Polymarket-Market Title Who will win the 2026 Lima Metropolitan Mayoral Election? -Outcomes Carlos Bruce Francis Allison Daniel Urresti Luis Rubio Ricardo Belmont Susel Paredes Samuel Daza Alberto Tejada Oswaldo Vargas Yehude Simon Edgardo del Pomar Elizabeth León Victoria La Cruz Another candidate -Market Description On October 4, 2026, Lima residents will elect the Mayor of Metropolitan Lima for the 2027–2030 term, as part of the Regional and Municipal Elections (ERM 2026) called by President José Jerí. Outgoing mayor Rafael López Aliaga resigned in October 2025 to run for president, and is now running as a candidate for deputy mayor (teniente alcalde) on Luis Rubio's list (Renovación Popular). The race is fragmented among 22 admitted candidates with no clear front-runner: Carlos Bruce consistently but narrowly leads recent polling (~12–14%), followed closely by several candidates within the margin of error. -Proposed Resolution Criteria This market resolves to the candidate officially proclaimed Mayor of Metropolitan Lima for the 2027–2030 term following the October 4, 2026 election, as proclaimed by the Jurado Electoral Especial (JEE) de Lima Centro under Article 23 of Ley N° 26864, and confirmed as final by the Jurado Nacional de Elecciones (JNE) after resolving any appeals. The mayor is elected by simple plurality (there is no runoff for mayoral races in Peru). In the event of an exact tie between the top two candidates, the market will resolve in accordance with the public sorteo (drawing of lots) conducted by the JEE, and will wait for that outcome. -Resolution source Official JNE portal (portal.jne.gob.pe)
-Market Title Who will win the 2026 Lima Metropolitan Mayoral Election? -Outcomes Carlos Bruce Francis Allison Daniel Urresti Luis Rubio Ricardo Belmont Susel Paredes Samuel Daza Alberto Tejada Oswaldo Vargas Yehude Simon Edgardo del Pomar Elizabeth León Victoria La Cruz Another candidate -Market Description On October 4, 2026, Lima residents will elect the Mayor of Metropolitan Lima for the 2027–2030 term, as part of the Regional and Municipal Elections (ERM 2026) called by President José Jerí. Outgoing mayor Rafael López Aliaga resigned in October 2025 to run for president, and is now running as a candidate for deputy mayor (teniente alcalde) on Luis Rubio's list (Renovación Popular). The race is fragmented among 22 admitted candidates with no clear front-runner: Carlos Bruce consistently but narrowly leads recent polling (~12–14%), followed closely by several candidates within the margin of error. -Proposed Resolution Criteria This market resolves to the candidate officially proclaimed Mayor of Metropolitan Lima for the 2027–2030 term following the October 4, 2026 election, as proclaimed by the Jurado Electoral Especial (JEE) de Lima Centro under Article 23 of Ley N° 26864, and confirmed as final by the Jurado Nacional de Elecciones (JNE) after resolving any appeals. The mayor is elected by simple plurality (there is no runoff for mayoral races in Peru). In the event of an exact tie between the top two candidates, the market will resolve in accordance with the public sorteo (drawing of lots) conducted by the JEE, and will wait for that outcome. -Resolution source Official JNE portal (portal.jne.gob.pe)