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paucazorla参与话题 3消息总数 65

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paucazorla 2026-07-12 05:27:40 Polymarket

Will EU Justice rule in favour of Puigdemont? (case C-523/24, Sociedad Civil Catalana, decision on 16th July)

Will EU Justice rule in favour of Puigdemont? (case C-523/24, Sociedad Civil Catalana, decision on 16th July)

paucazorla 2026-07-09 03:19:11 Kalshi

https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmead/lake-mead-water-levels/kxmead-26dec?op_market_ticker=KXMEAD-26DEC-A1036 why now in December instead of the monthly one??

https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmead/lake-mead-water-levels/kxmead-26dec?op_market_ticker=KXMEAD-26DEC-A1036 why now in December instead of the monthly one??

paucazorla 2026-07-06 11:13:14 Polymarket

Will Quansah (red card today for England) play vs Norway?

Will Quansah (red card today for England) play vs Norway?

paucazorla 2026-07-04 19:34:14 Polymarket

Add Hungary to Eurovision 2027 Participants list

Add Hungary to Eurovision 2027 Participants list

paucazorla 2026-07-03 19:41:54 Polymarket

When will Venezuela hold a presidential election? (the actual vote, not the scheduling)

When will Venezuela hold a presidential election? (the actual vote, not the scheduling)

paucazorla 2026-06-28 02:04:51 Polymarket

Next leader out (without Petro and Starmer)

Next leader out (without Petro and Starmer)

paucazorla 2026-06-28 01:40:46 Polymarket

https://polymarket.com/event/aleksandar-vui-out-as-serbian-president-by more dates!

https://polymarket.com/event/aleksandar-vui-out-as-serbian-president-by more dates!

paucazorla 2026-06-25 12:58:30 Polymarket

a tab in your portfolio where you could filter/see the markets that are in Resolution process

a tab in your portfolio where you could filter/see the markets that are in Resolution process

paucazorla 2026-06-25 10:18:08 Polymarket 组合投注(Combo)无法兑现,规则不透明

you are offering combos that are already impossible (it's already second half and it didn't happen in the first one)

you are offering combos that are already impossible (it's already second half and it didn't happen in the first one)

paucazorla 2026-06-17 13:21:31 Polymarket

Starting XIs for Games 2 of the World Cup!!

Starting XIs for Games 2 of the World Cup!!

paucazorla 2026-06-16 06:43:35 Polymarket

why you autoredeem the winners even when autoredeem is not activated????

why you autoredeem the winners even when autoredeem is not activated????

paucazorla 2026-06-15 06:13:41 Polymarket

Will the deal be actually signed on Friday?

Will the deal be actually signed on Friday?

paucazorla 2026-06-14 07:55:36 Polymarket

There will be a World Cup match with 15+ minutes of stoppage time (added time at the end of a half)? (They just added 10 in the Brazil match)

There will be a World Cup match with 15+ minutes of stoppage time (added time at the end of a half)? (They just added 10 in the Brazil match)

paucazorla 2026-06-14 03:48:23 Polymarket

Why clarifications do not appear on the Discord channel since June 5?? There is another place to see all of them?

Why clarifications do not appear on the Discord channel since June 5?? There is another place to see all of them?

paucazorla 2026-06-08 09:37:21 Polymarket

told you

told you

paucazorla 2026-06-08 09:37:19 Polymarket

boom

boom

paucazorla 2026-06-08 09:18:03 Polymarket

Such a weird UI bug...

Such a weird UI bug...

paucazorla 2026-06-08 08:35:00 Polymarket

Kalshi has an excess of rules and subrules and Poly has a lack of them.

Kalshi has an excess of rules and subrules and Poly has a lack of them.

paucazorla 2026-06-08 08:31:40 Polymarket

Good for them. Even more clear now for Polymarket, though rules are not strictly the same (but in spirit yes).

Good for them. Even more clear now for Polymarket, though rules are not strictly the same (but in spirit yes).

paucazorla 2026-06-08 08:26:20 Polymarket

The Ireland case was also an abandoning from the irish team, because no one was taking action against the slur (so, once again, the referee was not in agreement to end the match). So it's kind of the same. And being such a weird match (U21 vs U22), I don't know how it was treated officially.

The Ireland case was also an abandoning from the irish team, because no one was taking action against the slur (so, once again, the referee was not in agreement to end the match). So it's kind of the same. And being such a weird match (U21 vs U22), I don't know how it was treated officially.

paucazorla 2026-06-08 08:20:40 Polymarket

It's concerning for Denmark side, but I won't treat it as a perfect analogy.

It's concerning for Denmark side, but I won't treat it as a perfect analogy.

paucazorla 2026-06-08 08:20:14 Polymarket

Good finding. But I don't know if it will be treated the same. New Zealand decided not to take the field in protest, as there was no official action taken by the referee, etc. So it's more like a forfeit. Plus it was played in Qatar and therefore the report of the match was filled by Qatar federation and the referee (and he was not taking the decision of ending the match).

Good finding. But I don't know if it will be treated the same. New Zealand decided not to take the field in protest, as there was no official action taken by the referee, etc. So it's more like a forfeit. Plus it was played in Qatar and therefore the report of the match was filled by Qatar federation and the referee (and he was not taking the decision of ending the match).

paucazorla 2026-06-08 07:57:54 Polymarket

which precedent?

which precedent?

paucazorla 2026-06-08 07:56:15 Polymarket

the ONLY chance for the Draw side is that the Danish Federation and the Referee decide to cancel the match instead of saying it was a 2-1 FT (early). Which would be very weird. Being a friendly FIFA accepts the report submitted by the local Federation and the Referee, so FIFA itself doesn't have much decision to it.

the ONLY chance for the Draw side is that the Danish Federation and the Referee decide to cancel the match instead of saying it was a 2-1 FT (early). Which would be very weird. Being a friendly FIFA accepts the report submitted by the local Federation and the Referee, so FIFA itself doesn't have much decision to it.

paucazorla 2026-06-08 07:51:50 Polymarket

Bc i already have a lot, but current odds for Denmark are EXCELLENT, even if at the end it's not resolved that way.

Bc i already have a lot, but current odds for Denmark are EXCELLENT, even if at the end it's not resolved that way.

paucazorla 2026-06-08 07:50:10 Polymarket

it's going to be a draw based on absolutely nothing? lol

it's going to be a draw based on absolutely nothing? lol

paucazorla 2026-06-08 07:31:20 Polymarket

i mean, if it's treated as abandoned it will be Abandoned 2-1. They are not gonna treat the match as it never happened

i mean, if it's treated as abandoned it will be Abandoned 2-1. They are not gonna treat the match as it never happened

paucazorla 2026-06-08 07:26:02 Polymarket

abandoned 2-1 is... 2-1.

abandoned 2-1 is... 2-1.

paucazorla 2026-06-08 07:17:50 Polymarket

Of course it's not the same. That would have resolved 50-50 in Poly. Denmark one is not gonna be 50-50 because it has not been cancelled.

Of course it's not the same. That would have resolved 50-50 in Poly. Denmark one is not gonna be 50-50 because it has not been cancelled.

paucazorla 2026-06-08 07:15:51 Polymarket

btw, this is what a cancelled match looks like for FIFA.

btw, this is what a cancelled match looks like for FIFA.

paucazorla 2026-06-08 07:14:30 Polymarket

which is what is gonna happen. Referee will send the report as 2-1 and Danish federation will do the same and FIFA will say Amen.

which is what is gonna happen. Referee will send the report as 2-1 and Danish federation will do the same and FIFA will say Amen.

paucazorla 2026-06-08 07:14:07 Polymarket

the fairest decision is to leave the result that they got on the field...

the fairest decision is to leave the result that they got on the field...

paucazorla 2026-06-08 07:00:11 Polymarket

of course they could... but 10000% they are not going to.

of course they could... but 10000% they are not going to.

paucazorla 2026-06-08 06:59:14 Polymarket

it's not like Ukraine is going to legally complain about the result...

it's not like Ukraine is going to legally complain about the result...

paucazorla 2026-06-08 06:54:50 Polymarket

in the weird case that a match doesn't finish and not a single organizers/source gives a final result then yes it would be 50-50. But that is never gonna happen.

in the weird case that a match doesn't finish and not a single organizers/source gives a final result then yes it would be 50-50. But that is never gonna happen.

paucazorla 2026-06-08 06:53:58 Polymarket

it's clear as day, and it's been this way always

it's clear as day, and it's been this way always

paucazorla 2026-06-08 06:53:47 Polymarket

if you abandon it, then it says official organizers

if you abandon it, then it says official organizers

paucazorla 2026-06-08 06:53:37 Polymarket

to cancel a match is not to start it

to cancel a match is not to start it

paucazorla 2026-06-08 06:48:26 Polymarket

there is no reason for FIFA not to take the result as final, when both teams agreed to it, the refferee signaled it and it's a friendly where more than 60 minutes have been played and the reason has been a health scare. And 5 hours later it's still treated as a 2-1. Can happen that they decide otherwise, but I don't think it's likely.

there is no reason for FIFA not to take the result as final, when both teams agreed to it, the refferee signaled it and it's a friendly where more than 60 minutes have been played and the reason has been a health scare. And 5 hours later it's still treated as a 2-1. Can happen that they decide otherwise, but I don't think it's likely.

paucazorla 2026-06-08 06:43:47 Polymarket

what more confirmation do you wanna for the 2-1 to be a valid result that the fking FIFA using it for giving the ranking points to Denmark? It's case closed.

what more confirmation do you wanna for the 2-1 to be a valid result that the fking FIFA using it for giving the ranking points to Denmark? It's case closed.

paucazorla 2026-06-08 06:42:55 Polymarket

If you have been here long enough you should know this is gonna be a 2-1 resolution.

If you have been here long enough you should know this is gonna be a 2-1 resolution.

paucazorla 2026-06-08 06:40:31 Polymarket

you can laugh all you want, but reality will always be reality. And this is gonna be resolved towards Denmark by tomorrow. And Poly will clarify it as that too.

you can laugh all you want, but reality will always be reality. And this is gonna be resolved towards Denmark by tomorrow. And Poly will clarify it as that too.

paucazorla 2026-06-08 06:37:31 Polymarket

A friendly doesn't even need to complete the 90 minutes to be final. FIFA says 2-1 FT and awarding ranking points. Media consensus is match ended early 2-1. There is no way this is not resolved as 2-1.

A friendly doesn't even need to complete the 90 minutes to be final. FIFA says 2-1 FT and awarding ranking points. Media consensus is match ended early 2-1. There is no way this is not resolved as 2-1.

paucazorla 2026-06-08 06:36:26 Polymarket

of course it's the same LOL

of course it's the same LOL

paucazorla 2026-06-08 06:34:58 Polymarket

It's over. It's a 2-1 FT.

It's over. It's a 2-1 FT.

paucazorla 2026-06-08 06:34:49 Polymarket

Sure, sir. It's so null and void that FIFA has given the 2-1 as Final result and has awarded the FIFA Ranking points along with that!

Sure, sir. It's so null and void that FIFA has given the 2-1 as Final result and has awarded the FIFA Ranking points along with that!

paucazorla 2026-06-08 05:33:28 Polymarket

Everybody is going to recognise that 2-1 as the final result.

Everybody is going to recognise that 2-1 as the final result.

paucazorla 2026-06-08 03:37:14 Polymarket

The match is gonna be in the stats books as a 2-1 victory for Denmark (even though it ended earlier). The "cancelled entirely" it's for when the match doesn't even start.

The match is gonna be in the stats books as a 2-1 victory for Denmark (even though it ended earlier). The "cancelled entirely" it's for when the match doesn't even start.

paucazorla 2026-06-08 01:02:43 Polymarket

https://x.com/zerohedge/status/2063667777424986128 Trump to buy Chagos Islands

https://x.com/zerohedge/status/2063667777424986128 Trump to buy Chagos Islands

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