PolymarketMarket proposal: Will Julian Nagelsmann no longer be Germany head coach by July 31, 2026? Germany just got eliminated by Paraguay in the R32 (penalties, after a controversial VAR call ruled out Tah's ET goal). Third early World Cup exit in a row. Nagelsmann told ZDF post-match: "I am available if the DFB wants. If not, they have to tell me. I'm not one who runs away." Friedrich on BBC Radio 5 Live: "Nagelsmann has to face consequences." Honigstein: "I think it will be over for Nagelsmann." DFB hasn't committed publicly either way yet. Real uncertainty, four-week decision window, high volume potential from German audience plus the broader football trading crowd. Comparable to Man United / Chelsea next-manager markets that have done well here. Proposed resolution: Resolves YES if, on or before July 31, 2026 (23:59 CET), the DFB officially announces via press release on dfb.de that Nagelsmann is no longer head coach of the Germany men's national team, for any reason (dismissal, mutual termination, voluntary resignation, Aufhebungsvertrag). Resolves NO otherwise. Backup source if dfb.de is silent but a parting is confirmed: consensus reporting from kicker.de, Bild.de, Sport1.de, SID. Edge cases: Mutual termination / Aufhebungsvertrag → YES Voluntary resignation → YES Suspension without termination announcement → NO Interim coach appointed but Nagelsmann not officially terminated → NO Happy to add 2 nested deadlines if there's interest (Dec 31 2026 + Euro 2028 opener), but figured I'd start with the immediate one since that's where the action is.
Market proposal: Will Julian Nagelsmann no longer be Germany head coach by July 31, 2026? Germany just got eliminated by Paraguay in the R32 (penalties, after a controversial VAR call ruled out Tah's ET goal). Third early World Cup exit in a row. Nagelsmann told ZDF post-match: "I am available if the DFB wants. If not, they have to tell me. I'm not one who runs away." Friedrich on BBC Radio 5 Live: "Nagelsmann has to face consequences." Honigstein: "I think it will be over for Nagelsmann." DFB hasn't committed publicly either way yet. Real uncertainty, four-week decision window, high volume potential from German audience plus the broader football trading crowd. Comparable to Man United / Chelsea next-manager markets that have done well here. Proposed resolution: Resolves YES if, on or before July 31, 2026 (23:59 CET), the DFB officially announces via press release on dfb.de that Nagelsmann is no longer head coach of the Germany men's national team, for any reason (dismissal, mutual termination, voluntary resignation, Aufhebungsvertrag). Resolves NO otherwise. Backup source if dfb.de is silent but a parting is confirmed: consensus reporting from kicker.de, Bild.de, Sport1.de, SID. Edge cases: Mutual termination / Aufhebungsvertrag → YES Voluntary resignation → YES Suspension without termination announcement → NO Interim coach appointed but Nagelsmann not officially terminated → NO Happy to add 2 nested deadlines if there's interest (Dec 31 2026 + Euro 2028 opener), but figured I'd start with the immediate one since that's where the action is.