Polymarket[FOR POLYMARKET U.S.] **Market Title:** Will any human-made object intentionally contact or land on the lunar surface before January 1, 2033? **Market Category:** Science / Space Exploration **Suggested Expiration Date:** December 31, 2032, at 11:59 PM ET **Market Context & Resolution Rules:** * This market will resolve to "Yes" if any government space agency, private corporation, or independent entity successfully directs any human-made object (including spacecraft, satellites, spent rocket stages, or rovers) to intentionally land on, soft-land on, or impact/crash into the lunar surface at any point before January 1, 2033. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". * ANTI-HOAX TRACKING CLAUSE: To protect against digital fakes, studio hoaxes, or unverified claims, a "Yes" resolution strictly requires independent physical corroboration that the impact or landing occurred. This must be verified by at least one of the following: 1. Optical or radar tracking data from independent, non-governmental astronomical observatories capturing the trajectory of the object terminating at the Moon. 2. The public logging of a corresponding seismic event or dust-plume observation confirmed by international, multi-national academic institutions. 3. Independent radio telemetry intercepted by global amateur radio networks right up to the exact moment of impact/touchdown. * Unverified press releases or video packages lacking independent international trajectory or physics tracking will not be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution.
[FOR POLYMARKET U.S.] **Market Title:** Will any human-made object intentionally contact or land on the lunar surface before January 1, 2033? **Market Category:** Science / Space Exploration **Suggested Expiration Date:** December 31, 2032, at 11:59 PM ET **Market Context & Resolution Rules:** * This market will resolve to "Yes" if any government space agency, private corporation, or independent entity successfully directs any human-made object (including spacecraft, satellites, spent rocket stages, or rovers) to intentionally land on, soft-land on, or impact/crash into the lunar surface at any point before January 1, 2033. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". * ANTI-HOAX TRACKING CLAUSE: To protect against digital fakes, studio hoaxes, or unverified claims, a "Yes" resolution strictly requires independent physical corroboration that the impact or landing occurred. This must be verified by at least one of the following: 1. Optical or radar tracking data from independent, non-governmental astronomical observatories capturing the trajectory of the object terminating at the Moon. 2. The public logging of a corresponding seismic event or dust-plume observation confirmed by international, multi-national academic institutions. 3. Independent radio telemetry intercepted by global amateur radio networks right up to the exact moment of impact/touchdown. * Unverified press releases or video packages lacking independent international trajectory or physics tracking will not be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution.