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Lawrence of Andorra参与话题 16消息总数 369

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Lawrence of Andorra 2026-07-03 14:26:15 Kalshi

Right, we haven’t been doing that though. Azuul can attest

Right, we haven’t been doing that though. Azuul can attest

Lawrence of Andorra 2026-07-03 14:25:44 Kalshi

Yeah

Yeah

Lawrence of Andorra 2026-07-03 14:25:10 Kalshi

In the context of is [word] a noun for purposes of pluralization. There are differences between that and this ofc.

In the context of is [word] a noun for purposes of pluralization. There are differences between that and this ofc.

Lawrence of Andorra 2026-07-03 14:20:42 Kalshi

We already cut off extremely rare word forms

We already cut off extremely rare word forms

Lawrence of Andorra 2026-07-02 13:29:52 Kalshi

@npr are you seeing this

@npr are you seeing this

Lawrence of Andorra 2026-07-02 13:28:58 Kalshi

Common side effect of a lack of interest

Common side effect of a lack of interest

Lawrence of Andorra 2026-07-02 13:05:22 Kalshi

When their first incorrect green box came out I had a few hundred thousand Nos that were all deeply red until the correct green box came out

When their first incorrect green box came out I had a few hundred thousand Nos that were all deeply red until the correct green box came out

Lawrence of Andorra 2026-07-02 13:01:51 Kalshi

Yet they show my account balance in Arabic numerals, ironic

Yet they show my account balance in Arabic numerals, ironic

Lawrence of Andorra 2026-07-02 12:59:10 Kalshi

Kevin Warsh sends his regards

Kevin Warsh sends his regards

Lawrence of Andorra 2026-07-02 12:57:55 Kalshi

I think Vo-Tech is the biggest loss on a true bond. 56k. I was mark to market down mid-six figures on the Ayatollah at one point on that Saturday, but all turned out ok ofc.

I think Vo-Tech is the biggest loss on a true bond. 56k. I was mark to market down mid-six figures on the Ayatollah at one point on that Saturday, but all turned out ok ofc.

Lawrence of Andorra 2026-07-02 12:55:29 Kalshi

It was $1922 last month. I move money in and out pretty rapidly depending on what’s going on here and elsewhere ofc, so it varies month to month

It was $1922 last month. I move money in and out pretty rapidly depending on what’s going on here and elsewhere ofc, so it varies month to month

Lawrence of Andorra 2026-07-02 12:22:19 Kalshi

Can’t believe they’re stealing Mitchie’s money to make interest payments this month

Can’t believe they’re stealing Mitchie’s money to make interest payments this month

Lawrence of Andorra 2026-07-02 10:39:52 Kalshi

you foretold your own demise with that kalshi twitter quote

you foretold your own demise with that kalshi twitter quote

Lawrence of Andorra 2026-07-02 10:34:01 Kalshi

Pretty much everyone is in here I think

Pretty much everyone is in here I think

Lawrence of Andorra 2026-07-02 10:28:50 Kalshi

Why would you bet against the winning team, when you could bet against all the losing teams instead? I don't understand

Why would you bet against the winning team, when you could bet against all the losing teams instead? I don't understand

Lawrence of Andorra 2026-07-02 10:13:27 Kalshi

I'm just happy to be here

I'm just happy to be here

Lawrence of Andorra 2026-07-01 12:35:02 Kalshi

how close is the nearest steamroller

how close is the nearest steamroller

Lawrence of Andorra 2026-06-30 12:56:25 Kalshi

the idea is you're never in the position of wanting/needing the hedge

the idea is you're never in the position of wanting/needing the hedge

Lawrence of Andorra 2026-06-30 12:53:57 Kalshi

easier to just decrease the max exposure on a market than hedge if the exposure level makes you uncomfortable. added benefit of improving your avg cost presuming you're not wholly inelastic

easier to just decrease the max exposure on a market than hedge if the exposure level makes you uncomfortable. added benefit of improving your avg cost presuming you're not wholly inelastic

Lawrence of Andorra 2026-06-29 12:33:59 Kalshi

Yeah it’s the next milestone after returning to ath when it feels good again

Yeah it’s the next milestone after returning to ath when it feels good again

Lawrence of Andorra 2026-06-29 12:26:53 Kalshi

Oh yeah. Azuul said he was gonna hunt me down or something after that one lol

Oh yeah. Azuul said he was gonna hunt me down or something after that one lol

Lawrence of Andorra 2026-06-29 12:18:18 Kalshi

We're all moving on to bigger and better losses now!

We're all moving on to bigger and better losses now!

Lawrence of Andorra 2026-06-29 12:08:24 Kalshi

That was a great market. Transcriptcels got btfo

That was a great market. Transcriptcels got btfo

Lawrence of Andorra 2026-06-29 11:44:21 Kalshi

almost as big as Wilderness

almost as big as Wilderness

Lawrence of Andorra 2026-06-27 13:27:40 Kalshi

First time I saw it I was like eh maybe offsides idk, but then the announcers misled me into thinking the handball thing was the only issue. Didn’t lose anything on the non goal so can’t be too mad about it

First time I saw it I was like eh maybe offsides idk, but then the announcers misled me into thinking the handball thing was the only issue. Didn’t lose anything on the non goal so can’t be too mad about it

Lawrence of Andorra 2026-06-27 13:24:22 Kalshi

Totally forgot about these tertiary ones, nice!

Totally forgot about these tertiary ones, nice!

Lawrence of Andorra 2026-06-27 11:31:12 Kalshi

Yes. I bought The Informant a few months ago and forgot about it until just now. I think I'll maybe try that, it's similar-ish to that

Yes. I bought The Informant a few months ago and forgot about it until just now. I think I'll maybe try that, it's similar-ish to that

Lawrence of Andorra 2026-06-27 11:10:44 Kalshi

maybe nonfiction that early in the day.

maybe nonfiction that early in the day.

Lawrence of Andorra 2026-06-26 14:23:09 Kalshi

Opinions varied on this at the time fwiw

Opinions varied on this at the time fwiw

Lawrence of Andorra 2026-06-26 14:22:17 Kalshi

Is there

Is there

Lawrence of Andorra 2026-06-26 14:17:29 Kalshi

Yes. But also there’s a learning curve involved in this chat ofc.

Yes. But also there’s a learning curve involved in this chat ofc.

Lawrence of Andorra 2026-06-26 14:16:32 Kalshi

12 am local

12 am local

Lawrence of Andorra 2026-06-26 14:15:50 Kalshi

Analogous things have happened before yeah. The space, or lack thereof, is important

Analogous things have happened before yeah. The space, or lack thereof, is important

Lawrence of Andorra 2026-06-26 14:10:09 Kalshi

Yeah ofc I’m doing it too but I’m different /s

Yeah ofc I’m doing it too but I’m different /s

Lawrence of Andorra 2026-06-26 14:08:10 Kalshi

People should continue doing this. The $2.37 in liquidity rewards is worth it and there’s ~0 chance of a strike being missed in a WC game.

People should continue doing this. The $2.37 in liquidity rewards is worth it and there’s ~0 chance of a strike being missed in a WC game.

Lawrence of Andorra 2026-06-26 14:05:52 Kalshi

Yes, looking forward to it

Yes, looking forward to it

Lawrence of Andorra 2026-06-26 14:04:23 Kalshi

Yeah there’s a reasonable argument that they should structure the strike like comeback / come back

Yeah there’s a reasonable argument that they should structure the strike like comeback / come back

Lawrence of Andorra 2026-06-26 14:01:36 Kalshi

CC had ankle eclipse <:sadcat:1197913816785231953>

CC had ankle eclipse <:sadcat:1197913816785231953>

Lawrence of Andorra 2026-06-26 13:58:25 Kalshi

Yikes. Hopefully sig’s offices are on a low floor

Yikes. Hopefully sig’s offices are on a low floor

Lawrence of Andorra 2026-06-26 13:54:48 Kalshi

Well they were bailed out. Bonders 10,001, Cuckers 0.

Well they were bailed out. Bonders 10,001, Cuckers 0.

Lawrence of Andorra 2026-06-26 13:53:56 Kalshi Kalshi多个体育提及市场文字匹配规则引发用户集中质疑

I’m sorry but it’s a no. It’s a confusing outcome of course but there’s a substantive difference between shut out and shutout and only one form was included as the strike.

I’m sorry but it’s a no. It’s a confusing outcome of course but there’s a substantive difference between shut out and shutout and only one form was included as the strike.

Lawrence of Andorra 2026-06-26 13:53:03 Kalshi

Like on ml?

Like on ml?

Lawrence of Andorra 2026-06-26 13:51:42 Kalshi

Any misbonds today?

Any misbonds today?

Lawrence of Andorra 2026-06-25 12:11:36 Kalshi

Oh Blackberry tomorrow, nice. I first learned how theta decay and iv crush work on one of their earnings calls like 15 years ago.

Oh Blackberry tomorrow, nice. I first learned how theta decay and iv crush work on one of their earnings calls like 15 years ago.