KalshiJust skip voting entirely and resolve the election off the prediction markets
Just skip voting entirely and resolve the election off the prediction markets
Nate参与话题 25消息总数 503
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共 503 条，显示第 451-500 条I can agree with that
I can agree with that
But yes we need better rules so we can understand how these get determined
But yes we need better rules so we can understand how these get determined
You gotta add the opposite too, "if a consensus of credible reporting indicates the underlying did not occur, kalshi has the right to resolve N even if there's source agencies erroneously reporting Y". Otherwise without that rule I still argue Spike Y
You gotta add the opposite too, "if a consensus of credible reporting indicates the underlying did not occur, kalshi has the right to resolve N even if there's source agencies erroneously reporting Y". Otherwise without that rule I still argue Spike Y
wonder if he's already calling lawyers to start the class action for when kalshi pays out prior to Trump's fraud investigation concluding
wonder if he's already calling lawyers to start the class action for when kalshi pays out prior to Trump's fraud investigation concluding
2 allegations that didn't go very far legally. true or not is unclear
2 allegations that didn't go very far legally. true or not is unclear
invite him to the discord
invite him to the discord
if the market rules are bad enough they get ignored completely then fix the rules and refund Y buyers
if the market rules are bad enough they get ignored completely then fix the rules and refund Y buyers
rules say any source agency report satisfies the market. A source agency reported it. That's the rules of this market, that's why I bought Y
rules say any source agency report satisfies the market. A source agency reported it. That's the rules of this market, that's why I bought Y
yes, the rules are bad. does that mean they should be ignored?
yes, the rules are bad. does that mean they should be ignored?
poly rules are concensus of credible reporting, of course its N there, no concensus. but our rules are "any source agency", see the difference?
poly rules are concensus of credible reporting, of course its N there, no concensus. but our rules are "any source agency", see the difference?
Maybe some day they'll award a finals mvp award
Maybe some day they'll award a finals mvp award
Crowd was chanting near the end and they commented on it
Crowd was chanting near the end and they commented on it
kelce didn't have a nfl tweet saying he was in attendance
kelce didn't have a nfl tweet saying he was in attendance
if they want to list sportradar feeds as a source agency by all means they can
if they want to list sportradar feeds as a source agency by all means they can
since that's what the rules say
since that's what the rules say
no, they should resolve off source agency reporting
no, they should resolve off source agency reporting
i would argue that resolving markets off non-public feeds would be bullsht and directly against their source agency rules
i would argue that resolving markets off non-public feeds would be bullsht and directly against their source agency rules
you think kalshi has access to a different broadcast than the rest of us?
you think kalshi has access to a different broadcast than the rest of us?
clip could very well be real and from game 2, but if the only source is twitter clips supposedly from foreign broadcast surely it can't count
clip could very well be real and from game 2, but if the only source is twitter clips supposedly from foreign broadcast surely it can't count
i don't think its from game 1 unless duncan changed outfits at some point. or game 1 of a different series
i don't think its from game 1 unless duncan changed outfits at some point. or game 1 of a different series
would be less confusing than current rules tbh
would be less confusing than current rules tbh
if pop goes Y, just delete the whole contract and make the rules say "was unc there?" no point in having rules or contract or source agencies if they're not relevant
if pop goes Y, just delete the whole contract and make the rules say "was unc there?" no point in having rules or contract or source agencies if they're not relevant
maybe not spike lee since he may have been in NYC but you get the point, source agencies exist for a reason
maybe not spike lee since he may have been in NYC but you get the point, source agencies exist for a reason
I can splice together a 10s clip of spike lee in a suite plus a clip of last night's crowd and game footage and upload to twitter claiming it aired in china, how can it be disproven?
I can splice together a 10s clip of spike lee in a suite plus a clip of last night's crowd and game footage and upload to twitter claiming it aired in china, how can it be disproven?
if it goes Y off random twitter clip with no other reporting then just throw out all the source agency rules
if it goes Y off random twitter clip with no other reporting then just throw out all the source agency rules
i have no idea what a "knicks cast" is nor how kalshi would be able to get access to an international broadcast to verify the clip is real
i have no idea what a "knicks cast" is nor how kalshi would be able to get access to an international broadcast to verify the clip is real
what broadcast though? don't think it appeared on the US one
what broadcast though? don't think it appeared on the US one
https://x.com/NBAPolska23/status/2063068586969612509 not an official account, definitely not a source agency
https://x.com/NBAPolska23/status/2063068586969612509 not an official account, definitely not a source agency
did they only appear on a chinese broadcast lol? the true test if source agency matters at all
did they only appear on a chinese broadcast lol? the true test if source agency matters at all
this will cause CSP to explode
this will cause CSP to explode
even if she edits the article, the nba tweet is still up
even if she edits the article, the nba tweet is still up
are people just trying to force tracy N on price?
are people just trying to force tracy N on price?
someone coming agressive on the N now
someone coming agressive on the N now
did someone find Tracy morgan N proof?
did someone find Tracy morgan N proof?
probably. i'll post the damage tomorrow
probably. i'll post the damage tomorrow
time to throw good money after bad on lawyer fees
time to throw good money after bad on lawyer fees
if reported by a source agency including person's own social media
if reported by a source agency including person's own social media
Sources from USA Today, ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Vogue, Axios, CNN, Reuters, Billboard, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, and Politico. Attendance is confirmed if the person is reported present at the event by any Source Agency, including social media posts by the person themselves. Brief appearances or partial attendance count as attendance.
Sources from USA Today, ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Vogue, Axios, CNN, Reuters, Billboard, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, and Politico. Attendance is confirmed if the person is reported present at the event by any Source Agency, including social media posts by the person themselves. Brief appearances or partial attendance count as attendance.
no valid source agency confirmation
no valid source agency confirmation
DJ trump gonna drop the B
DJ trump gonna drop the B
Surely kalshi has a better price than fliff lol
Surely kalshi has a better price than fliff lol
"well... you know, its not about 100 - Kalshi: do it the right way - Kalshi" 🙂 new motto
"well... you know, its not about 100 - Kalshi: do it the right way - Kalshi" 🙂 new motto
and got completely confused how those numbers didn't add up
and got completely confused how those numbers didn't add up
They showed they tourney winner odds, Zverev 62% and Mensik 12% and thought they were looking at match winner odds
They showed they tourney winner odds, Zverev 62% and Mensik 12% and thought they were looking at match winner odds
if doing F1 the rules need to be extra clear about which broadcast is being used. Apple TV offers both the F1TV broadcast and the Sky Sports broadcast which have different commentary teams
if doing F1 the rules need to be extra clear about which broadcast is being used. Apple TV offers both the F1TV broadcast and the Sky Sports broadcast which have different commentary teams
Congrats on wasting time i guess
Congrats on wasting time i guess
SHe's admitted she's trolling so there's no point in trying to dissect which of her statements are based on reality if any
SHe's admitted she's trolling so there's no point in trying to dissect which of her statements are based on reality if any
Then when he gets ignored or banned he'll think he won and move on
Then when he gets ignored or banned he'll think he won and move on
A troll doesn't have any true beliefs so you can't win any argument based on logic. He's just saying whatever he thinks will rage bait you the most
A troll doesn't have any true beliefs so you can't win any argument based on logic. He's just saying whatever he thinks will rage bait you the most