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arbguy参与话题 16消息总数 1318

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arbguy 2026-07-12 19:04:29 Polymarket

what's happening folks

what's happening folks

arbguy 2026-07-08 19:45:07 Polymarket

what's your watch budget? You know you can swap the strap even if it comes with leather right? and the cows are already dead

what's your watch budget? You know you can swap the strap even if it comes with leather right? and the cows are already dead

arbguy 2026-07-08 19:44:24 Polymarket

everything is relative

everything is relative

arbguy 2026-07-08 19:20:42 Polymarket

congrats on 100k hakei /jynx

congrats on 100k hakei /jynx

arbguy 2026-07-08 19:19:26 Polymarket

he's saying he was assigned his name at birth and therefore shouldn't be used to infer his religious beliefs

he's saying he was assigned his name at birth and therefore shouldn't be used to infer his religious beliefs

arbguy 2026-07-07 19:11:29 Polymarket

no

no

arbguy 2026-07-05 19:52:40 Polymarket

postage

postage

arbguy 2026-07-05 19:52:04 Polymarket

i got hit at 35

i got hit at 35

arbguy 2026-07-05 19:46:58 Polymarket

high bar, unconfirmed to begin with

high bar, unconfirmed to begin with

arbguy 2026-07-05 19:45:23 Polymarket

maybe congress will ban DST effective july 9th

maybe congress will ban DST effective july 9th

arbguy 2026-07-05 19:44:40 Polymarket

so they'll decide on july 10th and have someone be there with senior level talks by 9am the following day

so they'll decide on july 10th and have someone be there with senior level talks by 9am the following day

arbguy 2026-07-05 19:42:24 Polymarket

later strikes crashing

later strikes crashing

if the high level hasn't occurred yet by market deadline there is no way to confirm that the low level prep was part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round

if the high level hasn't occurred yet by market deadline there is no way to confirm that the low level prep was part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round

arbguy 2026-07-05 19:40:18 Polymarket

or that they'll pull a july3rd cuck

or that they'll pull a july3rd cuck

arbguy 2026-07-05 19:39:48 Polymarket

how can you know that the high level part isn't going to get cancelled

how can you know that the high level part isn't going to get cancelled

arbguy 2026-07-05 19:39:35 Polymarket

low level prep?

low level prep?

arbguy 2026-07-05 19:39:06 Polymarket

meanwhile trump said he considered bombing khamenei funeral but thought it was a bad idea

meanwhile trump said he considered bombing khamenei funeral but thought it was a bad idea

arbguy 2026-07-05 19:35:05 Polymarket

do they even turn on the electricity before 10am?

do they even turn on the electricity before 10am?

arbguy 2026-07-05 19:34:26 Polymarket

mamdani once said he didn't like DST

mamdani once said he didn't like DST

arbguy 2026-07-05 19:33:47 Polymarket

no is still cheap

no is still cheap

arbguy 2026-07-05 19:32:08 Polymarket

lol

lol

arbguy 2026-07-05 19:32:02 Polymarket

BUY AT 10C!

BUY AT 10C!

you think there can be confirmation that the prep meetings are preparing for a qualifying senior level meeting before that senior meeting has even happend?

you think there can be confirmation that the prep meetings are preparing for a qualifying senior level meeting before that senior meeting has even happend?

until the senior level meeting actually occurs it cannot be confirmed therefore any potential prep meetings cannot be attributed to a senior level meeting

until the senior level meeting actually occurs it cannot be confirmed therefore any potential prep meetings cannot be attributed to a senior level meeting

arbguy 2026-07-05 19:23:54 Polymarket

and that information needs to be out at 11:59ET which by definition is impossible if they are prep meetings

and that information needs to be out at 11:59ET which by definition is impossible if they are prep meetings

arbguy 2026-07-05 19:23:27 Polymarket

there very well may be a meeting on july 11th

there very well may be a meeting on july 11th

arbguy 2026-07-05 19:17:10 Polymarket

they won't

they won't

arbguy 2026-07-05 19:15:53 Polymarket

can we get a market for that

can we get a market for that

arbguy 2026-07-05 19:14:20 Polymarket

even scamming scumbag scount never disputed a midnight proposal during DST claiming p4

even scamming scumbag scount never disputed a midnight proposal during DST claiming p4

arbguy 2026-07-05 19:13:43 Polymarket

hard to consider anything a joke

hard to consider anything a joke

people are trying to scam timezone, and others are just gambling that they'll start super early in the morning and it will be a qualifying meeting

people are trying to scam timezone, and others are just gambling that they'll start super early in the morning and it will be a qualifying meeting

arbguy 2026-07-05 19:08:36 Polymarket

wdym

wdym

arbguy 2026-07-05 18:49:46 Polymarket

Yes I believe it’s 9 hours ahead of EDT

Yes I believe it’s 9 hours ahead of EDT

arbguy 2026-07-03 19:22:23 Polymarket

did something happen?

did something happen?

arbguy 2026-07-03 19:21:52 Polymarket

this one? https://polymarket.com/event/trump-declassifies-new-ufo-files-byptptpt-20260612142708286/trump-declassifies-new-ufo-files-by-july-7

this one? https://polymarket.com/event/trump-declassifies-new-ufo-files-byptptpt-20260612142708286/trump-declassifies-new-ufo-files-by-july-7

arbguy 2026-07-03 19:20:03 Polymarket

any scams need to be stopped today?

any scams need to be stopped today?

arbguy 2026-07-01 19:25:18 Polymarket

hmm 5. Upon the signing of this MoU, the Islamic Republic of Iran will make arrangements using its best efforts for the safe passage of commercial vessels, with no charge for 60 days only, from the Persian Gulf to the Sea of Oman, and vice versa.

hmm 5. Upon the signing of this MoU, the Islamic Republic of Iran will make arrangements using its best efforts for the safe passage of commercial vessels, with no charge for 60 days only, from the Persian Gulf to the Sea of Oman, and vice versa.

arbguy 2026-07-01 19:22:16 Polymarket

i have some shares, i wish you luck, but will sit this one out

i have some shares, i wish you luck, but will sit this one out

arbguy 2026-07-01 19:20:11 Polymarket

this is a dumb scam, won't work

this is a dumb scam, won't work

arbguy 2026-07-01 19:18:50 Polymarket

They agreed to freeze nuclear program for 60 days, does that mean trump agreed to allow enrichment after?

They agreed to freeze nuclear program for 60 days, does that mean trump agreed to allow enrichment after?

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