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Nate 2026-06-11 04:24:10 Kalshi

there will be more articles + photos of swift/kelce at the game than every other celeb combined except maybe trump

there will be more articles + photos of swift/kelce at the game than every other celeb combined except maybe trump

Nate 2026-06-11 04:03:17 Kalshi

found miked's reddit account

found miked's reddit account

Nate 2026-06-11 03:40:51 Kalshi

true true

true true

Nate 2026-06-11 03:40:13 Kalshi

do you have a carbon monoxide leak?

do you have a carbon monoxide leak?

Nate 2026-06-11 02:05:22 Kalshi

Mike Johnson

Mike Johnson

Nate 2026-06-11 01:42:44 Kalshi

where's matt kalish to say how scammy prediction markets are?

where's matt kalish to say how scammy prediction markets are?

Nate 2026-06-11 01:41:11 Kalshi

+1500 (6c) for dead strikes, oof

+1500 (6c) for dead strikes, oof

Nate 2026-06-11 01:30:54 Kalshi

high liquidity + long timeline

high liquidity + long timeline

Nate 2026-06-11 01:30:33 Kalshi

i feel like you're just saying words

i feel like you're just saying words

Nate 2026-06-11 01:30:12 Kalshi

options on stuff like what party will win house/senate/president could be possible

options on stuff like what party will win house/senate/president could be possible

Nate 2026-06-11 01:29:10 Kalshi

neither of which are mentions

neither of which are mentions

Nate 2026-06-11 01:29:06 Kalshi

options require high liquidity and long timeline

options require high liquidity and long timeline

Nate 2026-06-11 01:26:09 Kalshi

for longer term markets, sure it could make sense. for mentions specifically this seems insane

for longer term markets, sure it could make sense. for mentions specifically this seems insane

Nate 2026-06-11 01:23:59 Kalshi

the timeline makes no sense, and the average market movement you get prior to going to 100/0 kinda makes them pointless imo

the timeline makes no sense, and the average market movement you get prior to going to 100/0 kinda makes them pointless imo

Nate 2026-06-11 01:22:43 Kalshi

you mean literally calls and puts on mentions? explain how you think that would work

you mean literally calls and puts on mentions? explain how you think that would work

Nate 2026-06-11 01:21:14 Kalshi

I'd like a call that allows me to buy 100 shares of Biden Y on market close friday at 50c

I'd like a call that allows me to buy 100 shares of Biden Y on market close friday at 50c

Nate 2026-06-11 01:19:51 Kalshi

what would options even look like for a mention market lol?

what would options even look like for a mention market lol?

Nate 2026-06-10 23:30:01 Kalshi

Nothing else going on in the world or country so might as well

Nothing else going on in the world or country so might as well

Nate 2026-06-10 13:17:21 Kalshi

I don't think he actually has a doctorate

I don't think he actually has a doctorate

Nate 2026-06-10 12:38:15 Kalshi

mog bird?

mog bird?

Nate 2026-06-10 12:38:05 Kalshi

darn, duck wasn't even an option

darn, duck wasn't even an option

Nate 2026-06-10 12:26:56 Kalshi

but they'll only be able to beat you up on a 45min delay. so plenty of time to run away

but they'll only be able to beat you up on a 45min delay. so plenty of time to run away

Nate 2026-06-10 11:57:53 Kalshi

they either need to close them or green box whatever their criteria is

they either need to close them or green box whatever their criteria is

Nate 2026-06-10 11:57:16 Kalshi

agreed, it shouldn't. but if kalshi is making some shit up it might

agreed, it shouldn't. but if kalshi is making some shit up it might

Nate 2026-06-10 11:56:19 Kalshi

the real chaos will be if/when one of these players gets traded before expiration

the real chaos will be if/when one of these players gets traded before expiration

Nate 2026-06-10 11:55:17 Kalshi

and the fees on 99/1c takes are the lowest possible fee

and the fees on 99/1c takes are the lowest possible fee

Nate 2026-06-10 11:55:02 Kalshi

freeing up everyone's money to go trade other shit should also generate fees

freeing up everyone's money to go trade other shit should also generate fees

Nate 2026-06-10 11:53:55 Kalshi

starting spamming willy's DMs instead and he got it closed within a few days

starting spamming willy's DMs instead and he got it closed within a few days

Nate 2026-06-10 11:53:37 Kalshi

I spammed rfd channel for over a month to try to get "how many nfl games will taylor swift attend?" resolved

I spammed rfd channel for over a month to try to get "how many nfl games will taylor swift attend?" resolved

Nate 2026-06-10 11:53:15 Kalshi

annoying willy in DMs is also sometimes effective

annoying willy in DMs is also sometimes effective

Nate 2026-06-10 11:47:39 Kalshi

yeah good point. i think they're misreading their own contract

yeah good point. i think they're misreading their own contract

Nate 2026-06-10 11:47:07 Kalshi

if expiration date comes and he's still on PIT then i assume that would do the trick

if expiration date comes and he's still on PIT then i assume that would do the trick

Nate 2026-06-10 11:45:59 Kalshi

if re-signing doesn't qualify it needs a green box clarification saying so

if re-signing doesn't qualify it needs a green box clarification saying so

Nate 2026-06-10 11:45:26 Kalshi

but yeah its stupid to structure the market likethat

but yeah its stupid to structure the market likethat

Nate 2026-06-10 11:45:12 Kalshi

i can see the argument either way. re-signing with the team you last played for doesn't feel "new"

i can see the argument either way. re-signing with the team you last played for doesn't feel "new"

Nate 2026-06-10 11:43:55 Kalshi

but if that's how they're reading it, they may be waiting until expiration

but if that's how they're reading it, they may be waiting until expiration

Nate 2026-06-10 11:43:41 Kalshi

i agree its not the intent of the market and should resolve

i agree its not the intent of the market and should resolve

Nate 2026-06-10 11:43:27 Kalshi

the contract says "the first **new** team that <player> officially joins after Issuance, " so i think they're getting hung up on the word "new"

the contract says "the first **new** team that <player> officially joins after Issuance, " so i think they're getting hung up on the word "new"

Nate 2026-06-10 11:41:08 Kalshi

i actually think kalshi doesn't consider re-signing with their last team as the answer

i actually think kalshi doesn't consider re-signing with their last team as the answer

Nate 2026-06-10 11:40:45 Kalshi

looking through the ones that resolved they all went to "new" teams

looking through the ones that resolved they all went to "new" teams

Nate 2026-06-10 11:39:01 Kalshi

https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnextteamnfl/pro-football-player-next-team/kxnextteamnfl-26rshaheed Shaheed re-signed with seattle today

https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnextteamnfl/pro-football-player-next-team/kxnextteamnfl-26rshaheed Shaheed re-signed with seattle today

Nate 2026-06-10 11:37:45 Kalshi

https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnextteamnfl/pro-football-player-next-team/kxnextteamnfl-26apierce Alec pierce re-signed with the colts march 9th, the day after this market opened...

https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnextteamnfl/pro-football-player-next-team/kxnextteamnfl-26apierce Alec pierce re-signed with the colts march 9th, the day after this market opened...

Nate 2026-06-10 11:28:22 Kalshi

you're probably better off spamming support/Willy than the discord at this point

you're probably better off spamming support/Willy than the discord at this point

Nate 2026-06-10 11:27:21 Kalshi

add this to your crusade since its basically the same thing

add this to your crusade since its basically the same thing

Nate 2026-06-10 11:26:06 Kalshi

if that logic is the holdup, then yeah maybe. i don't know, just speculating

if that logic is the holdup, then yeah maybe. i don't know, just speculating

yeah agreed. sometimes i think the people writing the markets/rules aren't the same people resolving them

yeah agreed. sometimes i think the people writing the markets/rules aren't the same people resolving them

the golden state next head coach market is in similar limbo. steve kerr re-signed but kalshi doesn't seem to want to close it

the golden state next head coach market is in similar limbo. steve kerr re-signed but kalshi doesn't seem to want to close it

if kalshi is getting weird about the word "new" and believes rodgers re-signing with his old team doesn't qualfy and needs to wait for expiration

if kalshi is getting weird about the word "new" and believes rodgers re-signing with his old team doesn't qualfy and needs to wait for expiration

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