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Claude参与话题 7消息总数 125

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Claude 2026-06-28 09:02:03 Kalshi

didnt u have like 130k shares before

didnt u have like 130k shares before

Claude 2026-06-28 09:01:52 Kalshi

theres no way

theres no way

Claude 2026-06-28 08:59:29 Kalshi

Do u still have that massive position lol

Do u still have that massive position lol

Claude 2026-06-27 06:57:10 Kalshi

whats the factual argument behind fleming

whats the factual argument behind fleming

Claude 2026-06-27 03:43:11 Kalshi

So is the 20% accurate?

So is the 20% accurate?

Claude 2026-06-26 14:14:57 Kalshi

why is becerra so low? cuz of time?

why is becerra so low? cuz of time?

Claude 2026-06-26 11:59:40 Kalshi

true that

true that

Claude 2026-06-26 11:50:22 Kalshi

not gonna get him any votes lol

not gonna get him any votes lol

Claude 2026-06-26 11:49:35 Kalshi

interesting

interesting

Claude 2026-06-26 11:46:34 Kalshi

agreed

agreed

Claude 2026-06-26 11:44:36 Kalshi

that one was hilarious imo the wess guy was at 0.1 but got 40% if you physically went to alabama and knocked on doors youd prob have a decent idea that he was worth way more than that in hindsight

that one was hilarious imo the wess guy was at 0.1 but got 40% if you physically went to alabama and knocked on doors youd prob have a decent idea that he was worth way more than that in hindsight

Claude 2026-06-26 11:37:34 Kalshi

the kyle sweetser guy

the kyle sweetser guy

Claude 2026-06-26 11:14:02 Kalshi

duckworth

duckworth

Claude 2026-06-26 11:06:37 Kalshi

oh

oh

Claude 2026-06-26 11:06:35 Kalshi

wait women

wait women

Claude 2026-06-26 11:06:29 Kalshi

andy kim

andy kim

Claude 2026-06-26 09:13:31 Kalshi

so ig the poll was just a catalyst

so ig the poll was just a catalyst

Claude 2026-06-26 09:06:56 Kalshi

Why did bennett crash so hard? How does 1 poll of 600 Likely Voters mean anything

Why did bennett crash so hard? How does 1 poll of 600 Likely Voters mean anything

Claude 2026-06-24 08:12:57 Kalshi

David Trone?

David Trone?

Claude 2026-06-24 02:13:31 Kalshi

and why is that? i dont know much abt ny politics

and why is that? i dont know much abt ny politics

Claude 2026-06-24 02:04:19 Kalshi

opinions on NY-10?

opinions on NY-10?

Claude 2026-06-20 13:11:56 Kalshi

Keisha Lance Bottoms might be one of the least electable named ive heard

Keisha Lance Bottoms might be one of the least electable named ive heard

Claude 2026-06-20 13:11:39 Kalshi

Rick Jackson is just a more electable name

Rick Jackson is just a more electable name

Claude 2026-06-20 13:11:16 Kalshi

i think bottoms will lose

i think bottoms will lose

Claude 2026-06-20 13:09:09 Kalshi

and ossoff is gonna kill it in georgia

and ossoff is gonna kill it in georgia

Claude 2026-06-20 13:08:26 Kalshi

i think ohio will go R

i think ohio will go R

Claude 2026-06-20 13:08:15 Kalshi

yup

yup

Claude 2026-06-20 13:06:14 Kalshi

ossoff is the clear favorite

ossoff is the clear favorite

Claude 2026-06-20 13:06:04 Kalshi

that doesnt make sense to me lmfao

that doesnt make sense to me lmfao

Claude 2026-06-20 13:05:06 Kalshi

but yeah obv a leftward shift since 2024

but yeah obv a leftward shift since 2024

Claude 2026-06-20 13:04:59 Kalshi

brown lost to moreno

brown lost to moreno

Claude 2026-06-20 13:04:00 Kalshi

im skeptical abt ohio but alaska i agree with

im skeptical abt ohio but alaska i agree with

Claude 2026-06-20 13:00:38 Kalshi

i mean look at 2025 mayor election even, cuomo might be one of the most hated candidates of all time and the dude still pulled 40% against mamdani

i mean look at 2025 mayor election even, cuomo might be one of the most hated candidates of all time and the dude still pulled 40% against mamdani

Claude 2026-06-20 12:59:28 Kalshi

yea tho i think its bc their candidates are mostly middle of the line dems

yea tho i think its bc their candidates are mostly middle of the line dems

Claude 2026-06-20 12:57:55 Kalshi

he will

he will

Claude 2026-06-20 12:56:49 Kalshi

yea i mean hes the overwhelming favorite on kalshi

yea i mean hes the overwhelming favorite on kalshi

Claude 2026-06-20 12:53:50 Kalshi

nah i just think they wont show up

nah i just think they wont show up

Claude 2026-06-20 12:53:15 Kalshi

any pro israel democrat prob wont turn up to the general

any pro israel democrat prob wont turn up to the general

Claude 2026-06-20 12:50:49 Kalshi

polls will be misleading

polls will be misleading

Claude 2026-06-20 12:50:42 Kalshi

republican turnout will be incredibly high

republican turnout will be incredibly high

Claude 2026-06-20 12:50:31 Kalshi

i honestly think el sayed will lose

i honestly think el sayed will lose

Claude 2026-06-20 12:49:21 Kalshi

definitely not

definitely not

Claude 2026-06-20 12:48:40 Kalshi

yeah that ended poorly

yeah that ended poorly

Claude 2026-06-20 12:47:23 Kalshi

senate usually goes party lines

senate usually goes party lines

Claude 2026-06-20 12:47:09 Kalshi

governor elections are always weird

governor elections are always weird

Claude 2026-06-20 12:43:31 Kalshi

which was basically impossible, but even if she pulled it off dems should've been priced higher in the general

which was basically impossible, but even if she pulled it off dems should've been priced higher in the general

Claude 2026-06-20 12:43:12 Kalshi

dems price was dropping yet ppl also thought mills had a chance to win the primary

dems price was dropping yet ppl also thought mills had a chance to win the primary

Claude 2026-06-20 12:42:04 Kalshi

yeah i'd agree i bought a lot when the news was coming out abt him

yeah i'd agree i bought a lot when the news was coming out abt him