecutorial role in any criminal investigation or prosecution of Donald Trump. She did not have any of those roles. Here is confirmation that she was not on the team that investigated Trump: https://www.miamiherald.com/news/local/article315935384.html/ The relatively small size of this market and that slight ambiguity and complicated ruleset has resulted in this market sitting without resolution. Can you please help resolve or clarify a path to resolution? Thank you.

Hi Polymarket team. https://polymarket.com/event/another-trump-political-opponent-federally-charged-by-may-31 This market has been sitting for over a week after the end date. Could you please review and clarify or arrange a proposal. The (slight) ambiguity is because Carmen Mercedes Lineberger was charged for emailing herself copies of Trump-related documents. However, she was not part of a team that investigated Trump. As one of the qualifying groups, the rules state: Any individual who previously served as an investigator, special counsel, prosecutor, district attorney, attorney general, or equivalent official investigative or prosecutorial role in any criminal investigation or prosecution of Donald Trump. She did not have any of those roles. Here is confirmation that she was not on the team that investigated Trump: https://www.miamiherald.com/news/local/article315935384.html/ The relatively small size of this market and that slight ambiguity and complicated ruleset has resulted in this market sitting without resolution. Can you please help resolve or clarify a path to resolution? Thank you.

Calvin 2026-06-09 18:54:25 Polymarket

Here is confirmation that she **was not** on the team that investigated Trump: https://www.miamiherald.com/news/local/article315935384.html/

Here is confirmation that she **was not** on the team that investigated Trump: https://www.miamiherald.com/news/local/article315935384.html/

Calvin 2026-06-09 18:50:29 Polymarket

Hi Polymarket team. https://polymarket.com/event/another-trump-political-opponent-federally-charged-by-may-31 This market has been sitting for over a week after the end date. Could you please review and clarify or arrange a proposal. The (slight) ambiguity is because Carmen Mercedes Lineberger was charged for emailing herself copies of Trump-related documents. However, she **was not** part of a team that investigated Trump. As one of the qualifying groups, the rules state: - Any individual who previously served as an investigator, special counsel, prosecutor, district attorney, attorney general, or equivalent official investigative or prosecutorial role in any criminal investigation or prosecution of Donald Trump. She did not have any of those roles. The relatively small size of this market and that slight ambiguity and complicated ruleset has resulted in this market sitting without resolution. Can you please help resolve or clarify a path to resolution? Thank you.

Hi Polymarket team. https://polymarket.com/event/another-trump-political-opponent-federally-charged-by-may-31 This market has been sitting for over a week after the end date. Could you please review and clarify or arrange a proposal. The (slight) ambiguity is because Carmen Mercedes Lineberger was charged for emailing herself copies of Trump-related documents. However, she **was not** part of a team that investigated Trump. As one of the qualifying groups, the rules state: - Any individual who previously served as an investigator, special counsel, prosecutor, district attorney, attorney general, or equivalent official investigative or prosecutorial role in any criminal investigation or prosecution of Donald Trump. She did not have any of those roles. The relatively small size of this market and that slight ambiguity and complicated ruleset has resulted in this market sitting without resolution. Can you please help resolve or clarify a path to resolution? Thank you.

the issue with that clarification is that it completely changes the market. I didn't buy YES days ago because I suspected they might release a "Mythos-class" model that wasn't explicitly named "Mythos," and that case was originally excluded by the rules.

the issue with that clarification is that it completely changes the market. I didn't buy YES days ago because I suspected they might release a "Mythos-class" model that wasn't explicitly named "Mythos," and that case was originally excluded by the rules.