PolymarketMy $0.02 is that it's all about execution, nothing else. Anyone can come up with an algo
My $0.02 is that it's all about execution, nothing else. Anyone can come up with an algo
Sampoman参与话题 3消息总数 56
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共 56 条，显示第 1-50 条Execute at much worse prices, are too slow etc
Execute at much worse prices, are too slow etc
But when I drive them live => they all lose
But when I drive them live => they all lose
I've been playing with this now for like 4 months (?) and tried pretty much everything I can think of. In sim, I have a least 3-4 algos that are profitable against large backtest datasets
I've been playing with this now for like 4 months (?) and tried pretty much everything I can think of. In sim, I have a least 3-4 algos that are profitable against large backtest datasets
... which is a nightmare on this platform
... which is a nightmare on this platform
... and when you find a good algo, it's all about execution
... and when you find a good algo, it's all about execution
= coin flips piling up
= coin flips piling up
This comes from the fact that the algo itself does not work => it's all probability math playing with you
This comes from the fact that the algo itself does not work => it's all probability math playing with you
Depends on the algo
Depends on the algo
Though considering how stupidly I acted just 15 mins ago, it could be just me 😄
Though considering how stupidly I acted just 15 mins ago, it could be just me 😄
... but still, my gut feeling is that this is sth else
... but still, my gut feeling is that this is sth else
It could be cancels, yes
It could be cancels, yes
Yeah I know abt taker delay
Yeah I know abt taker delay
... so unless you have a crystal ball, someone runs faster than you
... so unless you have a crystal ball, someone runs faster than you
It's absolutely about that, because the price runs off usually by 3-4 cents by the time you react, so someone is sweeping the table
It's absolutely about that, because the price runs off usually by 3-4 cents by the time you react, so someone is sweeping the table
I'm 99.99% sure there's bots running closer that drive the price
I'm 99.99% sure there's bots running closer that drive the price
Still too much
Still too much
AFIK Clob is in London?
AFIK Clob is in London?
Edge gone, bang
Edge gone, bang
And Ireland => London is 25ms
And Ireland => London is 25ms
You can front-run BTC price changes by a few dozen ms, but so does everybody else
You can front-run BTC price changes by a few dozen ms, but so does everybody else
It's really tight, that I can tell
It's really tight, that I can tell
Too slow
Too slow
And I've been in Ireland so far
And I've been in Ireland so far
Interesting. Been testing for at least 100 different algos with 5 min btc. Several of them work in sim but in reality you get front-run by other bots that are faster than you
Interesting. Been testing for at least 100 different algos with 5 min btc. Several of them work in sim but in reality you get front-run by other bots that are faster than you
No matter how good your algo is
No matter how good your algo is
When there's X price requests in front of the queue, you'll always lose
When there's X price requests in front of the queue, you'll always lose
It is at least for 5 min btc windows
It is at least for 5 min btc windows
You'll always lose in the latency game
You'll always lose in the latency game
There's no way to get this sh*t running without co-located servers
There's no way to get this sh*t running without co-located servers
Maybe I'll give up
Maybe I'll give up
Hm
Hm
Such fun
Such fun
😄
😄
Not that this comes as a suprise. Anyway, is there some way to get the KYC process done for real
Not that this comes as a suprise. Anyway, is there some way to get the KYC process done for real
So yeah, seems like someone is monitoring the dev channel
So yeah, seems like someone is monitoring the dev channel
Ah fuck it. I deserved this
Ah fuck it. I deserved this
😄
😄
Yeah
Yeah
Well...
Well...
😄
😄
First time I've seen this 😄
First time I've seen this 😄
A few hundred bucks
A few hundred bucks
That was an expensive lesson
That was an expensive lesson
Stupid me.
Stupid me.
Johnsomehting. Fuck, I thought it was fishy
Johnsomehting. Fuck, I thought it was fishy
FYI: just got a s u pp ort tick et request from posing as admin, asking me to verify my wallet address. Stupidly enough I went thru this => bang, wallet gone
FYI: just got a s u pp ort tick et request from posing as admin, asking me to verify my wallet address. Stupidly enough I went thru this => bang, wallet gone
So: be extremely wary of these
So: be extremely wary of these
Stupidly enough I went thru the "verification process" => bang, wallet gone
Stupidly enough I went thru the "verification process" => bang, wallet gone
Essentially, someone sent a s u p p o r t ti ck et request, asking very politely for info. It sounded fishy when they asked to verify my wallet
Essentially, someone sent a s u p p o r t ti ck et request, asking very politely for info. It sounded fishy when they asked to verify my wallet
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