秋田预测市场 · Discord 审计

Boiled_potato参与话题 0消息总数 18

该用户的聊天记录定位。

Reset

聊天记录

共 18 条,显示第 1-18 条
Boiled_potato 2026-06-11 03:23:43 Polymarket

It might work. But have a simplistic baseline, you will realise it is much better. Let's take a simple example: Y is the stock price. x is just time passed. Assume Y=sin(x)+e at all times, e is the noise. You know this for sure. Then nothing can be better than sin(x) function. Fitting a neural net will lead to no improvement at all, with overfitting as a bonus. In a market causal relationships may be few, with noise you will almost always overfit to the noise, which cannot be controlled

It might work. But have a simplistic baseline, you will realise it is much better. Let's take a simple example: Y is the stock price. x is just time passed. Assume Y=sin(x)+e at all times, e is the noise. You know this for sure. Then nothing can be better than sin(x) function. Fitting a neural net will lead to no improvement at all, with overfitting as a bonus. In a market causal relationships may be few, with noise you will almost always overfit to the noise, which cannot be controlled

Boiled_potato 2026-06-11 03:21:15 Polymarket

Don't know what, just curious

Don't know what, just curious

Boiled_potato 2026-06-11 03:18:09 Polymarket

Very suboptimal. ML is used for approximating functions. Let's say you knew stock price is sin(x), where x is something. Then using ML to fit this just introduces complexity without any upside. The problem is determinism, the probability of outcome is not what is the focus usually.

Very suboptimal. ML is used for approximating functions. Let's say you knew stock price is sin(x), where x is something. Then using ML to fit this just introduces complexity without any upside. The problem is determinism, the probability of outcome is not what is the focus usually.

Boiled_potato 2026-06-11 03:16:41 Polymarket

You should teach your model to draw candlestick patterns. It will have maximal sharpe trust

You should teach your model to draw candlestick patterns. It will have maximal sharpe trust

Boiled_potato 2026-06-11 03:15:51 Polymarket

Just pack it up lil bro

Just pack it up lil bro

Boiled_potato 2026-06-11 03:13:43 Polymarket

Drawing candlestick patterns

Drawing candlestick patterns

Boiled_potato 2026-06-11 03:12:35 Polymarket

At least quants can justify the economic benefit, here it's just nothing, might as well play CS2 instead of tokenmaxxing😭

At least quants can justify the economic benefit, here it's just nothing, might as well play CS2 instead of tokenmaxxing😭

Boiled_potato 2026-06-11 03:11:13 Polymarket

What even is the point of this? One bot steals off other, there is minimal retail flow😭

What even is the point of this? One bot steals off other, there is minimal retail flow😭

Boiled_potato 2026-06-11 01:04:29 Polymarket

Yeah, started at 1500 UTC

Yeah, started at 1500 UTC

Boiled_potato 2026-06-11 01:02:51 Polymarket

Chainlink is misbehaving right? It's throwing 429s

Chainlink is misbehaving right? It's throwing 429s

Boiled_potato 2026-06-01 16:53:45 Polymarket

Yeah

Yeah

Boiled_potato 2026-06-01 16:51:56 Polymarket

Rest rtt

Rest rtt

Boiled_potato 2026-06-01 16:51:46 Polymarket

London vm to polymarket latency. I am running on dublin and i wanted to see how much of a difference colo makes

London vm to polymarket latency. I am running on dublin and i wanted to see how much of a difference colo makes

Boiled_potato 2026-06-01 16:50:08 Polymarket

This is from london to polymarket right?

This is from london to polymarket right?

Boiled_potato 2026-06-01 16:48:46 Polymarket

Like general p50/p90 on whatever data

Like general p50/p90 on whatever data

Boiled_potato 2026-06-01 16:48:17 Polymarket

what about REST RTT because ws is kinda misrepresentative for cancel

what about REST RTT because ws is kinda misrepresentative for cancel

Boiled_potato 2026-06-01 16:36:19 Polymarket

How much is the difference between dublin and colo?

How much is the difference between dublin and colo?

Boiled_potato 2026-06-01 14:24:55 Polymarket

No. EOA address. (Wanted to fetch taker tier not maker rebates)

No. EOA address. (Wanted to fetch taker tier not maker rebates)