Polymarket<@1503846101860487170>
<@1503846101860487170>
Chris Brolin参与话题 0消息总数 10
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共 10 条，显示第 1-10 条Is it too similar to the existing one? And even if it’s not, is it not the kind of market you guys like? Just trying to learn so I can submit better markets in the future
Is it too similar to the existing one? And even if it’s not, is it not the kind of market you guys like? Just trying to learn so I can submit better markets in the future
Oh yeah thanks! I saw that market but waymo’s London timelines are months from now. I thought it would also be good not just to have a date that is more informative, but also multiple dates. There’s quite a lot riding on the self driving roll-out in London so I think it would be a useful market
Oh yeah thanks! I saw that market but waymo’s London timelines are months from now. I thought it would also be good not just to have a date that is more informative, but also multiple dates. There’s quite a lot riding on the self driving roll-out in London so I think it would be a useful market
Anyone?
Anyone?
Also, the scammers are going crazy. Every time I send a message I get 3 million friend requests. Are people really that stupid to make it worth their time?
Also, the scammers are going crazy. Every time I send a message I get 3 million friend requests. Are people really that stupid to make it worth their time?
Hi gents, I submitted 2 markets in submit-a-polymarket a few days ago. It was about when waymo and wayve will start operating in London. What’s the process for the market being approved? Is my market not worthy or is there luck involved?
Hi gents, I submitted 2 markets in submit-a-polymarket a few days ago. It was about when waymo and wayve will start operating in London. What’s the process for the market being approved? Is my market not worthy or is there luck involved?
-Market Title Wayve full driverless public rollout in London by…? -Outcomes Aug 31 2026 · Sep 30 2026 · Oct 31 2026 · Nov 30 2026 · Dec 31 2026 · Mar 31 2027. Each resolves Yes/No. -Market Description Tracks when a robotaxi service using Wayve’s autonomous driving system becomes fully driverless and open to the general public in London. -Proposed Resolution Criteria A date resolves Yes if, on or before it (11:59 PM London time), a robotaxi service using Wayve’s autonomous driving system is running anywhere in Greater London such that: 1. no human occupies the driver’s seat, and 2. any member of the public can request a ride without a waitlist, interest list, or invitation. Otherwise No. -Resolution source Official Wayve or Uber announcement, confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting.
-Market Title Wayve full driverless public rollout in London by…? -Outcomes Aug 31 2026 · Sep 30 2026 · Oct 31 2026 · Nov 30 2026 · Dec 31 2026 · Mar 31 2027. Each resolves Yes/No. -Market Description Tracks when a robotaxi service using Wayve’s autonomous driving system becomes fully driverless and open to the general public in London. -Proposed Resolution Criteria A date resolves Yes if, on or before it (11:59 PM London time), a robotaxi service using Wayve’s autonomous driving system is running anywhere in Greater London such that: 1. no human occupies the driver’s seat, and 2. any member of the public can request a ride without a waitlist, interest list, or invitation. Otherwise No. -Resolution source Official Wayve or Uber announcement, confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting.
-Market Title Waymo full driverless public rollout in London by…? -Outcomes Aug 31 2026 · Sep 30 2026 · Oct 31 2026 · Nov 30 2026 · Dec 31 2026 · Mar 31 2027. Each resolves Yes/No. -Market Description Tracks when a robotaxi service operated by Waymo becomes fully driverless and open to the general public in London. -Proposed Resolution Criteria A date resolves Yes if, on or before it (11:59 PM London time), a robotaxi service operated by Waymo is running anywhere in Greater London such that: 1. no human occupies the driver’s seat, and 2. any member of the public can request a ride without a waitlist, interest list, or invitation. Otherwise No. -Resolution source Official Waymo announcement, confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting.
-Market Title Waymo full driverless public rollout in London by…? -Outcomes Aug 31 2026 · Sep 30 2026 · Oct 31 2026 · Nov 30 2026 · Dec 31 2026 · Mar 31 2027. Each resolves Yes/No. -Market Description Tracks when a robotaxi service operated by Waymo becomes fully driverless and open to the general public in London. -Proposed Resolution Criteria A date resolves Yes if, on or before it (11:59 PM London time), a robotaxi service operated by Waymo is running anywhere in Greater London such that: 1. no human occupies the driver’s seat, and 2. any member of the public can request a ride without a waitlist, interest list, or invitation. Otherwise No. -Resolution source Official Waymo announcement, confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Sonnet 5 released by…? Outcomes June 22 · June 23 · June 24 · June 25 · June 26 · June 30 (2026). Each resolves Yes/No. Market Description Anthropic’s current Sonnet model is Claude Sonnet 4.6. This market tracks the public release of a Sonnet-tier model versioned 5. Proposed Resolution Criteria Each dated outcome resolves Yes if Anthropic has made a model named Sonnet 5 generally available to the public on or before that date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise it resolves No. 1. Name. The model’s official Anthropic name must contain “Sonnet 5”, including any point release (Sonnet 5.0, 5.1, 5.2, etc.) and with or without the “Claude” prefix. Any 4.x name (e.g. Sonnet 4.7) does not count. A version-5 model in another tier (Opus 5, Haiku 5) does not count. 2. Availability. Open to the general public, including open beta or open-waitlist signup. Closed beta, private preview, or partner-only access does not count. Resolution source Official Anthropic sources (anthropic.com newsroom, model documentation, or pricing/model pages), with secondary verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Sonnet 5 released by…? Outcomes June 22 · June 23 · June 24 · June 25 · June 26 · June 30 (2026). Each resolves Yes/No. Market Description Anthropic’s current Sonnet model is Claude Sonnet 4.6. This market tracks the public release of a Sonnet-tier model versioned 5. Proposed Resolution Criteria Each dated outcome resolves Yes if Anthropic has made a model named Sonnet 5 generally available to the public on or before that date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise it resolves No. 1. Name. The model’s official Anthropic name must contain “Sonnet 5”, including any point release (Sonnet 5.0, 5.1, 5.2, etc.) and with or without the “Claude” prefix. Any 4.x name (e.g. Sonnet 4.7) does not count. A version-5 model in another tier (Opus 5, Haiku 5) does not count. 2. Availability. Open to the general public, including open beta or open-waitlist signup. Closed beta, private preview, or partner-only access does not count. Resolution source Official Anthropic sources (anthropic.com newsroom, model documentation, or pricing/model pages), with secondary verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
-Market Title Will Claude Fable 5 be generally available again by June 30? -Outcomes Yes / No -Market Description This market asks whether Anthropic will make Claude Fable 5 or a direct successor generally available again for public use in at least one country by the deadline. -Proposed Resolution Criteria This market resolves Yes if, by June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, Anthropic makes Claude Fable 5, the same model under a new name, or a direct successor in the Claude Fable 5 line available for public use in at least one country through an official Anthropic channel, including Claude.ai, the Claude API, Claude Code, or another first-party Anthropic product. Access limited to a private, invitation-only, enterprise-only, government-only, partner-only, researcher-only, waitlist-only, employee-only, or otherwise special-access group does not count as generally available and resolves No. KYC, identity checks, location checks, or nationality checks do not count as special-access. If any user who passes those checks can access the model through a standard Anthropic signup, login, subscription, API, or verification process, then the model counts as generally available for this market. This market resolves No if, by the deadline, Claude Fable 5 or a direct Claude Fable 5 successor is unavailable, available only outside official Anthropic channels, or available only through limited/special access. “Claude Fable 5” includes a model named “Claude Fable 5” or “Fable 5,” the same model under a new name, or a direct successor in the Claude Fable 5 line, such as Claude Fable 5.X. A different model family, unrelated replacement, or non-Fable model does not count. -Resolution source Primary sources are Anthropic’s official website, Claude.ai, Anthropic docs, API docs, changelog, status page, or public statements. Credible reporting may be used only if official sources are unavailable, ambiguous, or contradictory.
-Market Title Will Claude Fable 5 be generally available again by June 30? -Outcomes Yes / No -Market Description This market asks whether Anthropic will make Claude Fable 5 or a direct successor generally available again for public use in at least one country by the deadline. -Proposed Resolution Criteria This market resolves Yes if, by June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, Anthropic makes Claude Fable 5, the same model under a new name, or a direct successor in the Claude Fable 5 line available for public use in at least one country through an official Anthropic channel, including Claude.ai, the Claude API, Claude Code, or another first-party Anthropic product. Access limited to a private, invitation-only, enterprise-only, government-only, partner-only, researcher-only, waitlist-only, employee-only, or otherwise special-access group does not count as generally available and resolves No. KYC, identity checks, location checks, or nationality checks do not count as special-access. If any user who passes those checks can access the model through a standard Anthropic signup, login, subscription, API, or verification process, then the model counts as generally available for this market. This market resolves No if, by the deadline, Claude Fable 5 or a direct Claude Fable 5 successor is unavailable, available only outside official Anthropic channels, or available only through limited/special access. “Claude Fable 5” includes a model named “Claude Fable 5” or “Fable 5,” the same model under a new name, or a direct successor in the Claude Fable 5 line, such as Claude Fable 5.X. A different model family, unrelated replacement, or non-Fable model does not count. -Resolution source Primary sources are Anthropic’s official website, Claude.ai, Anthropic docs, API docs, changelog, status page, or public statements. Credible reporting may be used only if official sources are unavailable, ambiguous, or contradictory.