该用户的聊天记录定位。
I've seen enough
I've seen enough
https://x.com/datadashxyz/status/2069349053649813507?s=46&t=FL-8CwMtSx4oIujIhY06IQ
https://x.com/datadashxyz/status/2069349053649813507?s=46&t=FL-8CwMtSx4oIujIhY06IQ
https://x.com/electiontime_/status/2069094286344241635?s=46&t=FL-8CwMtSx4oIujIhY06IQ wow
https://x.com/electiontime_/status/2069094286344241635?s=46&t=FL-8CwMtSx4oIujIhY06IQ wow
delfa
delfa
im in shambles
im in shambles
can you ask him please
can you ask him please
please my bags are so heavy🥺
please my bags are so heavy🥺
does rich baris think claire valdez has a chance
does rich baris think claire valdez has a chance
the oracle of nevada
the oracle of nevada
sometimes you're the bird and sometimes you're the worm. i accept that my Valdez Ys are worthless now
sometimes you're the bird and sometimes you're the worm. i accept that my Valdez Ys are worthless now
How is NY-07 not a tossup?
How is NY-07 not a tossup?
Should be trading 50-50
Should be trading 50-50
Lange thinks its basically a coinflip
Lange thinks its basically a coinflip
its time to buy as much Reynoso Y as possible. adam carlson has spoken
its time to buy as much Reynoso Y as possible. adam carlson has spoken
it was a tough race but you won
it was a tough race but you won
congratulations to the Reynoso holders
congratulations to the Reynoso holders
hes part of the Heckin resistance
hes part of the Heckin resistance
Pro-way
Pro-way
a decade of WFP dominance
a decade of WFP dominance
congratulations Congressman Reynoso
congratulations Congressman Reynoso
ok im cooked
ok im cooked
then they should fill my bids
then they should fill my bids
well wtf do my counterparties think
well wtf do my counterparties think
should i
should i
claire valdez crashing
claire valdez crashing
who is more responsible for spencer's house burning down: nithya or karen
who is more responsible for spencer's house burning down: nithya or karen
blah ok i guess the market won't work
blah ok i guess the market won't work
Looking into it I might be wrong in my assumption that neighborhoods have a census-level boundary
Looking into it I might be wrong in my assumption that neighborhoods have a census-level boundary
any chance for the neighborhood winner markets for Valdez? I know it's soooo in the weeds, but i assume a lot of PM volume comes from this district haha
any chance for the neighborhood winner markets for Valdez? I know it's soooo in the weeds, but i assume a lot of PM volume comes from this district haha
Also I want to note that I'm not seeing rewards listed uniformly on the IOS app. So if I want this info, I have to go to the desktop version of the site. Generally it's great for me when i can get all the info on every platform.
Also I want to note that I'm not seeing rewards listed uniformly on the IOS app. So if I want this info, I have to go to the desktop version of the site. Generally it's great for me when i can get all the info on every platform.
oh nice i havent seen that!
oh nice i havent seen that!
<@1066645794108735510> Directional % strikes are just intuitively better. They make it much more legible what the markets think the final outcome will be. So if we think, like, Valdez lands at 42%, that will be clearer just by eyeballing the Valdez 40%+ strike trading near 50/50 than if, say, the strike was Valdez 40-45 and it traded at 20
<@1066645794108735510> Directional % strikes are just intuitively better. They make it much more legible what the markets think the final outcome will be. So if we think, like, Valdez lands at 42%, that will be clearer just by eyeballing the Valdez 40%+ strike trading near 50/50 than if, say, the strike was Valdez 40-45 and it traded at 20
I played the directional %s hard for LA Mayor, and it was a lot more fun than figuring out the bounded ones
I played the directional %s hard for LA Mayor, and it was a lot more fun than figuring out the bounded ones
I personally do, esp when liq is lower
I personally do, esp when liq is lower
king
king
🪿🪿🪿🪿🪿🪿🪿
🪿🪿🪿🪿🪿🪿🪿
boo buckets yay directionals
boo buckets yay directionals
only directionals please
only directionals please
directionals were great on LA Mayor
directionals were great on LA Mayor
buckets suck
buckets suck
no?
no?
i personally hate the ones that are exact
i personally hate the ones that are exact
yeah ideally
yeah ideally
<@1066645794108735510> also asking for a vote % market for NY-07, especially Valdez % O/Us. maybe tranches of 10
<@1066645794108735510> also asking for a vote % market for NY-07, especially Valdez % O/Us. maybe tranches of 10
<@155720202724704258> hi lior! i was directed here to offer feedback about incentive rewards. my main issue is they're just kind of a black box where its impossible to figure out your current rate of earnings. adding a dashboard to track them would go a long way to making them a greater incentive
<@155720202724704258> hi lior! i was directed here to offer feedback about incentive rewards. my main issue is they're just kind of a black box where its impossible to figure out your current rate of earnings. adding a dashboard to track them would go a long way to making them a greater incentive
Kalshi liq rewards need a total overhaul
Kalshi liq rewards need a total overhaul
Blue site might be beating Kalshi in volume right now in the NY Cong primaries because of rewards....... if only there were a way to change that
Blue site might be beating Kalshi in volume right now in the NY Cong primaries because of rewards....... if only there were a way to change that
<@1066645794108735510> could we get markets for which neighborhoods Valdez wins in NY-07? Williamsburg, Greenpoint, Bushwick, Ridgewood, LIC, Astoria, etc
<@1066645794108735510> could we get markets for which neighborhoods Valdez wins in NY-07? Williamsburg, Greenpoint, Bushwick, Ridgewood, LIC, Astoria, etc
NYC is already saved
NYC is already saved
https://x.com/polltracker2024/status/2069052783961989268?s=46&t=FL-8CwMtSx4oIujIhY06IQ
https://x.com/polltracker2024/status/2069052783961989268?s=46&t=FL-8CwMtSx4oIujIhY06IQ