PolymarketOf course not. I know everyone here’s a seasoned Polymarket veteran, that’s why I’m asking.
Of course not. I know everyone here’s a seasoned Polymarket veteran, that’s why I’m asking.
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共 21 条，显示第 1-21 条Does anyone here have relevant insights, or does everyone only follow political event markets?
Does anyone here have relevant insights, or does everyone only follow political event markets?
Our team has developed an independent pricing model whose output matches nearly perfectly with live quotes from active market makers on Polymarket. That said, I’m still unsure about the profitability of market makers operating on Polymarket at present. You guys have been in this space for years, so could you be candid and share the real situation? I’m really worried about following their footsteps and winding up taking heavy losses
Our team has developed an independent pricing model whose output matches nearly perfectly with live quotes from active market makers on Polymarket. That said, I’m still unsure about the profitability of market makers operating on Polymarket at present. You guys have been in this space for years, so could you be candid and share the real situation? I’m really worried about following their footsteps and winding up taking heavy losses
Do any of you know whether soccer-focused market makers in the sports vertical are profitable right now
Do any of you know whether soccer-focused market makers in the sports vertical are profitable right now
😀 😀 😀
😀 😀 😀
I really like that you 🪰 chase and discuss with me every day. It is because of you that I know everyone in the whole channel.😀 😀 😀 😀
I really like that you 🪰 chase and discuss with me every day. It is because of you that I know everyone in the whole channel.😀 😀 😀 😀
You guys carry on with this mystery-box market game. I’m heading off to bed. I’m glad I stayed out of it. While I personally lean toward Yes and have laid out all my reasoning, I have zero financial stake here whatsoever.
You guys carry on with this mystery-box market game. I’m heading off to bed. I’m glad I stayed out of it. While I personally lean toward Yes and have laid out all my reasoning, I have zero financial stake here whatsoever.
That’s entirely incorrect. Besides, if previous rulings were wrong, why not correct them now? Should flawed decisions remain in place indefinitely?
That’s entirely incorrect. Besides, if previous rulings were wrong, why not correct them now? Should flawed decisions remain in place indefinitely?
There is no provision in the rules stipulating a market closing date at all. How then can anyone claim no credible reports emerged before closure? Such an argument lacks any foundational basis.
There is no provision in the rules stipulating a market closing date at all. How then can anyone claim no credible reports emerged before closure? Such an argument lacks any foundational basis.
Furthermore, the market contains no rules specifying when it closes. How can it be concluded that no credible reports existed before market closure? The rules never require the market to shut down prior to May 31.
Furthermore, the market contains no rules specifying when it closes. How can it be concluded that no credible reports existed before market closure? The rules never require the market to shut down prior to May 31.
First, UMA’s default resolution rules do not equate to Polymarket’s own resolution standards. Second, UMA has no formal written requirements for such a rule; it is merely past precedent among voters and not an official rule.
First, UMA’s default resolution rules do not equate to Polymarket’s own resolution standards. Second, UMA has no formal written requirements for such a rule; it is merely past precedent among voters and not an official rule.
no
no
If the sell-off occurred before May 31, I believe Polymarket should rule this as P2 YES OR 50 50. Requiring public information to confirm the outcome by May 31 is a UMA rule, not a Polymarket rule. Polymarket is under no obligation to follow it. Moreover, this UMA rule itself is highly controversial and has led to numerous misjudgments. Why should Polymarket still abide by it?
If the sell-off occurred before May 31, I believe Polymarket should rule this as P2 YES OR 50 50. Requiring public information to confirm the outcome by May 31 is a UMA rule, not a Polymarket rule. Polymarket is under no obligation to follow it. Moreover, this UMA rule itself is highly controversial and has led to numerous misjudgments. Why should Polymarket still abide by it?
OK. But I don’t hold any positions at all, so I can’t be bothered to check—it’s just a waste of energy.
OK. But I don’t hold any positions at all, so I can’t be bothered to check—it’s just a waste of energy.
Is this screenshot authentic
Is this screenshot authentic
wow
wow
Send me the screenshot to take a look.
Send me the screenshot to take a look.
In fact, there have been multiple prior instances of 50/50 resolutions.
In fact, there have been multiple prior instances of 50/50 resolutions.
Exactly, so there’s no way to confirm whether the sell-off actually happened. A 50/50 resolution would be the fairest call.
Exactly, so there’s no way to confirm whether the sell-off actually happened. A 50/50 resolution would be the fairest call.
A sell-off did take place, yet the rules do not state that positions must be closed before May 31st. Meanwhile, the YES side cannot prove that the sell-off happened between May 31st and June 1st
A sell-off did take place, yet the rules do not state that positions must be closed before May 31st. Meanwhile, the YES side cannot prove that the sell-off happened between May 31st and June 1st
I think this market will likely end up as a 50/50 split. It’s the fairest outcome and will put the least pressure on Polymarket
I think this market will likely end up as a 50/50 split. It’s the fairest outcome and will put the least pressure on Polymarket