聊天记录
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-Market Title
How many times will Trump say "Dumocrats" this week?
-Outcomes
Under 6
6-10
11-15
16-20
21-25
26 or more
-Market Description
Counts how many times Donald J. Trump uses "Dumocrats" (his misspelling of "Democrats") this week, spoken on camera or written on X or Truth Social. A weekly Trump-vocabulary chaos meter.
-Proposed Resolution Criteria
Counts each qualifying mention of "Dumocrats" by Trump from Mon June 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET to Sun June 28, 2026 11:59 PM ET, inclusive.
Plural and possessive forms count regardless of context; other forms do NOT. Use in a compound word counts (e.g. "killjoy" counts for "joy").
A "mention" means EITHER: any publicly accessible recorded (audio/video) verbal mention; OR any written usage in a post/repost/ReTruth/statement on Trump's official X (@realDonaldTrump) or Truth Social (@realDonaldTrump).
Each separate post or recorded utterance = one mention; a post counts once regardless of repeats. AI-generated audio/video does NOT count. Videos filmed outside the window do NOT count. Deleted posts count if live ~5 min.
Boundary: 5->Under 6, 6/10->6-10, 11/15->11-15, 16/20->16-20, 21/25->21-25, 26+->26 or more. Resolves within 48h of window close; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
-Resolution source
Trump's official Truth Social (truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump) and X (x.com/realDonaldTrump) profiles, plus the archive at trumpstruth.org. Verbal mentions verified via public audio/video and a consensus of credible reporting.
-Market Title
How many times will Trump say "Dumocrats" this week?
-Outcomes
Under 6
6-10
11-15
16-20
21-25
26 or more
-Market Description
Counts how many times Donald J. Trump uses "Dumocrats" (his misspelling of "Democrats") this week, spoken on camera or written on X or Truth Social. A weekly Trump-vocabulary chaos meter.
-Proposed Resolution Criteria
Counts each qualifying mention of "Dumocrats" by Trump from Mon June 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET to Sun June 28, 2026 11:59 PM ET, inclusive.
Plural and possessive forms count regardless of context; other forms do NOT. Use in a compound word counts (e.g. "killjoy" counts for "joy").
A "mention" means EITHER: any publicly accessible recorded (audio/video) verbal mention; OR any written usage in a post/repost/ReTruth/statement on Trump's official X (@realDonaldTrump) or Truth Social (@realDonaldTrump).
Each separate post or recorded utterance = one mention; a post counts once regardless of repeats. AI-generated audio/video does NOT count. Videos filmed outside the window do NOT count. Deleted posts count if live ~5 min.
Boundary: 5->Under 6, 6/10->6-10, 11/15->11-15, 16/20->16-20, 21/25->21-25, 26+->26 or more. Resolves within 48h of window close; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
-Resolution source
Trump's official Truth Social (truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump) and X (x.com/realDonaldTrump) profiles, plus the archive at trumpstruth.org. Verbal mentions verified via public audio/video and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Title
How many times will <@&1508906060444995636> post "JUST IN:" from May 23–25, 2026?
Outcomes
Under 14
14–18
19–23
24–28
29–33
34 or more
Market Description
The <@&1508906060444995636> X account fires off constant "JUST IN:" posts as global events unfold — wars, outbreaks, market-moving headlines, and more. This market asks how many "JUST IN:" posts the account will publish over a fixed 3-day window, resolving to whichever bracket the final count lands in. When it resolves, a new 3-day market opens — a recurring series in the spirit of the Elon Musk tweet-count markets.
Proposed Resolution Criteria
Resolves to the single bracket containing the number of posts published by <@&1508906060444995636> whose text begins with "JUST IN:" (case-insensitive), between 12:00 AM ET on May 23, 2026 and 11:59 PM ET on May 25, 2026 (inclusive).
Counts original posts and quote tweets that begin with "JUST IN:". Replies and pure retweets are excluded.
Posts beginning with other prefixes ("BREAKING:", "NEW:", etc.) do not count.
Posts are counted by published timestamp; a post deleted after going live still counts.
On a bracket boundary, the higher bracket applies (e.g. 23 → "19–23", 24 → "24–28").
Resolution Source
The <@&1508906060444995636> account on X — https://x.com/Polymarket — counted from the account's public post history and timestamps.
This market is directly linked to global news: the wilder the world gets, the more "JUST IN:" posts fly. A fun, recurring way to predict the raw pace of breaking news.
Polymarket (<@1507887323474432153>) on X
Polymarket (<@1507887323474432153>) on X
The World's Largest Pre
Xdiction Market. Trade politics, news, crypto,
Polymarket (<@1507887323474432153>) on X
The World's Largest Prediction Market. Trade politics, news, crypto, culture, sports, tech, & more.
Market Title
How many times will <@&1508906060444995636> post "JUST IN:" from May 23–25, 2026?
Outcomes
Under 14
14–18
19–23
24–28
29–33
34 or more
Market Description
The <@&1508906060444995636> X account fires off constant "JUST IN:" posts as global events unfold — wars, outbreaks, market-moving headlines, and more. This market asks how many "JUST IN:" posts the account will publish over a fixed 3-day window, resolving to whichever bracket the final count lands in. When it resolves, a new 3-day market opens — a recurring series in the spirit of the Elon Musk tweet-count markets.
Proposed Resolution Criteria
Resolves to the single bracket containing the number of posts published by <@&1508906060444995636> whose text begins with "JUST IN:" (case-insensitive), between 12:00 AM ET on May 23, 2026 and 11:59 PM ET on May 25, 2026 (inclusive).
Counts original posts and quote tweets that begin with "JUST IN:". Replies and pure retweets are excluded.
Posts beginning with other prefixes ("BREAKING:", "NEW:", etc.) do not count.
Posts are counted by published timestamp; a post deleted after going live still counts.
On a bracket boundary, the higher bracket applies (e.g. 23 → "19–23", 24 → "24–28").
Resolution Source
The <@&1508906060444995636> account on X — https://x.com/Polymarket — counted from the account's public post history and timestamps.
This market is directly linked to global news: the wilder the world gets, the more "JUST IN:" posts fly. A fun, recurring way to predict the raw pace of breaking news.
Polymarket (<@1507887323474432153>) on X
Polymarket (<@1507887323474432153>) on X
The World's Largest Pre
Xdiction Market. Trade politics, news, crypto,
Polymarket (<@1507887323474432153>) on X
The World's Largest Prediction Market. Trade politics, news, crypto, culture, sports, tech, & more.
Market Title
How many times will <@&1508906060444995636> post "JUST IN:" from May 23–25, 2026?
Outcomes
Under 14
14–18
19–23
24–28
29–33
34 or more
Market Description
The <@&1508906060444995636> X account fires off constant "JUST IN:" posts as global events unfold — wars, outbreaks, market-moving headlines, and more. This market asks how many "JUST IN:" posts the account will publish over a fixed 3-day window, resolving to whichever bracket the final count lands in. When it resolves, a new 3-day market opens — a recurring series in the spirit of the Elon Musk tweet-count markets.
Proposed Resolution Criteria
Resolves to the single bracket containing the number of posts published by <@&1508906060444995636> whose text begins with "JUST IN:" (case-insensitive), between 12:00 AM ET on May 23, 2026 and 11:59 PM ET on May 25, 2026 (inclusive).
Counts original posts and quote tweets that begin with "JUST IN:". Replies and pure retweets are excluded.
Posts beginning with other prefixes ("BREAKING:", "NEW:", etc.) do not count.
Posts are counted by published timestamp; a post deleted after going live still counts.
On a bracket boundary, the higher bracket applies (e.g. 23 → "19–23", 24 → "24–28").
Resolution Source
The <@&1508906060444995636> account on X — https://x.com/Polymarket — counted from the account's public post history and timestamps.
This market is directly linked to global news: the wilder the world gets, the more "JUST IN:" posts fly. A fun, recurring way to predict the raw pace of breaking news.
Polymarket (<@1507887323474432153>) on X
Polymarket (<@1507887323474432153>) on X
The World's Largest Pre
Xdiction Market. Trade politics, news, crypto,
Market Title
How many times will <@&1508906060444995636> post "JUST IN:" from May 23–25, 2026?
Outcomes
Under 14
14–18
19–23
24–28
29–33
34 or more
Market Description
The <@&1508906060444995636> X account fires off constant "JUST IN:" posts as global events unfold — wars, outbreaks, market-moving headlines, and more. This market asks how many "JUST IN:" posts the account will publish over a fixed 3-day window, resolving to whichever bracket the final count lands in. When it resolves, a new 3-day market opens — a recurring series in the spirit of the Elon Musk tweet-count markets.
Proposed Resolution Criteria
Resolves to the single bracket containing the number of posts published by <@&1508906060444995636> whose text begins with "JUST IN:" (case-insensitive), between 12:00 AM ET on May 23, 2026 and 11:59 PM ET on May 25, 2026 (inclusive).
Counts original posts and quote tweets that begin with "JUST IN:". Replies and pure retweets are excluded.
Posts beginning with other prefixes ("BREAKING:", "NEW:", etc.) do not count.
Posts are counted by published timestamp; a post deleted after going live still counts.
On a bracket boundary, the higher bracket applies (e.g. 23 → "19–23", 24 → "24–28").
Resolution Source
The <@&1508906060444995636> account on X — https://x.com/Polymarket — counted from the account's public post history and timestamps.
This market is directly linked to global news: the wilder the world gets, the more "JUST IN:" posts fly. A fun, recurring way to predict the raw pace of breaking news.
Polymarket (<@1507887323474432153>) on X
Polymarket (<@1507887323474432153>) on X
The World's Largest Pre
Xdiction Market. Trade politics, news, crypto,