秋田预测市场 · Discord 审计

stradiveri参与话题 19消息总数 339

该用户的聊天记录定位。

Reset

聊天记录

共 339 条,显示第 151-200 条
stradiveri 2026-06-29 21:03:46 Polymarket 市场因 GitHub 提交操纵引发可靠性争议

hourly chart from yesterday and today, its very clear when was this script running and how much it affects the resolution. I have reported the account to github already as this is against their TOS, but I do not trust in them to react instantly and even if they do, user can just create another account and manipulate the numbers again.

hourly chart from yesterday and today, its very clear when was this script running and how much it affects the resolution. I have reported the account to github already as this is against their TOS, but I do not trust in them to react instantly and even if they do, user can just create another account and manipulate the numbers again.

stradiveri 2026-06-29 20:32:44 Polymarket 市场因 GitHub 提交操纵引发可靠性争议

the repository even contains the script to do this, anyone can just run it and generate however many commits he wants. How are people supposed to trade safely when any bad actors can push the bracket to any value he wants?

the repository even contains the script to do this, anyone can just run it and generate however many commits he wants. How are people supposed to trade safely when any bad actors can push the bracket to any value he wants?

stradiveri 2026-06-29 19:58:06 Polymarket

https://github.com/BringBrang/a6f7f76 One account, 1.2 milion commits in less than 24 hours. Amazing market you guys have here https://polymarket.com/event/claude-code-commits-end-of-june Maybe add higher strikes for next month, I might do 10 mil per day for next month

https://github.com/BringBrang/a6f7f76 One account, 1.2 milion commits in less than 24 hours. Amazing market you guys have here https://polymarket.com/event/claude-code-commits-end-of-june Maybe add higher strikes for next month, I might do 10 mil per day for next month

stradiveri 2026-06-29 19:01:36 Polymarket Claude关联GitHub提交量异常暴增被疑操纵相关市场

hello im a github employee, anyone know why yesterday and today there were a massive 10x spikes in 1 hour windows in number of commits commited by claude?

hello im a github employee, anyone know why yesterday and today there were a massive 10x spikes in 1 hour windows in number of commits commited by claude?

stradiveri 2026-06-28 20:36:44 Polymarket

in some things yes

in some things yes

stradiveri 2026-06-28 14:13:11 Polymarket

Shut up

Shut up

stradiveri 2026-06-27 22:12:52 Polymarket

oh really?

oh really?

stradiveri 2026-06-27 22:06:31 Polymarket

Easiest way is to use betmoar. Otherwise you have to code your own tool

Easiest way is to use betmoar. Otherwise you have to code your own tool

stradiveri 2026-06-27 19:58:53 Polymarket

everyone knows that this is happening, but polymarket doesnt care

everyone knows that this is happening, but polymarket doesnt care

stradiveri 2026-06-27 02:28:22 Polymarket

This is all unrelated to the current dota game ofcourse For this to apply > "if the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1." They would have to start game 1 and finish it normally. The rules definitely could explain it better, but thats how its always done

This is all unrelated to the current dota game ofcourse For this to apply > "if the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1." They would have to start game 1 and finish it normally. The rules definitely could explain it better, but thats how its always done

stradiveri 2026-06-27 02:25:26 Polymarket

and explanation what happened

and explanation what happened

stradiveri 2026-06-27 02:25:19 Polymarket

here is example from lol - You can see the game 1 went 50-50 even though it started https://polymarket.com/esports/league-of-legends/general/lol-sgw-dino-2026-06-10

here is example from lol - You can see the game 1 went 50-50 even though it started https://polymarket.com/esports/league-of-legends/general/lol-sgw-dino-2026-06-10

stradiveri 2026-06-27 02:25:07 Polymarket

mid-game ffs are probably rare in Dota, same as lol, but in cs2 this happens every other week

mid-game ffs are probably rare in Dota, same as lol, but in cs2 this happens every other week

stradiveri 2026-06-27 02:18:22 Polymarket

I am 100% sure that its 50-50 either way

I am 100% sure that its 50-50 either way

stradiveri 2026-06-27 02:16:03 Polymarket

It doesnt even matter if its forfeit before game starts or during. 50-50 either way

It doesnt even matter if its forfeit before game starts or during. 50-50 either way

stradiveri 2026-06-27 02:15:22 Polymarket

Forfeit = 50-50

Forfeit = 50-50

stradiveri 2026-06-26 03:24:06 Polymarket

but knowing polymarket, they will wait and hope it doesnt happen and if it does happen, they will wait for double dispute before clarifying <:Okay:1110501813628698634>

but knowing polymarket, they will wait and hope it doesnt happen and if it does happen, they will wait for double dispute before clarifying <:Okay:1110501813628698634>

stradiveri 2026-06-26 03:23:27 Polymarket

> The market will resolve to "Yes" if Lee "Faker" Sang-hyeok is officially announced as the Finals MVP of any international event in 2026 (such as First Stand, MSI, Esports World Cup, Worlds, or any other officially recognized global Riot Games LoL tournament). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". its organized by the same body as esports world cup, the event is officialy recognized by Riot games and it is a global event. So in my opinion it should count. Polymarket staff probably wont answer it themselves, so only way to get official confirmation is via clarif

> The market will resolve to "Yes" if Lee "Faker" Sang-hyeok is officially announced as the Finals MVP of any international event in 2026 (such as First Stand, MSI, Esports World Cup, Worlds, or any other officially recognized global Riot Games LoL tournament). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". its organized by the same body as esports world cup, the event is officialy recognized by Riot games and it is a global event. So in my opinion it should count. Polymarket staff probably wont answer it themselves, so only way to get official confirmation is via clarif

stradiveri 2026-06-24 21:39:20 Polymarket

Might take a bit for proposers to do research tho

Might take a bit for proposers to do research tho

stradiveri 2026-06-24 21:38:53 Polymarket

Its fine, it will resolve correctly

Its fine, it will resolve correctly

stradiveri 2026-06-24 01:46:05 Polymarket

you mean change claude for codex?

you mean change claude for codex?

stradiveri 2026-06-23 04:05:59 Polymarket

<:OMEGALUL:808509687543627827>

<:OMEGALUL:808509687543627827>

stradiveri 2026-06-23 04:05:09 Polymarket OSRS Deadman Allstars市场无人结算引不满

<@238266984297529345> look into this, some props are only findable if you know they already exists and you search for them directly

<@238266984297529345> look into this, some props are only findable if you know they already exists and you search for them directly

stradiveri 2026-06-23 04:03:44 Polymarket OSRS Deadman Allstars市场无人结算引不满

no wonder this stuff has 0 volume and nobody even proposes it, when nobody knows it exists

no wonder this stuff has 0 volume and nobody even proposes it, when nobody knows it exists

stradiveri 2026-06-23 03:49:08 Polymarket OSRS Deadman Allstars市场无人结算引不满

this one ? https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-win-deadman-all-stars-season-3-20260615184126798

this one ? https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-win-deadman-all-stars-season-3-20260615184126798

stradiveri 2026-06-21 04:20:59 Polymarket

karrigan holy

karrigan holy

stradiveri 2026-06-20 01:32:59 Polymarket

is he trolling

is he trolling

stradiveri 2026-06-19 15:30:53 Polymarket

sometimes the stream starts playing out of nowhere and I get jumpscared

sometimes the stream starts playing out of nowhere and I get jumpscared

stradiveri 2026-06-18 22:18:13 Polymarket

thats weird, so they kept the market open and refunded both sides?

thats weird, so they kept the market open and refunded both sides?

stradiveri 2026-06-18 21:43:29 Polymarket

iirc this was the same situation. polymarket just archived it, no clarif, no explanation https://www.betmoar.fun/market/will-kt-rolster-make-a-roster-change-before-july I recommend not buying shares in this

iirc this was the same situation. polymarket just archived it, no clarif, no explanation https://www.betmoar.fun/market/will-kt-rolster-make-a-roster-change-before-july I recommend not buying shares in this

stradiveri 2026-06-18 19:56:00 Polymarket

0

0

stradiveri 2026-06-17 14:40:33 Polymarket

it got reproposed as yes, someone needs to dispute it again, dont let the scammers win

it got reproposed as yes, someone needs to dispute it again, dont let the scammers win

stradiveri 2026-06-17 14:26:43 Polymarket

it was already explained multiple times

it was already explained multiple times

stradiveri 2026-06-17 04:39:25 Polymarket

eggpoly didnt write anything in over a week, who are the other sport admins I can ping?

eggpoly didnt write anything in over a week, who are the other sport admins I can ping?

stradiveri 2026-06-17 04:26:04 Polymarket

after it is proposed and settled, polymarket staff needs to unarchive the market so you can claim. I guess they dont want to unarchive it now, so people dont trade on invalid market until its settled

after it is proposed and settled, polymarket staff needs to unarchive the market so you can claim. I guess they dont want to unarchive it now, so people dont trade on invalid market until its settled

stradiveri 2026-06-17 04:24:41 Polymarket

you cant, you need a proposer to do it, but since the market is archived it might be difficult for some to do it, I already posted it in UMA discord, so somebody might take a look into it

you cant, you need a proposer to do it, but since the market is archived it might be difficult for some to do it, I already posted it in UMA discord, so somebody might take a look into it

stradiveri 2026-06-17 04:20:11 Polymarket

I dont want to give a bad financial advice, but it should be proposable as No now. In the qualify to playoffs market, Flyquest already settled as No

I dont want to give a bad financial advice, but it should be proposable as No now. In the qualify to playoffs market, Flyquest already settled as No

stradiveri 2026-06-17 04:11:13 Polymarket

~~it resolved as No~~ nvm I looked at wrong market, its archived now

~~it resolved as No~~ nvm I looked at wrong market, its archived now

stradiveri 2026-06-17 02:12:45 Polymarket

maybe there is argument for 10 minute review time for moneyline (so users get their funds back faster), but sidelines definitely need more than that

maybe there is argument for 10 minute review time for moneyline (so users get their funds back faster), but sidelines definitely need more than that

stradiveri 2026-06-16 04:45:27 Polymarket

Ugly from navi, wp to g2, the score lines make the series look closer than it really was

Ugly from navi, wp to g2, the score lines make the series look closer than it really was

stradiveri 2026-06-16 01:59:03 Polymarket

holy

holy

stradiveri 2026-06-16 01:59:02 Polymarket

navi

navi

stradiveri 2026-06-15 00:23:20 Polymarket

polymarket buff https://x.com/ESLCS/status/2066193746321179113

polymarket buff https://x.com/ESLCS/status/2066193746321179113

stradiveri 2026-06-14 20:41:41 Polymarket

doesnt look like it, based on the odds

doesnt look like it, based on the odds

stradiveri 2026-06-14 20:18:45 Polymarket

not on res source, have to wait 2 hours since the series ended

not on res source, have to wait 2 hours since the series ended