Polymarketyeah we should move probably still
yeah we should move probably still
Kirkezz参与话题 0消息总数 10
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共 10 条，显示第 1-10 条there's no active proposal or dispute. we're discussing an event
there's no active proposal or dispute. we're discussing an event
What do you guys think?
What do you guys think?
On June 24, 2026, the Colombia's constitutional electoral authority, an official organ of the government of Colombia, which is the NAMED RESOLUTION SOURCE FOR THIS MARKET issued a binding resolution and credential formally certifying that Petro's tenure ends and a successor assumes the office on August 7. That is the official, government-sourced announcement that Petro leaves the presidency, with a fixed future effective date. The clause says that future date "does not matter". again, "`will immediately resolve this market to "Yes"`"
On June 24, 2026, the Colombia's constitutional electoral authority, an official organ of the government of Colombia, which is the NAMED RESOLUTION SOURCE FOR THIS MARKET issued a binding resolution and credential formally certifying that Petro's tenure ends and a successor assumes the office on August 7. That is the official, government-sourced announcement that Petro leaves the presidency, with a fixed future effective date. The clause says that future date "does not matter". again, "`will immediately resolve this market to "Yes"`"
here's my analysis: The market has two independent Yes-triggers. No-side keeps litigating the first and ignores that the second is a standalone override drafted precisely to defeat their timing argument: ```rust An announcement of Gustavo Petro's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to 'Yes', regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect." ``` Read literally, this clause does the following work: it decouples `_announcement_` from `_effect_`. It explicitly contemplates that the removal has a future effective date and says that date is irrelevant. The only two facts it requires are (1) an announcement, (2) before the end date.
here's my analysis: The market has two independent Yes-triggers. No-side keeps litigating the first and ignores that the second is a standalone override drafted precisely to defeat their timing argument: ```rust An announcement of Gustavo Petro's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to 'Yes', regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect." ``` Read literally, this clause does the following work: it decouples `_announcement_` from `_effect_`. It explicitly contemplates that the removal has a future effective date and says that date is irrelevant. The only two facts it requires are (1) an announcement, (2) before the end date.
add june 20, 21, 23, 24, 25 please https://polymarket.com/en/event/claude-fable-5-restored-for-us-customers-by-20260613193753196/will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-june-19?locale=event&category=claude-fable-5-restored-for-us-customers-by-20260613193753196&slug=will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-june-19
add june 20, 21, 23, 24, 25 please https://polymarket.com/en/event/claude-fable-5-restored-for-us-customers-by-20260613193753196/will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-june-19?locale=event&category=claude-fable-5-restored-for-us-customers-by-20260613193753196&slug=will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-june-19
there is a market already
there is a market already
<@1212792946341183578> <@941405798096076880> <@1272383282687905939> this is really relevant to current events
<@1212792946341183578> <@941405798096076880> <@1272383282687905939> this is really relevant to current events
Fable is Available again in the US by... Fable is Available again outside of the US by... On June 12th, the US government issued a directive, limiting usage of Mythos-level models: https://www.anthropic.com/news/fable-mythos-access resolution: consensus, statements from Anthropic, statements from the US government
Fable is Available again in the US by... Fable is Available again outside of the US by... On June 12th, the US government issued a directive, limiting usage of Mythos-level models: https://www.anthropic.com/news/fable-mythos-access resolution: consensus, statements from Anthropic, statements from the US government
we need a market on the exact time bracket of claude 5 release
we need a market on the exact time bracket of claude 5 release