PolymarketWtf is going on with this geo lock
Wtf is going on with this geo lock
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共 24 条，显示第 1-24 条Where are you
Where are you
Polymarket is geolocked for me now?
Polymarket is geolocked for me now?
feel like those are the highest intensity days
feel like those are the highest intensity days
can we get a starmer out by june 21 , and a starmer out by june 23
can we get a starmer out by june 21 , and a starmer out by june 23
thsi is way fucking different
thsi is way fucking different
it's clearly a way different standard than oil sanctions and unfreezing assets, read how those two are descrbied in the mou "10. The United States of America undertakes that immediately upon the signing of this MoU, and until the termination of sanctions, the U.S. Department of Treasury will issue waivers for the export of Iranian crude oil, petroleum products and derivatives, and all associated services including banking transactions, insurances, transportation, etc." "11. The United States of America undertakes to make fully available for use, the frozen or restricted funds and assets of the Islamic Republic of Iran upon the implementation of this MoU. The United States of America and the Islamic Republic of Iran will mutually agree on the procedures related to the release of these funds during the negotiations. Such funds, whether retained in the original account or transferred, shall be made fully usable for payment to any ultimate beneficiary designated by the Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran. The United States of America undertakes to issue all necessary licenses and authorizations accordingly."
it's clearly a way different standard than oil sanctions and unfreezing assets, read how those two are descrbied in the mou "10. The United States of America undertakes that immediately upon the signing of this MoU, and until the termination of sanctions, the U.S. Department of Treasury will issue waivers for the export of Iranian crude oil, petroleum products and derivatives, and all associated services including banking transactions, insurances, transportation, etc." "11. The United States of America undertakes to make fully available for use, the frozen or restricted funds and assets of the Islamic Republic of Iran upon the implementation of this MoU. The United States of America and the Islamic Republic of Iran will mutually agree on the procedures related to the release of these funds during the negotiations. Such funds, whether retained in the original account or transferred, shall be made fully usable for payment to any ultimate beneficiary designated by the Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran. The United States of America undertakes to issue all necessary licenses and authorizations accordingly."
how is that conditional?
how is that conditional?
Definitive describes something that is authoritative, final, and complete, leaving no room for question, change, or further debate. I
Definitive describes something that is authoritative, final, and complete, leaving no room for question, change, or further debate. I
definitive can't be conditional
definitive can't be conditional
there's nothing obligating them to reach a final deal?
there's nothing obligating them to reach a final deal?
how is this definitive if a final deal is the definition of not at all predicted or definitive
how is this definitive if a final deal is the definition of not at all predicted or definitive
which way do you lean
which way do you lean
there's no agreement dude they're saying IF they reach a final deal
there's no agreement dude they're saying IF they reach a final deal
The troop withdrawal condition is on a structurally different standard than the oil and asset conditions, so it shouldn't be counted alongside them. Going by the text: The MoU-triggered items: - Para 10 (oil/petroleum waivers): "immediately upon the signing of this MoU... the U.S. Department of Treasury will issue waivers for the export of Iranian crude oil, petroleum products and derivatives" - Para 11 (frozen assets): "make fully available for use, the frozen or restricted funds and assets... upon the implementation of this MoU" Both of those fire off the MoU — one on signing, one on implementation. Neither needs a final Deal. The Deal-triggered item: - Para 4 (troops): "remove its forces from the proximity of the Islamic Republic of Iran within 30 days after the final Deal" That one is explicitly keyed to the final Deal, not the MoU. And the document is unambiguous that the MoU and the final Deal are two different instruments: - Para 3: parties commit to "negotiating and achieving the final Deal, in maximum 60 days extendable" - Para 13: negotiations on the final Deal only start after the MoU is signed and its measures begin - Para 14: "The final Deal will be endorsed by a binding UNSC resolution" So the sequence is MoU → (up to 60+ days of negotiation) → final Deal → UNSC endorsement → then a 30-day troop clock. The oil and asset relief sit at the front of that chain; troop withdrawal sits at the very back, gated behind a separate agreement that may not happen at all. Bottom line: counting troop withdrawal next to the MoU conditions conflates two different resolution standards. You could see oil exporting and assets unfrozen with the troop condition still legally years off, because it can't trigger until a final Deal is reached and endorsed. It doesn't belong in the same bucket.
The troop withdrawal condition is on a structurally different standard than the oil and asset conditions, so it shouldn't be counted alongside them. Going by the text: The MoU-triggered items: - Para 10 (oil/petroleum waivers): "immediately upon the signing of this MoU... the U.S. Department of Treasury will issue waivers for the export of Iranian crude oil, petroleum products and derivatives" - Para 11 (frozen assets): "make fully available for use, the frozen or restricted funds and assets... upon the implementation of this MoU" Both of those fire off the MoU — one on signing, one on implementation. Neither needs a final Deal. The Deal-triggered item: - Para 4 (troops): "remove its forces from the proximity of the Islamic Republic of Iran within 30 days after the final Deal" That one is explicitly keyed to the final Deal, not the MoU. And the document is unambiguous that the MoU and the final Deal are two different instruments: - Para 3: parties commit to "negotiating and achieving the final Deal, in maximum 60 days extendable" - Para 13: negotiations on the final Deal only start after the MoU is signed and its measures begin - Para 14: "The final Deal will be endorsed by a binding UNSC resolution" So the sequence is MoU → (up to 60+ days of negotiation) → final Deal → UNSC endorsement → then a 30-day troop clock. The oil and asset relief sit at the front of that chain; troop withdrawal sits at the very back, gated behind a separate agreement that may not happen at all. Bottom line: counting troop withdrawal next to the MoU conditions conflates two different resolution standards. You could see oil exporting and assets unfrozen with the troop condition still legally years off, because it can't trigger until a final Deal is reached and endorsed. It doesn't belong in the same bucket.
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<@941405798096076880>
https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-announce-as-next-director-of-national-intelligence
https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-announce-as-next-director-of-national-intelligence
can we add pete hoekstra to the dni markeet pls
can we add pete hoekstra to the dni markeet pls
https://x.com/i/web/status/2064792920012529997
https://x.com/i/web/status/2064792920012529997
https://x.com/acyn/status/2062966141518315727
https://x.com/acyn/status/2062966141518315727
confirming the escorts?
confirming the escorts?
shouldn't this resolve it to yes
shouldn't this resolve it to yes
https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-restart-project-freedom-by/will-trump-restart-project-freedom-by-june-30
https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-restart-project-freedom-by/will-trump-restart-project-freedom-by-june-30
*TRUMP: `A LOT' OF OIL CAME OUT OF HORMUZ WITH US HELP
*TRUMP: `A LOT' OF OIL CAME OUT OF HORMUZ WITH US HELP