Polymarkethttps://polymarket.com/event/will-apple-purchase-memory-cxmt-chips-in-2026-20260630171913147 This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or **began sourcing any products or components from CXMT** by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. https://www.ft.com/content/f4ac5c92-03be-4499-b16a-017a7e9ee228?syn-25a6b1a6=1 "CXMT has been thrust into the global spotlight by the race for memory chips. **Apple has begun testing the company’s DRam chips for devices sold in China, according to two people familiar with the matter**, as the iPhone maker leads a lobbying effort among US tech companies to get the US government to allow broader use of the company’s products." I think the bar has already been met as FT confirmed this as a follow up to their own story from June which is why the market exists in the first place (check the rules). Consensus has been met with other outlets echoing FT's original reporting: https://www.cnbc.com/2026/07/08/apple-begins-testing-cxmt-chips-for-devices-sold-in-china-ft-says-.html
https://polymarket.com/event/will-apple-purchase-memory-cxmt-chips-in-2026-20260630171913147 This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or **began sourcing any products or components from CXMT** by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. https://www.ft.com/content/f4ac5c92-03be-4499-b16a-017a7e9ee228?syn-25a6b1a6=1 "CXMT has been thrust into the global spotlight by the race for memory chips. **Apple has begun testing the company’s DRam chips for devices sold in China, according to two people familiar with the matter**, as the iPhone maker leads a lobbying effort among US tech companies to get the US government to allow broader use of the company’s products." I think the bar has already been met as FT confirmed this as a follow up to their own story from June which is why the market exists in the first place (check the rules). Consensus has been met with other outlets echoing FT's original reporting: https://www.cnbc.com/2026/07/08/apple-begins-testing-cxmt-chips-for-devices-sold-in-china-ft-says-.html