Polymarketah
ah
Thonker参与话题 25消息总数 1378
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共 1378 条，显示第 51-100 条> Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question.
> Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question.
The deal happened on the 14th so I think it's resolvable
The deal happened on the 14th so I think it's resolvable
### **Will Fetterman leave the Democratic Party by Sept. 30?** This market will resolve to Yes in the event that, by September 30 11:59 PM, Senator John Fetterman definitively and unconditionally withdraws from the Democratic Party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No. Participation or membership in the Senate Democratic Caucus shall not be sufficient by itself to cause this market to resolve to No.
### **Will Fetterman leave the Democratic Party by Sept. 30?** This market will resolve to Yes in the event that, by September 30 11:59 PM, Senator John Fetterman definitively and unconditionally withdraws from the Democratic Party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No. Participation or membership in the Senate Democratic Caucus shall not be sufficient by itself to cause this market to resolve to No.
Cheaper to send it to a vote/clarification that way
Cheaper to send it to a vote/clarification that way
It's kinda hard to interpret "only" in any other way tbh unless you think it's just an error in construction
It's kinda hard to interpret "only" in any other way tbh unless you think it's just an error in construction
The US kicking and screaming/changing their mind about it but like... they pretty clearly agreed to it in the MoU
The US kicking and screaming/changing their mind about it but like... they pretty clearly agreed to it in the MoU
Also that's not argumentation
Also that's not argumentation
I have a 20k limit order up at 2c
I have a 20k limit order up at 2c
Yeah I thought it was stupid at first too until I actually looked at it lol
Yeah I thought it was stupid at first too until I actually looked at it lol
our counterparties
our counterparties
The argument is quite potent, there's a solid chance it goes Y if it goes to a clarification
The argument is quite potent, there's a solid chance it goes Y if it goes to a clarification
Read denizz's post, I dismissed it as a scam at first too but after actually reading that part of the MoU and the reporting on it it's quite strong.
Read denizz's post, I dismissed it as a scam at first too but after actually reading that part of the MoU and the reporting on it it's quite strong.
I had the same thought, I think he's probably referring to this clause which was also material for how that one resolved: > Any definitive agreement or commitment made before the resolution date will qualify, regardless of when or whether the specified action is implemented.
I had the same thought, I think he's probably referring to this clause which was also material for how that one resolved: > Any definitive agreement or commitment made before the resolution date will qualify, regardless of when or whether the specified action is implemented.
I think it's irrelevant anyway as we are currently in the 60-day period
I think it's irrelevant anyway as we are currently in the 60-day period
This too, lol
This too, lol
archive.org has it from May
archive.org has it from May
This is from before the MoU was signed
This is from before the MoU was signed
https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/iran-says-free-passage-through-hormuz-only-for-60-days-under-us-deal/3982710 > Iran’s Parliament Speaker and top negotiator Mohammad Bagher Qalibaf said on Tuesday free passage through the Strait of Hormuz “is for only 60 days” under a recent memorandum of understanding with the US.
https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/iran-says-free-passage-through-hormuz-only-for-60-days-under-us-deal/3982710 > Iran’s Parliament Speaker and top negotiator Mohammad Bagher Qalibaf said on Tuesday free passage through the Strait of Hormuz “is for only 60 days” under a recent memorandum of understanding with the US.
I said it was a retarded scam too until I read the MoU closely and looked at the reporting 😆
I said it was a retarded scam too until I read the MoU closely and looked at the reporting 😆
That dispute was just a P4 thing
That dispute was just a P4 thing
They agreed to transit fees in the MoU
They agreed to transit fees in the MoU
https://www.facebook.com/reel/3171410476403267/ > after [the indicated 60 days] Iran could impose fees, a power that it never had before this war began
https://www.facebook.com/reel/3171410476403267/ > after [the indicated 60 days] Iran could impose fees, a power that it never had before this war began
https://x.com/TheStudyofWar/status/2067786454315536563 "The MoU allows for a resumption of fee collection after 60 days"
https://x.com/TheStudyofWar/status/2067786454315536563 "The MoU allows for a resumption of fee collection after 60 days"
Did it say 60 days **only**?
Did it say 60 days **only**?
If I say I'll have this job for 60 days **only** it means I won't have it after 60 days
If I say I'll have this job for 60 days **only** it means I won't have it after 60 days
It is when you say only
It is when you say only
60 days **only** The P2 interpretation has also been confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting
60 days **only** The P2 interpretation has also been confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting
It 100% should count
It 100% should count
I wonder if Excitable-Suit will dispute
I wonder if Excitable-Suit will dispute
I am a super genius
I am a super genius
https://www.facebook.com/reel/3171410476403267/ > after [the indicated 60 days] Iran could impose fees, a power that it never had before this war began
https://www.facebook.com/reel/3171410476403267/ > after [the indicated 60 days] Iran could impose fees, a power that it never had before this war began
Apparently this meant a UMA update Maybe it was referencing the new thing where the AI checks it and extends the challenge period
Apparently this meant a UMA update Maybe it was referencing the new thing where the AI checks it and extends the challenge period
It's something you'd hear a southerner say
It's something you'd hear a southerner say
> "No way, no how" is a folksy English idiom used to strongly refuse something or emphasize that it is completely impossible.
> "No way, no how" is a folksy English idiom used to strongly refuse something or emphasize that it is completely impossible.
It's an idiom
It's an idiom
Fake concept
Fake concept
Decentralization is such a meme lmao
Decentralization is such a meme lmao
I love it
I love it
Probably not
Probably not
Just refilled my schizo meds and dropped out of Decrap's school. No more mistrades
Just refilled my schizo meds and dropped out of Decrap's school. No more mistrades
I'm sure the rapid increase has nothing at all to do with the market. 😆
I'm sure the rapid increase has nothing at all to do with the market. 😆
Not sure why it would keep flipping back though
Not sure why it would keep flipping back though
You clicked on someone's foreign language link in here
You clicked on someone's foreign language link in here
Right, should've added the broken mouse
Right, should've added the broken mouse
The same people who told me the MIGA poster looked like Hebrew want to let this pass, it's totally insane
The same people who told me the MIGA poster looked like Hebrew want to let this pass, it's totally insane
Legitimately looks like heiroglyphs for anyone unacquainted.
Legitimately looks like heiroglyphs for anyone unacquainted.
If I make a company called "dispute today" and render its logo in a weird font and flip it upside down it shouldn't count for the "day" market. That's the sort of thing this'll eventually lead to.
If I make a company called "dispute today" and render its logo in a weird font and flip it upside down it shouldn't count for the "day" market. That's the sort of thing this'll eventually lead to.
The UFC logo.
The UFC logo.
Very small is totally irrelevant. You can flip an image completely upside down but I can't even zoom in?
Very small is totally irrelevant. You can flip an image completely upside down but I can't even zoom in?