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https://polymarket.com/event/israel-x-hezbollah-permanent-peace-deal-by/israel-x-hezbollah-permanent-peace-deal-by-june-30-2026 New dates: August + September + December
https://polymarket.com/event/israel-x-hezbollah-permanent-peace-deal-by/israel-x-hezbollah-permanent-peace-deal-by-june-30-2026 New dates: August + September + December
Im citing sources from 2025 next to 2026 ones to show that there is a continuum of them NOT enriching
Im citing sources from 2025 next to 2026 ones to show that there is a continuum of them NOT enriching
Im going to ignore you, you must be trolling. The status quo says they currently dont do any enrichment and many have shown this here clearly.
Im going to ignore you, you must be trolling. The status quo says they currently dont do any enrichment and many have shown this here clearly.
How is a officially signed document between two countries that was publicly released not a public and official agreement?
How is a officially signed document between two countries that was publicly released not a public and official agreement?
Bruh. The agreement is there but you need to know the context of the situation. Do you understand a biologist talking in his terms just because you know language? This is some high-level politics stuff
Bruh. The agreement is there but you need to know the context of the situation. Do you understand a biologist talking in his terms just because you know language? This is some high-level politics stuff
They kept it less obvious because IRGC would behead them if it looks like they make too many concessions
They kept it less obvious because IRGC would behead them if it looks like they make too many concessions
This is literally an argument for Y
This is literally an argument for Y
The current status is "Iran has the right to enrich but will continue not to enrich until the end of the negotiation phase"
The current status is "Iran has the right to enrich but will continue not to enrich until the end of the negotiation phase"
But Ghalibaf and the president by signing the MoU
But Ghalibaf and the president by signing the MoU
You are agreeing to not take a shit while we negotiate in the 60 days
You are agreeing to not take a shit while we negotiate in the 60 days
You are trying to misunderstand me on purpose. Im showing why no enrichment = status quo. The agreement to the status quo is in the MoU, which is an agreement that has been signed of by the Iranian President. Doesnt matter if it is due to bombing or whatever. Fact is they are not enriching
You are trying to misunderstand me on purpose. Im showing why no enrichment = status quo. The agreement to the status quo is in the MoU, which is an agreement that has been signed of by the Iranian President. Doesnt matter if it is due to bombing or whatever. Fact is they are not enriching
it is consensus that both governments of the US and Iran agree that they are not enriching. Due to the bombing, they are technically also not able to. Now Iran agrees to keep this level of enrichment (the level is 0).
it is consensus that both governments of the US and Iran agree that they are not enriching. Due to the bombing, they are technically also not able to. Now Iran agrees to keep this level of enrichment (the level is 0).
Thats not what it says at all
Thats not what it says at all
You are missing the point of the argument... again...
You are missing the point of the argument... again...
Regardless of how you interpret the status quo clause, you are basically denying here that this clause exists (which it does)
Regardless of how you interpret the status quo clause, you are basically denying here that this clause exists (which it does)
I respect the grind
I respect the grind
So the vice president is lying is what you are saying?
So the vice president is lying is what you are saying?
These comments are not relevant, because Y is arguing for a no enrichment pause in the 60 day negotiation period. All of these comments are related to the final deal and the time after the US x Iran conflict
These comments are not relevant, because Y is arguing for a no enrichment pause in the 60 day negotiation period. All of these comments are related to the final deal and the time after the US x Iran conflict
Im not on the device rn where I have the evidence ready, but it is resolvable now due to the MoU being signed and a consensus of credible reporting has been reached
Im not on the device rn where I have the evidence ready, but it is resolvable now due to the MoU being signed and a consensus of credible reporting has been reached
It is logically not a leap. Opposing parties come to the same conclusion. Whether or not they enrich secretly is not relevant for this market, since it is established that the status quo officially is they dont.
It is logically not a leap. Opposing parties come to the same conclusion. Whether or not they enrich secretly is not relevant for this market, since it is established that the status quo officially is they dont.
Again, multiple reports from Iranian gov officials in the past that they are not enriching since last year. The opposing site, US agrees that they are not doing it - Tulsi Gabbard testified this (member of the current US gov at the time). So it is pretty evident that the status quo means they are not enriching. Vances comment that was shared here multiple times shows this, too.
Again, multiple reports from Iranian gov officials in the past that they are not enriching since last year. The opposing site, US agrees that they are not doing it - Tulsi Gabbard testified this (member of the current US gov at the time). So it is pretty evident that the status quo means they are not enriching. Vances comment that was shared here multiple times shows this, too.
Almost as if its the correct outcome based on the evidence presented
Almost as if its the correct outcome based on the evidence presented
Market needs what rules say
Market needs what rules say
The market doesnt require an official document, as per rules
The market doesnt require an official document, as per rules
Maybe it should, but that would have required other rules
Maybe it should, but that would have required other rules
Thats not what the rules say
Thats not what the rules say
Yeah, but they have been saying since the 12 Day war that they are not enriching anything at all. And this is supported by evidence
Yeah, but they have been saying since the 12 Day war that they are not enriching anything at all. And this is supported by evidence
So you have Iranians telling you they dont enrich under the MoU and an intelligence report showing you they dont enrich and you say this
So you have Iranians telling you they dont enrich under the MoU and an intelligence report showing you they dont enrich and you say this
You trust an AI nice. Multiple things wrong with this
You trust an AI nice. Multiple things wrong with this
Im sure everyone is happy to show and explain NOTAMs for this
Im sure everyone is happy to show and explain NOTAMs for this
its not limited
its not limited
Probably not
Probably not
NOTAMs issued for West Iran
NOTAMs issued for West Iran
Thanks for sharing, should make it easier for many to check this
Thanks for sharing, should make it easier for many to check this
No one can scam NOTAMs
No one can scam NOTAMs
I think we need a statement of Israel whether or not they abide by the permanent peace
I think we need a statement of Israel whether or not they abide by the permanent peace
Thats why the clarification got added before this time
Thats why the clarification got added before this time
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