Polymarketjust mistaken
just mistaken
yeon参与话题 6消息总数 346
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共 346 条，显示第 51-100 条yeah not really DoA
yeah not really DoA
surely that's got to be a copy paste
surely that's got to be a copy paste
check july 15 bracket it says july 31 in rules
check july 15 bracket it says july 31 in rules
the date is wrong. copy paste I guess
the date is wrong. copy paste I guess
It's not about policy. The rules say agreement to end enrichment for any period of time counts. Will it make sense to give up your soverign right to enrich for 60 days only? Seems to be about actual action of enrichment.
It's not about policy. The rules say agreement to end enrichment for any period of time counts. Will it make sense to give up your soverign right to enrich for 60 days only? Seems to be about actual action of enrichment.
I mean credible consensus is part of the rules, and Vance can establish that. JD Vance saying the Iranians signed the MoU was enough to resolve the signing market, for example.
I mean credible consensus is part of the rules, and Vance can establish that. JD Vance saying the Iranians signed the MoU was enough to resolve the signing market, for example.
He's not saying they will discuss further though he's saying promised past tense, as in Iranians already committed to these things
He's not saying they will discuss further though he's saying promised past tense, as in Iranians already committed to these things
I mean this seems like Vance is saying definitely that Iranian side promised those things to him. Whether or not those promises are later fulfilled doesn't really matter.
I mean this seems like Vance is saying definitely that Iranian side promised those things to him. Whether or not those promises are later fulfilled doesn't really matter.
if the level of enrichment is above 0 then clearly no
if the level of enrichment is above 0 then clearly no
doesn't really matter here because a pause on either one would qualify
doesn't really matter here because a pause on either one would qualify
might I remind you of blockade sir
might I remind you of blockade sir
it's true. poly has less leeway to interpret ambiguity because it will look bad for them in the low chance it misresolves. they are more likely to P4 things even if it's already clear from context
it's true. poly has less leeway to interpret ambiguity because it will look bad for them in the low chance it misresolves. they are more likely to P4 things even if it's already clear from context
there's people in the wikipedia talk section confused as to why Iran won and trying to get it changed <:ICANT:1055828905031909467>
there's people in the wikipedia talk section confused as to why Iran won and trying to get it changed <:ICANT:1055828905031909467>
it's not that clear cut but Yes is probably reality so it should go Yes
it's not that clear cut but Yes is probably reality so it should go Yes
we are so used to analista talking in all caps that a more reasonable argument for no begins to look like a yes
we are so used to analista talking in all caps that a more reasonable argument for no begins to look like a yes
betting on netanyahu not to be retarded 💀
betting on netanyahu not to be retarded 💀
put sell orders mf, take some profit on the way up
put sell orders mf, take some profit on the way up
counting unrealized gains as losses imcrine <:ICANT:1055828905031909467>
counting unrealized gains as losses imcrine <:ICANT:1055828905031909467>
the agreement is a binding commitment, the only dispute is over how it is interpreted. but if we have iranian officials telling us how it should be interpreted, and the media is interpreting it that way as well, I don't see why we shouldn't accept that
the agreement is a binding commitment, the only dispute is over how it is interpreted. but if we have iranian officials telling us how it should be interpreted, and the media is interpreting it that way as well, I don't see why we shouldn't accept that
keep in mind this market isn't restricted to the text though. it resolves off iranian statements and officials would certainly count under that.
keep in mind this market isn't restricted to the text though. it resolves off iranian statements and officials would certainly count under that.
analista if you are serious then respond to this argument. I am directly addressing why the Iranian policy posture does not matter for this market
analista if you are serious then respond to this argument. I am directly addressing why the Iranian policy posture does not matter for this market
everybody arguing about the text meanwhile the whole deal is falling apart cause Israel cant leave Lebanon alone 😂
everybody arguing about the text meanwhile the whole deal is falling apart cause Israel cant leave Lebanon alone 😂
"An informed source told Al-Mayadeen that the Iranian negotiating delegation has suspended its trip to Switzerland due to the continued Israeli attacks on southern Lebanon"
"An informed source told Al-Mayadeen that the Iranian negotiating delegation has suspended its trip to Switzerland due to the continued Israeli attacks on southern Lebanon"
Switzerland dead
Switzerland dead
https://x.com/LiveSquawk/status/2067689550722335184
https://x.com/LiveSquawk/status/2067689550722335184
there might really be smth wrong with u to do this for free
there might really be smth wrong with u to do this for free
P2 so you can touch grass
P2 so you can touch grass
<:Bidensmile:1040247925420339251>
<:Bidensmile:1040247925420339251>
it's not an argument just stating what will happen
it's not an argument just stating what will happen
there's no point to dispute enrichment because it can't even go P1, can only P4 and then any new announcement can rug your N shares
there's no point to dispute enrichment because it can't even go P1, can only P4 and then any new announcement can rug your N shares
come on man, the price is still good. you can still sell and buy yes and profit
come on man, the price is still good. you can still sell and buy yes and profit
Like 8 people have asked if there's any N argument and still yet to hear one
Like 8 people have asked if there's any N argument and still yet to hear one
I just feel bad for <@964053839315619872> I hope he can exit in time 😭
I just feel bad for <@964053839315619872> I hope he can exit in time 😭
yeah it's understandable
yeah it's understandable
if you guys know the iran conflict you know how important that clause is for iran
if you guys know the iran conflict you know how important that clause is for iran
yes it's what Denizz was saying, it lacked the updated clause on lebanon
yes it's what Denizz was saying, it lacked the updated clause on lebanon
doesn't really matter, jd vance said it. he knows more than any official
doesn't really matter, jd vance said it. he knows more than any official
<@964053839315619872> there is an issue related your investments in airspace please check sir
<@964053839315619872> there is an issue related your investments in airspace please check sir
can you dm me
can you dm me
<@964053839315619872> are you here?
<@964053839315619872> are you here?
literally every airspace quant says it's a yes and ppl still doubt
literally every airspace quant says it's a yes and ppl still doubt
imcrine it's still at 50, why dont you guys just exit?
imcrine it's still at 50, why dont you guys just exit?
the two drafts conflict but bbg may be the correct one
the two drafts conflict but bbg may be the correct one
should note that it's possible that the amwaj draft is the one that is inaccurate and that clause never existed in the MoU to begin with
should note that it's possible that the amwaj draft is the one that is inaccurate and that clause never existed in the MoU to begin with
dm
dm
<@570563844678877196> what do you have to say to these allegations
<@570563844678877196> what do you have to say to these allegations
is this a quote? where is this from?
is this a quote? where is this from?
current levels means enrichment
current levels means enrichment
idk I think it should count but seems theres no consensus here
idk I think it should count but seems theres no consensus here